# Сопутствующие статьи по теме TGE

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "TGE", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Over 80% of New Tokens Peak at TGE, The Root Cause and Cure for Web3's False Prosperity Lies Here

More than 80% of new tokens in 2025 have seen their Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) fall below their initial TGE valuation, with a median decline of 71%. Only 15% of tokens performed better post-TGE. This trend indicates that for most projects, the token generation event (TGE) represents their peak valuation. Statistical analysis of 113 token launches reveals that common success metrics—such as high fundraising amounts, large social media followings, and listings on major exchanges—have little to no statistical correlation with token performance. Projects raising more capital (e.g., over $10 million) did not perform better than those raising less (e.g., $300k–$500k). In fact, lower-funded projects often delivered higher returns per dollar raised. Social community size proved irrelevant; most "communities" are speculative and disappear when token prices fall. Token pricing also matters: tokens priced between $0.01–$0.05 at launch had the highest survival rate, while those priced outside this range generally failed. AI-related tokens outperformed others in both peak and current returns, while Gaming and DeFi sectors struggled significantly. Launch platforms (IDOs/IEOs) did not ensure success—most tokens on these platforms fell 70–93% post-launch. The root issue is a market that prioritizes hype over substance, narrative over data, and promises over products. To survive in 2026, projects should focus on lean fundraising, realistic token pricing, product-market fit, and tangible metrics like user retention and revenue—rather than vanity metrics. The old playbook is broken; a new, pragmatic approach is essential.

Odaily星球日报12/23 09:55

Over 80% of New Tokens Peak at TGE, The Root Cause and Cure for Web3's False Prosperity Lies Here

Odaily星球日报12/23 09:55

The Economic Calculus Behind Polymarket's Exit from Polygon

Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, has announced plans to migrate from the Polygon network to its own Ethereum Layer 2 solution, named POLY. This move, confirmed by a team member on Discord, is driven by both product and economic motivations. Product-wise, the migration aims to provide a more stable and customizable infrastructure tailored to Polymarket’s specific needs, addressing limitations posed by Polygon’s occasional network instability. Economically, Polymarket seeks to capture and retain the full value of its ecosystem, preventing economic spillover to external networks. Data highlights Polymarket’s significant contribution to Polygon’s ecosystem: it accounts for approximately one-quarter of Polygon’s total value locked (~$326M vs. $1.19B) and around 23% of its gas consumption. The platform also drives substantial USDC liquidity and user activity on Polygon. The timing of the migration appears strategic, coinciding with Polymarket’s anticipated token generation event (TGE). Moving before token issuance reduces complexity and allows the project to reposition itself as a full-stack “app + chain” system, potentially unlocking higher valuation and narrative appeal. This shift reflects a broader trend where top-tier applications, having achieved scale and economic independence, may choose to decouple from underlying networks that no longer provide sufficient added value.

marsbit12/23 06:03

The Economic Calculus Behind Polymarket's Exit from Polygon

marsbit12/23 06:03

Over 80% of New Tokens Peak at TGE: The Root Cause and Cure for Web3's False Prosperity

Nearly 85% of tokens launched in 2025 have seen their fully diluted valuation (FDV) fall below their initial TGE valuation, with a median decline of 71%. Only 15% of new tokens outperformed their TGE price. This trend reveals systemic issues in the Web3 space, where high fundraising, large communities, and major exchange listings—often considered markers of quality—show no statistical correlation with token performance. Key findings include: - Projects raising $1 million performed similarly to those raising $10 million. Excessive funding often leads to faster token failure due to investor unlocks and market pressure. - Community size (e.g., 50k vs. 500k followers) has no predictive value for token success. Most "communities" are speculative and disappear when prices drop. - Token pricing is critical: tokens priced between $0.01–$0.05 at launch showed the best survival rates, while those outside this range often failed. - AI tokens outperformed others in both peak and sustainability, while Gaming and DeFi sectors struggled severely. - IDO/IEO platforms provided no reliable protection; most launches resulted in significant losses. The root causes include flawed tokenomics, over-reliance on speculative metrics, poor timing, and a market that prioritizes narrative over substance. The article urges builders in 2026 to focus on sustainable fundraising, realistic token pricing, product-market fit, and genuine metrics like user retention and revenue—rather than vanity indicators. The old playbook is broken; adaptation and integration are essential for survival.

marsbit12/23 03:07

Over 80% of New Tokens Peak at TGE: The Root Cause and Cure for Web3's False Prosperity

marsbit12/23 03:07

HTX Research's Latest Report Deciphers Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: How a Hundred-Billion-Dollar Market Reshapes the Starting Line of Web3 Assets

HTX Research, the dedicated research arm of HTX, has released a new report titled "Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: Mechanism Evolution, Market Structure, and Future Trends Behind a Ten-Billion Scale." The study systematically examines the formation, asset structures, and major models of the pre-market trading ecosystem in crypto, as well as its profound impact on project issuance and exchange systems. The report highlights the emergence of a "1.5-level market" that bridges primary and secondary markets, driven by tightened funding conditions and extended token generation event (TGE) timelines. This pre-market allows early contributions and future expectations to be transformed into tradable instruments. Three core asset structures form this ecosystem: pre-market OTC, spot, and perpetual contracts tied to future token value; tradable points systems linked to airdrop incentives; and NFT-based rights such as whitelist spots and early access passes. Together, these create a multi-layered pre-trading system. HTX has actively explored this space, launching pre-market perpetual contracts for assets like WLFI before their official listings. While pre-market has reached a multi-billion dollar scale with strong growth potential, it also faces challenges including thin liquidity, information asymmetry, and a lack of standardized regulations. Ultimately, pre-market trading is evolving from a grey-area activity into a structured, institutionalized market layer that is reshaping project launches, exchange strategies, and early user participation in crypto.

marsbit12/18 08:57

HTX Research's Latest Report Deciphers Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: How a Hundred-Billion-Dollar Market Reshapes the Starting Line of Web3 Assets

marsbit12/18 08:57

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