# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Prediction

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Prediction", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Will Bitcoin Return to $10,000? The Harsh Hypothesis from a Bloomberg Strategist Amid a Deflationary Cycle

Bitcoin faces mounting pressure, breaking below $90,000 and testing lows around $86,000, with most major cryptocurrencies also declining. Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone presents a bearish outlook, suggesting Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 by 2026. He attributes this potential decline to a macro shift from inflation to deflation, where risk assets like Bitcoin may undergo significant repricing. McGlone emphasizes that Bitcoin is highly correlated with risk appetite and speculative cycles. He points to three key factors: mean reversion after extreme wealth creation, the Bitcoin/Gold ratio (which has already declined from over 30x to around 21x), and systemic oversupply of speculative crypto assets competing for limited risk capital. Not all analysts agree. Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin forecast downward but still expects prices around $100,000 in 2025. Glassnode notes current market stress resembles early 2022 conditions, while 10x Research warns that Bitcoin may be in the early stages of a bear market. The broader macro environment remains critical. Upcoming central bank decisions and economic data from the U.S., Europe, and Japan may determine whether deflationary pressures intensify, influencing risk assets globally. The Fed's recent rate cut and internal dissent highlight deepening policy uncertainty, making macro trends a decisive factor for Bitcoin's trajectory.

marsbit12/16 14:04

Will Bitcoin Return to $10,000? The Harsh Hypothesis from a Bloomberg Strategist Amid a Deflationary Cycle

marsbit12/16 14:04

Bitcoin Drops Below $86,000, But Is the Decline Just Beginning?

Bitcoin fell below $86,000 over the weekend, extending a broader correction that has seen it decline more than 30% since its mid-October all-time high. The broader crypto market followed, with Ethereum, BNB, XRP, and SOL all posting losses. Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone issued a stark warning in a new report, suggesting Bitcoin could potentially fall to $10,000 by 2026. His bearish outlook is not based on crypto-specific factors but is rooted in a macro view of an impending global economic inflection point from inflation to deflation. McGlone argues that as liquidity tightens and growth slows, risk assets like Bitcoin—which he views as highly speculative and correlated to market sentiment—will undergo significant repricing. He highlights three key factors: a mean reversion after extreme wealth creation, the declining Bitcoin-to-gold ratio (which has already dropped ~40% this year), and systemic oversupply of speculative crypto assets competing for limited risk budgets. This view contrasts with other institutional forecasts. While firms like Standard Chartered have also lowered their long-term Bitcoin price targets, they remain significantly higher than McGlone’s prediction. Analytics platform Glassnode notes that current market stress is reminiscent of early 2022, with unrealized losses nearing 10% of market cap, indicating a sensitive but not yet panic-driven sell-off phase. The article concludes that Bitcoin's trajectory is now deeply tied to global macro conditions. Upcoming central bank decisions and economic data releases from the ECB, BOE, BOJ, and the U.S. will be critical in shaping expectations for monetary policy in 2026 and determining the direction of risk assets.

marsbit12/16 03:19

Bitcoin Drops Below $86,000, But Is the Decline Just Beginning?

marsbit12/16 03:19

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