# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Outlook

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Outlook", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

How Low Could Bitcoin Fall After Standard Chartered Cut Its Forecast?

Standard Chartered has lowered its Bitcoin price forecast, warning that BTC could fall toward $50,000 before a potential recovery later in 2026. The bank reduced its year-end 2026 target from $150,000 to $100,000, citing persistent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and a weaker macroeconomic environment. Technically, Bitcoin is trading near $66,400, below the 50-week moving average, and approaching the 200-week moving average near $58,200—a key historical support level. Momentum indicators like the RSI show oversold conditions, but the overall trend remains bearish. A break below $58,000 could see further declines toward $50,000, while resistance is seen between $80,000 and $90,000. The bank views a potential drop to $50,000 as a capitulation phase before a eventual rebound.

TheNewsCrypto02/13 13:21

How Low Could Bitcoin Fall After Standard Chartered Cut Its Forecast?

TheNewsCrypto02/13 13:21

Solana tops activity metrics – But can SOL’s $80 support hold?

Solana leads blockchain activity metrics in users, transactions, developer growth, and trading volume, with over 24 months of consistent uptime. A partnership with Alibaba Cloud aims to reduce latency and enhance institutional infrastructure. However, SOL's price is testing a critical support level at $80. A hold could signal a bullish recovery, while a breakdown may lead to a bearish trend. Open Interest surged to $2.1 billion, indicating heightened trader attention and potential volatility. The network's strong fundamentals and growing institutional interest position it at a decisive technical and structural crossroads.

ambcrypto02/12 06:01

Solana tops activity metrics – But can SOL’s $80 support hold?

ambcrypto02/12 06:01

Cobo 2025 Stablecoin Review and Outlook: From Crypto Narrative to Real Adoption

Cobo's 2025 Stablecoin Review and Outlook: From Crypto Narrative to Real Adoption Looking back from 2026, 2025 marked a pivotal "declaration of independence" for stablecoins, defined not by price volatility but by their quiet transformation into a fundamental global settlement medium operating natively on the internet. True adoption occurred not in retail payments but in high-frequency, efficiency-critical backend processes: corporate treasury management, cross-border settlements, and internal fund transfers. This real-world usage is driven not by crypto-enthusiasts but by risk-averse CFOs and financial teams prioritizing auditability, control, and traceability over decentralization. The report argues that real adoption is measured by stablecoins entering sustainable economic loops like payroll, B2B settlements, and recurring payments, not by market cap or transaction volume. A key finding is the stark geographic divergence in use cases: an efficiency tool in developed markets versus a survival mechanism against hyperinflation in emerging economies. Competitively, dollar-based stablecoins (like USDT and USDC) have become a digital extension of dollar hegemony, forcing non-US stablecoins into niche roles. The future battleground is shifting from issuance to compliant access points and connection rights. Key 2026 trends include: - **Financial Fragmentation:** The stablecoin market will split into compliant "clearing islands" and offshore "grey islands." - **Rise of the Machine Economy:** AI Agents (non-human accounts) will necessitate a shift from KYC to KYA (Know Your Agent). - **The Invisible Infrastructure:** The most successful stablecoins will be those that are transparent and unseen, embedded within applications. - **Apps as Banks:** Applications will evolve to perform bank-like functions (holding deposits, facilitating payments) without a bank license, competing on capital efficiency and turnover. - **Seamless Daily Use:** Integration with major payment networks (Visa/Mastercard) will enable direct spending of stablecoins without manual off-ramping, making them a true digital dollar for daily expenses. - **Advanced Compliance:** On-chain AML data will merge with off-chain identity, leading to standardized, professionalized compliance infrastructure offered as a service. The core conclusion is that stablecoin's greatest success lies in its invisibility, becoming the indispensable TCP/IP of finance—powering everything from behind the scenes.

marsbit02/09 10:56

Cobo 2025 Stablecoin Review and Outlook: From Crypto Narrative to Real Adoption

marsbit02/09 10:56

JPMorgan: Bullish on Gold and Copper, Bearish on Energy, Post-Crash Market Has Split into Two Worlds

J.P. Morgan's Global Market Strategy views the recent sharp sell-off in commodities as a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal, presenting a buying opportunity for metals while expecting further declines in energy. The divergence is driven by differing supply dynamics, despite supportive global demand from recovering manufacturing PMIs and expansionary fiscal policies. The firm remains structurally bullish on gold, viewing the pullback as healthy amid continued central bank buying (forecast at 800 tons this year) and investor diversification. It sees gold reaching $6,300/oz by year-end. While more cautious on silver due to its volatility, it expects support around $75-80/oz. Copper is also seen as a buy on dips, with potential for prices to exceed $15,000/t later this year due to anticipated supply tightness and strong demand. In contrast, the energy complex is expected to weaken. Oil prices are seen carrying a $7/barrel geopolitical premium from Iran tensions, which should fade. The report predicts global supply growth will outpace demand by threefold. Natural gas prices, which spiked on cold weather and low inventories, are already retreating as forecasts normalize.

marsbit02/09 05:23

JPMorgan: Bullish on Gold and Copper, Bearish on Energy, Post-Crash Market Has Split into Two Worlds

marsbit02/09 05:23

Bitcoin Price Unlikely To See A 77% Drawdown Again – Bitwise CIO

Bitcoin has experienced significant recent declines, but Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan suggests the worst may be over. In a recent report, he cited multiple factors for the downturn, including market cycle dynamics, shifting investor attention to AI and metals, and the major liquidation event on October 10, 2025, triggered by U.S. trade policy. Other concerns included Federal Reserve leadership speculation and macro risk-off sentiment. However, Hougan notes that long-term holders have slowed selling, and derivatives open interest has dropped to 2024 levels. While further declines are possible, he believes Bitcoin is now a more mature asset and unlikely to repeat past 77% drawdowns. Bear markets, he concludes, typically end in exhaustion rather than excitement. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $67,834, up over 4% in 24 hours.

bitcoinist02/07 22:01

Bitcoin Price Unlikely To See A 77% Drawdown Again – Bitwise CIO

bitcoinist02/07 22:01

Polygon – What should traders expect from its price after 25.9M POL burn?

