# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Liquidity

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Liquidity", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Why Do DeFi Users Reject Fixed Rates?

Fixed-rate lending has consistently struggled to gain traction in DeFi, not because users inherently reject it, but due to a fundamental mismatch between product design and the actual behavior of capital in the ecosystem. DeFi protocols are built as on-demand money markets, where lenders—acting like cash managers—prioritize liquidity, composability, and the ability to exit or reallocate funds instantly. They accept lower yields in exchange for these features. In contrast, fixed-rate products require locking funds for a duration, sacrificing this flexibility for a modest premium that often fails to adequately compensate for the loss of optionality. Most crypto borrowing is not long-term credit but leveraged, tactical activity like basis trading and collateral recycling, where borrowers also prefer floating rates for their flexibility. This creates a one-sided market: lenders demand a premium to lock funds, but borrowers are unwilling to pay it. Fixed-rate markets fragment liquidity across maturities, leading to poor secondary markets and significant price impacts for early exits. While fixed-rate products can exist in niche, hold-to-maturity forms, they are structurally disadvantaged. The lender base, composed of mercenary capital seeking liquidity, will likely keep floating-rate money markets like Aave as the default, with fixed-rate serving only as an optional overlay for those explicitly seeking duration exposure.

Odaily星球日报12/21 06:41

Why Do DeFi Users Reject Fixed Rates?

Odaily星球日报12/21 06:41

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

In his latest podcast, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, shares his macro outlook and investment strategy for the coming year. He argues that the market is waiting for a form of quantitative easing (QE) that will never be explicitly announced. Instead, the Federal Reserve will use new tools like "Reserve Management Purchases" (RMP) to inject liquidity by buying short-term Treasury bills, effectively achieving the same stimulative effect as QE without using the politically toxic term. Hayes believes the market will initially misunderstand RMP but will eventually recognize it as money printing, leading to a significant asset price rebound starting in early 2025, with potential volatility around March before a sustained uptrend. Hayes reveals his fund, Maelstrom, is nearly fully invested, with 90% of capital deployed, and remains confident even if Bitcoin drops below $80,000. He highlights Ethena (ENA) as one of his most successful altcoin bets due to its capture of interest rate dynamics, and is bullish on privacy and zero-knowledge (ZK) projects like Zcash for the next cycle, despite regulatory hurdles that limit exchange listings. He cautions against shorting AI-related stocks like NVIDIA and emphasizes that the U.S. administration will prioritize low rates and financial market growth to sustain the AI-driven economy, regardless of who leads the Fed. Hayes maintains his long-term Bitcoin target of $250,000 by 2026, warns against the overuse of leverage, and dismisses the notion that market makers are manipulating prices. He concludes that "altcoin seasons" are constant but require adapting to new narratives rather than clinging to past cycles.

marsbit12/20 02:21

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

marsbit12/20 02:21

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, shares his macro outlook and investment strategy in a recent podcast. He argues that the market is waiting for a "magic word like QE" from the Fed, but it won't come in its traditional form. Instead, he predicts a rebranded version of money printing called "Reserve Management Purchases" (RMP) will provide liquidity, with its full impact being recognized by the market around March next year, leading to a significant asset price recovery. Hayes is heavily invested, having deployed 90% of his capital, and remains confident in Bitcoin's long-term rise, reiterating a $250,000 price target for 2026. He warns against shorting AI-related stocks like NVIDIA, calling it a trap. For altcoins, he sees the next major narrative in privacy and ZK technologies, with Zcash (ZEC) as a current holding, though he acknowledges regulatory hurdles for privacy coins. He highlights Ethena (ENA) as one of his most successful and confident bets, expecting a sharp rally as monetary conditions ease. Hayes dismisses the idea that "altseason" is missing, stating it's always happening with new trends, and criticizes those who are too risk-averse to participate. The most dangerous macro narrative, in his view, is the belief that central banks will tighten policy. His key advice is to avoid excessive leverage and stop blaming market makers for price movements.

Odaily星球日报12/20 02:15

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

Odaily星球日报12/20 02:15

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