# Сопутствующие статьи по теме ETF

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "ETF", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Absence of Black Swan: Alternative Suspects Behind Bitcoin's Oversold Condition

In a surprising market downturn, Bitcoin experienced a sharp, unexplained sell-off, entering its third-largest oversold zone without any clear "black swan" trigger. While macro risks, Fed hawkishness, and leverage liquidations contributed, several unconventional theories emerged. One hypothesis suggests an Asian mega-entity, possibly a Hong Kong-based fund, faced a cross-market liquidity crisis due to unwinding yen carry trades and failed gold/silver bets, forcing massive Bitcoin ETF liquidations (e.g., BlackRock’s IBIT saw record volumes). Another theory points to potential government sales of seized Bitcoin (e.g., U.S. and UK holdings from recent cases), though no on-chain evidence supports this. Additionally, institutional "deep pockets" may be drying up as high interest rates and AI-driven capital demands force asset sales, creating a liquidity feedback loop. Finally, crypto natives and OGs, anticipating a major crash, might be panic-selling collectively, while newer institutional buyers view the dip as an entry opportunity. Despite fears, data indicates OG selling pressure may already be subsiding.

比推02/06 09:55

Absence of Black Swan: Alternative Suspects Behind Bitcoin's Oversold Condition

比推02/06 09:55

Chances of US Fed Rate Cut Surface Ahead of Critical Data Roll Out, Crypto Prices Refuse to React

The possibility of a US Federal Reserve rate cut is being discussed ahead of key employment and inflation data releases. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 22.7% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in March 2026, up from 9.4% previously. Despite this, cryptocurrency prices have not reacted positively and continue to decline. Bitcoin has fallen to around $65,235, down 8.21% in 24 hours, while the total crypto market cap dropped 7.75% to $2.23 trillion. Market uncertainty is fueled by a 205% increase in January layoffs and comments from incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who supports shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet—a move that could negatively impact crypto. Investors are advised to exercise caution due to high volatility.

TheNewsCrypto02/06 09:20

Chances of US Fed Rate Cut Surface Ahead of Critical Data Roll Out, Crypto Prices Refuse to React

TheNewsCrypto02/06 09:20

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound May Be Just a 'Breather' Rather Than a Reversal

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound More Likely a "Pause" Than a Reversal Following a sharp decline, Bitcoin's price has fallen into a key target range. While the macro environment has improved marginally with stronger US growth indicators and a weaker dollar, Bitcoin has failed to show a clear, sustainable reversal signal. The price action remains caught between macro improvements and insufficient technical repair. A critical technical change is the breach and loss of a major trend level that previously distinguished between a rebound and a structural downtrend. This former support has now turned into resistance. Without a compelling new narrative or clear catalyst, the recent price recovery is more likely a technical rebound within a downtrend rather than a genuine trend reversal. Technically, Bitcoin continues to trade below its 21-week moving average. A sustained break above this level is needed to confirm a trend reversal. Historically, when both medium and long-term support structures are broken, the market tends to enter a prolonged weak phase. Furthermore, the funding structure presents constraints. Despite the sharp price drop, ETF holdings have not decreased significantly. Since their launch, investors have bought approximately $54.3 billion worth of Bitcoin via ETFs at an average cost of $90,000. This has resulted in tens of billions in unrealized losses. This large volume of underwater positions is more likely to create selling pressure on any rebound rather than provide support. In conclusion, despite marginal macro improvements, the weak technical structure, crowded positioning, and declining participation suggest macro positives are unlikely to translate into sustained upward momentum in the short term. The current rebound is more likely a pause within a top formation, with selling pressure potentially overwhelming new buying interest. A strict risk management approach is advised.

Matrixport02/06 09:17

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound May Be Just a 'Breather' Rather Than a Reversal

Matrixport02/06 09:17

XRP Retests $1.29 Support: Is $2 Still in Play or Will LiquidChain Capture the Momentum?