Polygon (POL) has burned 25.9 million tokens, aiming to reduce its circulating supply by approximately 3% by the end of 2026. Despite this deflationary effort, POL's price fell 6.46%, largely mirroring broader market trends rather than token-specific weakness. Trading volume also declined by 26%. However, network activity surged, with daily transactions reaching 6.6 million—a one-month high—suggesting growing demand. The project also saw significant capital inflows, with $7 million in net bridge inflows and consistent spot-market accumulation. Although POL recently broke a descending resistance line, a bearish pullback followed. The bullish outlook remains intact if the price holds above this key level.

ambcrypto02/05 07:03

Polygon – What should traders expect from its price after 25.9M POL burn?

ambcrypto02/05 07:03

2026 Outlook (Part 2): Bitcoin, The Shift in Pricing Power from Digital Gold to Neutral Value Reserve

Bitcoin 2026 Outlook: Transition from Digital Gold to Neutral Reserve Asset By 2026, Bitcoin is at a historic turning point, with its pricing power irreversibly shifting from crypto-native capital to traditional asset allocation logic. The core narrative is evolving from "digital gold" to a "neutral reserve asset," driven by geopolitical fragmentation and the restructuring of the global financial order into a multipolar system. Key drivers include institutional adoption via ETFs and corporate treasury strategies (DATs), which collectively lock up significant supply, reducing volatility and decoupling Bitcoin from its traditional four-year halving cycle. Market consensus confirms three key trends: 1) pricing is now demand-driven by institutional flows rather than halving-induced supply shocks, 2) Bitcoin is becoming a strategic asset on institutional and national balance sheets, and 3) long-term volatility will converge toward commodities like gold. The year will see a divided first half with wide price swings due to macro uncertainty and technical resistance near $100k, followed by a calmer second half as Fed rate cuts and growing institutional holdings solidify the new paradigm. Key risks include macro policy shifts, regulatory changes, ETF outflow reversals, and potential DAT company failures. Ultimately, Bitcoin’s value will be determined by its adoption as a non-sovereign, strategic reserve asset in global institutional allocation models.

marsbit01/24 10:50

2026 Outlook (Part 2): Bitcoin, The Shift in Pricing Power from Digital Gold to Neutral Value Reserve

marsbit01/24 10:50

What To Expect For The Bitcoin Price This Week After Psychological Breakdown

A crypto analyst, Doctor Profit, presents a bearish outlook for Bitcoin this week, expecting a continued downtrend. He notes that Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase since November 2025, viewing this sideways movement as a precursor to a potential drop below $80,000. The analyst maintains short positions initiated between $115,000 and $125,000, with additional shorts planned only if Bitcoin revisits the $97,000-$107,000 range. He highlights January 21, 2026, as a key date due to the expected release of the CLARITY Act, which could provide regulatory clarity and impact the market. Doctor Profit remains extremely bearish, forecasting a possible decline to the $70,000-$75,000 range, representing a drop of over 20% from current levels.

bitcoinist01/19 20:02

What To Expect For The Bitcoin Price This Week After Psychological Breakdown

bitcoinist01/19 20:02

Bitcoin OGs’ sell-off falls by 73%, but will that help BTC’s Q1 outlook?

Bitcoin's recovery prospects are improving as selling pressure from long-term holders, known as OGs, has dropped by 73% over two years, falling from 3,000 BTC to 1,000 BTC. This reduction in selling, combined with reset market conditions from late 2025, supports a solid recovery. Institutional demand is now nearly five times the new supply from miners, with 30k BTC absorbed compared to 5.7k minted. Analysts project continued institutional inflows in 2026, aided by regulatory developments. The True MVRV indicator suggests potential for further price growth, though a surge toward 1.5 or 2.0 could signal a cooling off. BTC currently trades at $95.5k, up 18% from its Q4 2025 low.

ambcrypto01/16 05:02

Bitcoin OGs’ sell-off falls by 73%, but will that help BTC’s Q1 outlook?

ambcrypto01/16 05:02

VanEck Q1 Global Market Outlook: Cryptocurrency Bullish Long-Term, Gold Demand Remains Strong

VanEck's Q1 Market Outlook highlights a clearer fiscal and monetary environment supporting a positive risk appetite for 2026. Key opportunities include AI-related stocks, which saw a significant valuation reset in late 2025, improving their attractiveness. Nuclear energy, linked to AI-driven power demand, also offers better risk-reward prospects after recent adjustments. Gold continues to strengthen as a global monetary asset, with strong central bank demand and a structural bullish outlook despite technical overbought signals. Business Development Companies (BDCs) now offer attractive yields and valuations after a challenging 2025. India remains a high-growth market due to structural reforms. Cryptocurrency, while maintaining a long-term bullish trend, presents mixed short-term signals as Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle was disrupted in 2025. Policy stability and reduced fiscal risks in the U.S. further anchor market confidence.

marsbit01/15 10:36

VanEck Q1 Global Market Outlook: Cryptocurrency Bullish Long-Term, Gold Demand Remains Strong