# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Risk

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Risk", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Can $12 Really Turn into 8300 Times? The Demise of a Polymarket Trading Myth

A user known as @ascetic0x on Polymarket claimed to have turned $12 into over $100,000—an 8,300x return—through a series of highly leveraged, all-in bets on Bitcoin price movements. The story went viral, attracting millions of views and widespread admiration. However, the narrative was soon challenged. Twitter user Moses alleged that @ascetic0x operated multiple accounts (Sybil farming), funding each with small amounts. Only the single successful account—which reached around $2,900—was publicized, while many others failed. Moses also accused the user of wash trading to artificially inflate results. In response, @ascetic0x denied the allegations, stating that the claims were false and part of a targeted harassment campaign. He admitted his strategy was extremely high-risk and advised others from copying it. The incident highlights the risks of blindly following influencers in speculative markets and serves as a reminder that extraordinary gains often come with untold or unverified backstories.

比推01/21 15:33

Can $12 Really Turn into 8300 Times? The Demise of a Polymarket Trading Myth

比推01/21 15:33

Tom Lee Warns Crypto Markets Could Face Painful Correction in 2026

Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, warns that cryptocurrency markets, alongside other risk assets, could face a painful and prolonged correction well into 2026. He attributes the current market weakness, including Bitcoin's drop below $90,000, to macroeconomic pressures, policy uncertainty, and the lingering effects of deleveraging from late 2025. Lee predicts a potential 15% to 20% market correction in 2026 due to geopolitical conflicts, tariff wars, and political fragmentation. However, he remains optimistic about long-term growth drivers like blockchain and AI, expecting a recovery later in 2026 supported by a dovish Fed and the end of quantitative tightening.

TheNewsCrypto01/21 13:11

Tom Lee Warns Crypto Markets Could Face Painful Correction in 2026

TheNewsCrypto01/21 13:11

Bitcoin’s $60K crash incoming? One KEY indicator says – Not so fast!

Bitcoin faces renewed downside pressure, with a weekly decline erasing January gains and testing key support levels. This breakdown raises the possibility of a deeper correction toward $60,000, echoing October’s crash pattern. However, a key indicator suggests a crash may not be imminent. A European pension fund began offloading U.S. Treasuries due to credit risk under Trump, weakening the dollar and reflecting growing inflation and geopolitical concerns. While money has flowed into metals rather than risk assets like Bitcoin, rising Treasury yields—now at 4.3%—may force a policy response. Historically, when yields enter Trump’s "warning zone," tariffs are paused to cool bond markets. This could stabilize risk assets and help Bitcoin avoid a sharp decline. In short, while technical and geopolitical risks persist, a policy shift triggered by high yields might prevent a crash.

ambcrypto01/21 13:05

Bitcoin’s $60K crash incoming? One KEY indicator says – Not so fast!

ambcrypto01/21 13:05

Bitcoin pulls back to $91K – Spot buyers quietly take control

Bitcoin has retreated to the $91,000 level after failing to hold above $95,000, indicating short-term exhaustion. However, broader market participation remains strong. Spot buyers have regained control, with the Spot Taker CVD turning positive and $171.83 million in net outflows from exchanges, signaling organic accumulation. Institutional demand remains steady, with U.S. investors accumulating approximately $53 billion worth of BTC over the past year, largely driven by spot Bitcoin ETFs. Global liquidity conditions also remain supportive, with M2 growth at 11%, below levels typically associated with cycle peaks. However, macro risks, such as U.S.-EU trade tensions, could impact near-term sentiment as cryptocurrencies are treated as risk assets.

ambcrypto01/20 23:31

Bitcoin pulls back to $91K – Spot buyers quietly take control

ambcrypto01/20 23:31

Bitcoin Axed By Top Wall Street Strategist On Quantum Fears

Jefferies strategist Chris Wood has removed Bitcoin from his long-term model portfolio, citing quantum computing as a threat to Bitcoin's store-of-value proposition for long-term investors like pension funds. While not predicting an immediate price crash, Wood expressed concern that quantum computers could compromise Bitcoin’s cryptographic security within years rather than decades, making private keys vulnerable. He reallocated the 10% Bitcoin exposure to gold and gold miners. VanEck’s Matthew Sigel acknowledged the move but emphasized the difference between Bitcoin's decentralized, hard-to-upgrade nature and traditional reversible banking systems. He views quantum risk as a solvable challenge rather than a fatal flaw and maintains spot Bitcoin exposure while making small hedges. The article notes Bitcoin's significant outperformance versus gold since 2020 despite the recent strategic shift.

bitcoinist01/20 16:02

Bitcoin Axed By Top Wall Street Strategist On Quantum Fears

bitcoinist01/20 16:02

Can Bitcoin Drop to $58,000? Veteran Trader Peter Brandt Warns of a 37% Correction