XRP is currently retesting a key support level at $1.29, a critical point that will determine whether it can resume its upward trajectory toward $2.00 or face a deeper decline. The recent pullback is seen as a healthy consolidation after a strong rally, driven by profit-taking and broader market volatility. Technical indicators suggest that holding above $1.25 could pave the way for a run to $1.96 and beyond, while a drop below $1.10 may lead to a fall toward $0.85. Regulatory developments, including potential SEC leadership changes and ETF approvals, remain central to XRP's bullish narrative. Meanwhile, LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is emerging as a high-risk, high-reward alternative, positioning itself as a cross-chain liquidity solution integrating Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. Having raised over $529K in its presale, it aims to address fragmentation in DeFi through specialized Layer-3 infrastructure. While XRP's focus remains tied to regulatory clarity and institutional adoption, LiquidChain offers a speculative bet on the future of interoperable decentralized finance.

bitcoinist02/06 09:05

XRP Retests $1.29 Support: Is $2 Still in Play or Will LiquidChain Capture the Momentum?

bitcoinist02/06 09:05

Bitcoin Teeters on Edge: Will $60K Hold or Is a V-Shape Recovery Imminent? $HYPER Keeps Pumping

Bitcoin is currently testing the critical $60,000 support level, a key psychological and technical threshold. A successful defense of this level could lead to a rebound toward $72,000, while a breakdown might trigger a decline to $52,000. Market sentiment is cautious due to reduced spot ETF inflows and macroeconomic uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve policy. Despite short-term selling pressure from speculators, long-term holders are not distributing coins, suggesting underlying strength. Amid Bitcoin’s consolidation, attention is shifting toward emerging infrastructure projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Bitcoin Layer 2 solution integrating Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) for high-speed smart contracts. Having raised over $31 million in its presale, Bitcoin Hyper aims to enhance Bitcoin’s scalability and utility, attracting significant investor interest. However, it carries risks typical of early-stage tokens, including regulatory and execution uncertainties. The broader market awaits Bitcoin’s next move, which could determine short-term directional momentum.

bitcoinist02/06 08:56

Bitcoin Teeters on Edge: Will $60K Hold or Is a V-Shape Recovery Imminent? $HYPER Keeps Pumping

bitcoinist02/06 08:56

No Black Swan, Four Atypical Suspicions Behind Bitcoin's Oversold 'Culprit'

This article explores four non-typical theories behind Bitcoin's recent sharp and seemingly unexplained price drop, which pushed it into one of its most oversold conditions in history. The first theory suggests the sell-off was triggered by a large Asian entity outside the crypto space. It allegedly engaged in leveraged trading on Binance, faced a liquidity crisis from unwinding a Yen carry trade, and was forced to liquidate positions after failed attempts to recoup losses in gold and silver markets. This points to a cross-market, leverage-driven liquidity cascade, with unusual trading volume in BlackRock's IBIT ETF hinting at a major forced liquidation by a concentrated holder. The second theory examines potential selling from governments. Speculation centers on the US possibly liquidating a massive 127,000 BTC seized from a criminal case and the UK's 61,000 BTC seizure from a money laundering investigation. However, no on-chain evidence of such large-scale government OTC sales has materialized. The third hypothesis argues that "deep pocket" institutional players, like sovereign wealth funds, are facing their own liquidity crunches. Burdened by high interest rates and over-allocated to illiquid alternative assets, they are selling more liquid holdings like crypto to fund new capital expenditures, such as the AI arms race, creating a negative feedback loop. Finally, the fourth theory posits that crypto native investors (OGs) are panic selling based on macro fears of a major economic downturn, while new institutional investors see the dip as a buying opportunity. The market remains heavily influenced by retail sentiment, with OGs often moving in unison, amplifying volatility despite the entrance of ETFs.

marsbit02/06 08:20

No Black Swan, Four Atypical Suspicions Behind Bitcoin's Oversold 'Culprit'

marsbit02/06 08:20

The Culprit Behind Bitcoin's Plunge on Thursday: Massive IBIT-Related Leveraged Options Forced to Liquidate?

Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline on Thursday, with BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) hitting a record trading volume of over 284 million shares, valued at more than $10 billion—a 169% increase from the previous record. IBIT’s price fell 13% to around $36, its lowest since October 2024. Market analysts suggest the sell-off may have been triggered by the forced liquidation of highly leveraged IBIT options positions held by one or more non-crypto hedge funds. Redemptions from IBIT reached $175 million, accounting for 40% of the total net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs that day. Put option premiums surged over 25 volatility points above calls, indicating extreme fear. Parker White, CIO of DeFi Dev Corp, speculated that large leveraged positions, combined with broader market stress including silver sell-offs and unwinding yen carry trades, likely exacerbated the losses. While such extreme volume and price action often signal capitulation, it remains uncertain whether the market bottom has been reached. Full details of the institutional positions involved may not be clear until mid-May due to delayed regulatory disclosures.

