# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Insider Trading

Congress Targets Crypto Prediction Markets With 4 Bills Banning War And Assassination Bets

US Congress is intensifying regulatory pressure on crypto prediction markets with the introduction of the BETS OFF Act, the fourth such legislative effort since January. Sponsored by Senator Chris Murphy and Rep. Greg Casar, the bill aims to ban betting on sensitive events including terrorism, assassinations, wars, and any occurrences where the outcome is known or can be influenced. The legislation extends US jurisdiction to offshore platforms, mandates payment processors to block related transactions, and imposes criminal penalties on US-based promoters. This action follows suspicious trading activity, notably on Polymarket, where large, anonymous bets were placed and won substantial sums just hours before US military actions against Iran and Venezuela. Lawmakers express concern that such markets create dangerous conflicts of interest, allowing individuals with insider knowledge to profit from and potentially influence government decisions. The bill joins three others introduced since January, all seeking to prohibit betting on government actions, terrorism, and assassinations, reflecting broad bipartisan and public support for such restrictions.

bitcoinist03/19 10:03

Crypto Betting Giant Polymarket Faces Backlash After Users Harass A Reporter

bitcoinist03/17 19:02

Crypto Bets On Argentina Inflation Stoke Fears Of Insider Trading On Polymarket

Argentinian authorities have ordered a nationwide blockade of the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, enforced by regulators and internet providers, following a court ruling that deemed it an unlicensed gambling operation. The move comes after allegations of insider trading emerged when suspicious betting activity occurred just before the release of official inflation data in February. Argentina follows Colombia as the second Latin American country to ban the platform, reflecting a broader global trend of regulators treating prediction markets as gambling rather than financial tools. This could fragment liquidity and push users into less regulated markets.

bitcoinist03/17 13:49

$7 Billion Iran Bet Forces U.S. to Tighten Rules on Prediction Markets

Polymarket and Kalshi, two prediction market platforms, are reportedly seeking funding at valuations of around $20 billion each. This coincides with increased regulatory scrutiny from U.S. lawmakers and the CFTC, driven by controversial contracts related to Iran. Approximately $529 million was wagered on contracts predicting the timing of an Iranian attack, and $150 million on contracts related to the potential ouster of Supreme Leader Khamenei. Six accounts allegedly profited around $1.2 million from well-timed trades just hours before an attack on Iranian officials. These events have intensified concerns about insider trading, market manipulation, and the use of sensitive or classified information. In response, U.S. legislators are drafting bills to restrict certain event contracts, while the CFTC is advancing new regulatory frameworks. Despite the controversy, prediction markets are gaining traction as information products. Major media outlets like CNBC and Dow Jones have partnered with these platforms to integrate predictive data into their reporting. However, the integration of such data into mainstream media raises questions about fairness, trust, and the potential influence on public perception. The core challenge lies in balancing innovation and growth with regulatory oversight, especially when contracts involve geopolitical events, assassinations, or military actions. The U.S. must decide whether to heavily regulate these markets or outright ban certain contract types to prevent abuse and protect sensitive information.

marsbit03/16 14:41

Why Did the Prediction Market, Which Secured 20 Billion in Funding, Become the Target of Washington's Regulation?

Polymarket and Kalshi, two prediction market platforms, are seeking funding at valuations of around $20 billion each amid growing regulatory scrutiny from Washington. Their rise coincides with political controversy surrounding contracts related to Iran, where approximately $529 million was wagered on the timing of an Iranian attack and $150 million on contracts tied to the potential ouster of Supreme Leader Khamenei. Six accounts reportedly profited around $1.2 million from well-timed trades, raising concerns about insider information and war speculation. While Wall Street sees prediction markets as valuable information tools—evidenced by data partnerships with major media outlets like CNBC and Dow Jones—regulators are moving to impose stricter rules. U.S. lawmakers are drafting bills to restrict certain event contracts, and the CFTC is advancing new regulatory frameworks. The core issue revolves around trust, fairness, and the risk of incentivizing leaks of sensitive or classified information. A lawsuit against Kalshi further highlights challenges: users allege the platform refused to pay $54 million in winnings related to Iran contracts by invoking new exceptions after events unfolded. The tension reflects a broader dilemma: balancing the growth and legitimacy of prediction markets as information products against the need to prevent unethical profiteering and protect national security interests.

比推03/16 13:29

Senate Democrats Introduce Bill to Ban Prediction Market Bets on War and Death

U.S. Senator Adam Schiff introduced the DEATH BETS Act, a bill to prohibit prediction markets from offering contracts related to war, terrorism, and individual deaths. This move contrasts with the CFTC's recent efforts to relax regulations on such markets. Supporters argue that these bets could enable insider trading using classified information and pose national security risks. The bill represents a policy clash between lawmakers seeking stricter controls and regulators favoring market flexibility. If passed, it could initiate broader discussions on event-based betting regulations.