Veteran trader Peter Brandt warns Bitcoin could face a sharp correction, potentially falling 33–37% to the $58,000–$62,000 range. Bitcoin has already declined over 30% from its October 2025 all-time high above $126,000 and recently slipped below $91,000. Brandt cites bearish technical patterns, including a descending channel and failed breakouts below $102,000 resistance, as key reasons for his outlook. He notes that a break below current support near $80,000 could accelerate losses. While acknowledging his forecasts are wrong 50% of the time, Brandt argues such a decline would align with historical corrections during previous bull cycles. Not all analysts share this view, with some believing institutional adoption and ETF demand may lead to shallower pullbacks.

ccn.com01/20 10:32

Can Bitcoin Drop to $58,000? Veteran Trader Peter Brandt Warns of a 37% Correction

ccn.com01/20 10:32

Evaluating the $8 trillion risk – Why Bitcoin price is no longer a ‘safe haven’

Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline, briefly nearing $92,000, following former U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat to impose new tariffs on eight European countries. The initial 10% tariff, set for February 1, could rise to 25% by June if negotiations fail. Trump administration explicitly linked the tariffs to the potential purchase of Greenland. With U.S. markets closed for a holiday, global markets absorbed the shock: S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures fell, Asian and European indices dipped, and the dollar weakened against safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc. Gold and silver surged to record highs, while oil prices dropped on growth concerns. Bitcoin later recovered some losses due to bargain buying. The situation remains tense as European investors hold approximately $8 trillion in U.S. assets, and any capital flow shifts could significantly impact markets. Key events to watch include economic data from China, Bank of Japan policy decisions, U.S. economic indicators influencing the Fed, and geopolitical discussions at the upcoming Davos meeting.

ambcrypto01/19 23:01

Evaluating the $8 trillion risk – Why Bitcoin price is no longer a ‘safe haven’

ambcrypto01/19 23:01

On-Chain Data Analysis of Tudou Guarantee's Shutdown Event: A Chain-Based 'Black Industry Migration' Triggered by US Sanctions

On January 16, Tudou Guarantee announced the cessation of its services and the closure of all public groups. Beosin Trace conducted an on-chain data analysis of the incident, revealing that Tudou was a major black/grey market escrow platform on Telegram. After the shutdown of Huione Guarantee in May 2025, Tudou became its main successor, experiencing a significant increase in transaction volume. However, from December 2025, Tudou's deposit activities declined sharply, with almost no activity after January 10, 2026. A refund address saw a spike in outflows on January 11, aligning with the platform’s shutdown preparations. Many former Tudou merchants migrated to Xinbi Guarantee, which saw a surge in USDT deposits, averaging 2,700–2,800 transactions per day between January 8–16. These addresses have been flagged as high-risk by Beosin KYT. The shutdown is linked to increased U.S. sanctions targeting Southeast Asian cybercrime throughout 2025, including actions against entities in the Philippines, Cambodia, and Myanmar, which disrupted illegal operations and forced platforms like Huione and Tudou to cease operations.

marsbit01/19 10:19

On-Chain Data Analysis of Tudou Guarantee's Shutdown Event: A Chain-Based 'Black Industry Migration' Triggered by US Sanctions

marsbit01/19 10:19

Bitcoin targets $98k – Decoding the liquidity vs. peak cycle debate

Bitcoin's cycle is not showing signs of an early peak despite some long-term projections, as global liquidity conditions remain supportive and have even reached new highs. This environment continues to benefit risk assets like BTC. Market risk is being redistributed rather than exiting, with short-term holders in profit and mid-term holders absorbing losses patiently. Price-wise, Bitcoin is consolidating around $95,000 after rebounding from the $91,000–$92,000 support zone. The immediate resistance lies at $97,000–$98,000. Technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest positive momentum, albeit slightly slowed. If BTC holds above $95K, further upside is likely. Overall, bullish sentiment prevails due to strong liquidity and reduced selling pressure.

ambcrypto01/19 06:32

Bitcoin targets $98k – Decoding the liquidity vs. peak cycle debate

ambcrypto01/19 06:32

Berachain faces Feb 6th deadline – Will Nova refund trigger a crash?

Berachain's BERA token recently surged, gaining 15.48% in 24 hours and 62.58% over the week. The rally began on January 14th following the announcement of the "Bera Builds Businesses" model, signaling a strategic shift toward generating real cash flow. However, risks remain. The chain’s TVL has dropped significantly from $3 billion to $178 million, and it faces scrutiny over downside protection offered to an institutional investor. A key concern is the February 6th, 2026 deadline for Brevan Howard’s Nova fund refund clause, casting doubt on the rally's timing. Despite strong bullish momentum on charts, investors are advised to proceed with caution and consider taking profits.

ambcrypto01/18 21:02