# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Treasury

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Treasury", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Warsh's First Conundrum: Rate Cuts, Inflation, and a Fractured Fed

Walsh's First Dilemma: Rate Cuts, Inflation, and a Divided Fed Kevin Warsh officially assumed the Fed Chairmanship on May 15th, inheriting a central bank deeply divided over inflation. Contrary to market expectations of a dovish stance due to his appointment by President Trump, Warsh's historical record shows early and consistent hawkish concerns about inflation. The Fed he leads is fractured, with three FOMC members recently dissenting against even hinting at future rate cuts. The immediate challenge is surging inflation. While the Iran-related oil shock is a temporary factor, core CPI and services inflation are accelerating, showing signs of becoming entrenched—echoing the Fed's 2022 "transitory" misstep. Warsh faces the task of building consensus within a committee where several members believe policy may not be restrictive enough, especially if the neutral interest rate (r-star) is higher than currently estimated. Politically, Warsh is caught between Trump's desire for rate cuts and the economic reality of persistent price pressures. Any move perceived as bowing to political pressure could undermine Fed independence. Market implications are significant. Long-term Treasury yields (e.g., 30-year at 5.19%) could rise further, especially if the June FOMC statement hints at possible tightening. Tech stocks face continued valuation pressure from higher rates. The key variable is progress in Iran negotiations; a breakthrough before the June meeting could temporarily ease oil-driven inflation, but stubborn services inflation would remain. All eyes are on Warsh's first post-FOMC press conference on June 17th. His wording on inflation and policy will reveal how much the market has mispriced his stance and the Fed's likely path forward.

marsbit05/20 10:01

Warsh's First Conundrum: Rate Cuts, Inflation, and a Fractured Fed

marsbit05/20 10:01

Currency and Stock Market Barometer: Strategy Invested Over $2 Billion to Buy Over 24,800 BTC Last Week; Bitmine's ETH Holdings Increase to 4.37% of Total Supply (May 19)

Crypto & Stock Market Watch: Institutional BTC Buying Surges, ETH Holdings Grow Major listed companies aggressively accumulated Bitcoin last week, with net purchases skyrocketing over 44x to $2.03 billion. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) led the charge, spending approximately $2.01 billion to buy 24,869 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 843,738 BTC. Overall, listed firms (excluding miners) now hold 1,113,841 BTC, valued at ~$86.16 billion. On the Ethereum front, Bitmine purchased 71,672 ETH in the past week. It now holds 5,278,462 ETH, worth $11.56 billion and representing 4.37% of ETH's total supply. A significant portion (4,712,917 ETH) is staked, generating an annualized yield of $289 million. Industry leaders note a divergence from the MicroStrategy model, with ETH treasury firms increasingly focusing on staking yields and simpler balance sheets. In traditional markets, Morgan Stanley warns of a potential significant U.S. stock market correction if bond yields and volatility continue rising. Investment giants like Berkshire Hathaway and Bridgewater adjusted portfolios in Q1, with Bridgewater notably increasing its stakes in chipmakers like Nvidia, Broadcom, and Micron while shedding software stocks. Among other crypto-focused public companies, Solana treasury firm Upexi reported a widened net loss of $109 million for its fiscal Q3, driven by a decline in its crypto holdings' value. Meanwhile, Hyperion DeFi, a HYPE token treasury company, reported a Q1 net profit of $8.8 million and increased its HYPE holdings past 2 million tokens.

marsbit05/19 09:28

Currency and Stock Market Barometer: Strategy Invested Over $2 Billion to Buy Over 24,800 BTC Last Week; Bitmine's ETH Holdings Increase to 4.37% of Total Supply (May 19)

marsbit05/19 09:28

Warsh Takes the Helm at the Fed: A Capital Layout Clearing the Way for AI Productivity

Kevin Warsh's confirmation as the 17th Federal Reserve Chair signals a significant strategic pivot, not merely a political victory. The core narrative, as framed by the author's "Universal Code," is that capital flows towards maximizing intelligence output per unit of energy—currently represented by the AI-driven semiconductor and energy infrastructure boom. Warsh, uniquely among candidates, is a former tech investor who has personally invested in this AI "productivity miracle." His mandate is to enable this transformation by aligning monetary policy to support, not stifle, the capital-intensive AI buildout. His proposed policy framework blends elements of 1950s financial repression with Alan Greenspan's 1990s playbook: tolerating higher headline inflation driven by volatile components (e.g., energy) while relying on AI-driven productivity gains to suppress core inflation and unit labor costs. This allows for a more accommodative stance than conventional models suggest. The strategy's success hinges on a coordinated "Treasury-Fed Accord" with Treasury Secretary Bessant. Bessant's role is international: securing foreign demand for long-term U.S. debt through bilateral agreements (e.g., with China, Japan, Gulf states) that offer access to AI infrastructure in exchange for recycling trade surpluses into Treasuries. A weaker dollar and controlled real yields are essential to make this foreign duration buying viable. Warsh's Fed must avoid overly restrictive policy that would break this flow. The underlying coalition driving this agenda consists of crypto founders, AI infrastructure operators, and energy investors seeking policy stability. While Warsh's initial meetings may not deliver immediate rate cuts, they will signal a shift in focus toward core inflation and greater policy discretion. The critical variable is the bond market. If long-term yields, term premiums, or real yields rise beyond certain thresholds (e.g., 10-year yields above 5.5%), the entire architecture could fail regardless of Fed actions. The next six months will determine whether the bond market grants the new Fed Chair the space to implement this framework. If successful, the cycle extends, benefiting risk assets, cryptocurrencies, and AI capital expenditure stocks. The market's current pricing of a conventional inflation fight creates an asymmetry versus this productivity-led, financially repressive framework, which represents the potential for significant returns.

marsbit05/14 10:07

Warsh Takes the Helm at the Fed: A Capital Layout Clearing the Way for AI Productivity

marsbit05/14 10:07

Behind Galaxy Digital and SharpLink's $125 Million DeFi Fund: Why Are Institutional Funds Embracing DeFi Again?

In May 2026, Galaxy Digital and SharpLink announced a $125 million Institutional Onchain Yield Fund, marking a significant pivot as institutional capital begins systematically integrating corporate ETH treasuries into DeFi. This move signals a shift from passive crypto holdings to active on-chain asset management. SharpLink is evolving into an "ETH Treasury Company," focusing on managing ETH's capital efficiency beyond simple staking, akin to a digital-age internet bond. Galaxy's role is to embed Wall Street-grade risk controls—managing exposure, volatility, and compliance—into DeFi, positioning itself as an "Onchain Asset Manager." This renewed institutional interest stems from DeFi's maturation into a "real yield" era with sustainable cash flows from stablecoin lending, on-chain treasuries, restaking, and RWA pools. Stablecoins have institutionalized into an on-chain dollar system, while restaking (e.g., EigenLayer) is reshaping ETH into a productive yield-bearing asset, forming an "internet benchmark rate." The collaboration reflects an upgrade to ETH's narrative: from a speculative asset to productive on-chain collateral and financial infrastructure. However, institutionalization amplifies systemic risks like liquidity crises and cross-protocol contagion, akin to traditional finance's pitfalls. Ultimately, this fund represents a foundational step toward building a native internet financial system—with stablecoins as digital dollars, ETH as reserve capital, and DeFi as banking—indicating that on-chain markets may become integral to the global financial architecture.

marsbit05/13 00:10

Behind Galaxy Digital and SharpLink's $125 Million DeFi Fund: Why Are Institutional Funds Embracing DeFi Again?

marsbit05/13 00:10

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