TheNewsCrypto03/11 14:14

Self-Directed Insider Trading: How He Manipulated Prediction Markets to Pay for His Bugatti?

A prominent X user, @Euanker, has accused former kickboxing champion Andrew Tate of orchestrating an elaborate insider trading scheme on the prediction market platform Polymarket. The allegations claim that Tate controlled at least seven accounts to profit from markets predicting his own weekly tweet activity, earning a total of $52,286. On-chain evidence reveals a consistent funding path: deposits from exchanges like Duelbits and Bybit were bridged via a specific address, then used to place bets on Polymarket. Profits were ultimately funneled to a Gnosis Safe wallet controlled by Tate, which holds over $1.3 million in assets. The betting patterns closely aligned with Tate’s actual tweet activity, indicating manipulation. Andrew Tate, a controversial influencer known for his luxury lifestyle and previous involvement in meme coin promotions, is alleged to have used this scheme to fund expenses like his rented Bugatti. The incident highlights significant regulatory gaps in prediction markets, where outcomes controlled by a single individual create inherent insider risks. Polymarket, which approves all markets on its platform, faces scrutiny over its lack of safeguards against such manipulation.

比推03/11 13:27

Crypto Barbarians: The Jupiter System Still Owes the Market an Answer

The article "Encryption Barbarians: The Jupiter System Still Owes the Market an Answer" investigates the controversies surrounding the Jupiter ecosystem, particularly its affiliated projects Meteora and the founders Meow and Ben Chow, originally from the Mercurial Finance project backed by Alameda Research and FTX. After FTX's collapse, the team split into Jupiter (focused on liquidity aggregation) and Meteora (focused on dynamic market making), creating a vertically integrated ecosystem that controls everything from fiat on-ramps (via Moonshot acquisition) to trading and liquidity. This closed-loop system, while efficient, has been repeatedly accused of exploiting information asymmetry. Key controversies include: - Suspicious MET token airdrop distribution in October 2025, where a few wallets received disproportionately large allocations and showed patterns of coordinated dumping. - Suspected insider trading ahead of MET's listing on Upbit in November 2025. - The LIBRA token scandal in February 2025, where Meteora was accused of supporting a token that crashed after reaching a $4.6B market cap, causing $280M in losses. Ben Chow resigned and appointed law firm Fenwick & West (already under scrutiny for its work with FTX) for an independent investigation, which further damaged trust. While on-chain detective ZachXBT's recent report cleared Meteora in the Axiom Exchange insider trading case, the ecosystem remains under a cloud of suspicion over its centralized control, lack of transparency, and repeated patterns of operating in regulatory gray areas. The article concludes that the market is still waiting for real accountability from the Jupiter system.

marsbit03/11 05:49

New Challenges Posed by Prediction Markets to Political Elections

Predictive markets are increasingly influencing political elections, presenting new challenges for campaign teams. While polls have long shaped electoral narratives, donor confidence, and internal decisions, predictive markets introduce a different mechanism and incentive structure. Media outlets may now cite market-based probabilities, forcing campaigns to develop consistent responses. These markets reflect traders’ informed guesses rather than ground-level voter sentiment, and it remains unclear whether they function as leading or lagging indicators—or merely capture market sentiment. Internally, ethical and operational questions arise. Campaign personnel with access to non-public information (e.g., internal polls, strategy) could engage in trading that blurs the line between speculation and insider advantage. Although platforms like Kalshi enforce rules against insider trading, anonymity complicates enforcement. Conversely, predictive markets could theoretically serve as a hedging tool for staff facing electoral uncertainty. Market manipulation is a concern, though liquid markets are generally resilient against sustained manipulation. As predictive markets become embedded in media coverage and donor discussions, campaigns must proactively develop communication strategies, internal policies, and monitoring mechanisms rather than reacting passively. Preparing now will allow teams to better navigate this emerging element of the political information environment.

marsbit03/09 08:50

Bubblemaps trace Polymarket accounts linked to Iran strike bets

Blockchain analytics firm Bubblemaps has uncovered a network of connected wallets that profited from highly accurate bets on U.S. and Israeli military strikes involving Iran on the prediction market Polymarket. The investigation identified multiple accounts, including one named “nothingeverhappens911,” which moved profits off-platform and was linked via a shared Binance deposit to another account called “Skoobidoobnj.” This second account reportedly earned around $100,000 from bets placed just before strikes on 13 June and 21 June 2025. Two additional connected accounts made approximately $65,000 and $10,000 from bets on a 28 February U.S. strike and a 13 June Israeli operation, respectively. In total, four accounts generated about $240,000 from these trades. These findings follow earlier reports of six wallets making $1.2 million from the 28 February strike, raising concerns about potential use of non-public information. The activity has intensified scrutiny over whether prediction markets incentivize trading on privileged geopolitical knowledge.

ambcrypto03/05 17:39