华尔街日报02/06 08:16

The Culprit Behind Bitcoin's Plunge on Thursday: Massive IBIT-Related Leveraged Options Forced to Liquidate?

华尔街日报02/06 08:16

RWA Weekly: Hong Kong Monetary Authority Aims to Issue First Batch of Stablecoin Licenses by March, CME and Google Pilot Tokenized Cash

RWA Weekly Digest: Key developments from Jan 31 - Feb 1, 2026 The on-chain RWA market cap grew significantly to $24.4 billion, with the number of holders surging to 833.9k, indicating a shift towards user base expansion. In contrast, the stablecoin market cap slightly declined to $3.05 trillion, but monthly transfer volume soared to $9.82 trillion, highlighting a trend of high turnover without new capital injection. Regulatory developments continued globally. The U.S. White House meeting failed to reach an agreement on stablecoin yields. Hong Kong's HKMA is evaluating 36 stablecoin license applications, aiming to issue the first batch by March. Brazil advanced a bill to ban algorithmic stablecoins. Traditional financial institutions accelerated their integration into the ecosystem. CME Group is exploring the launch of "CME Coin" and piloting a tokenized cash solution with Google. Fidelity's stablecoin FIDD officially launched. Spanish bank BBVA joined the EU's Qivalis project for a regulated euro stablecoin. Y Combinator will allow its Spring 2026 cohort startups to receive funding in USDC. Key infrastructure and product updates include: MetaMask integrated with Ondo Finance, enabling direct trading of tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs. Ondo also launched a "Global Listing" service for tokenizing stocks on their IPO day. Manta Network partnered with Pruv Finance to introduce tokenized sports infrastructure RWAs. SBI Holdings and Startale Group developed the Strium blockchain focused on on-chain securities. S&P Global Ratings projected the euro stablecoin market could grow 1,600x to €1.1 trillion by 2030, driven by asset tokenization demand under the EU's MiCA regulation. Analysis highlighted that the success of RWA depends on robust risk quantification, structured design, and regulatory compliance. The trend of on-chain perpetual stock contracts was identified as a key channel for absorbing traditional finance liquidity into crypto, though it faces a race against potential future regulation. Tether's significant gold acquisitions, over 70 tons last year, were noted as backing for its XAUt token, making it a major force in the gold market.

marsbit02/06 07:59

RWA Weekly: Hong Kong Monetary Authority Aims to Issue First Batch of Stablecoin Licenses by March, CME and Google Pilot Tokenized Cash

marsbit02/06 07:59

Bitwise Files With SEC to Launch First Uniswap ETF in U.S. Markets

Bitwise Asset Management has filed with the SEC to launch the first U.S. ETF focused solely on Uniswap’s UNI token. The proposed fund aims to provide regulated exposure to UNI through a conventional investment vehicle, without staking the tokens. Coinbase Custody is set to serve as the custodian. This filing follows the SEC’s recent conclusion of its investigation into Uniswap Labs, easing regulatory concerns. If approved, the ETF would mark a significant step in offering institutional and retail investors traditional access to a DeFi governance token, reflecting growing demand for regulated crypto investment products.

TheNewsCrypto02/06 07:44

Bitwise Files With SEC to Launch First Uniswap ETF in U.S. Markets

TheNewsCrypto02/06 07:44

Mass Liquidations Continue: $860M Lost as Bitcoin and Ethereum Break Key Levels

A fresh wave of selling has pushed Bitcoin and Ethereum below key support, triggering $860 million in liquidations within 24 hours. Bitcoin fell toward $70,000, breaking below its 365-day moving average and accelerating its downward trend. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows, removing a key source of demand. Ethereum also declined, testing the $2,100 level and seeing over $200 million in liquidations. Large holders are deleveraging, increasing the risk of further forced selling. The broader market followed, with major altcoins down 6-11%. Market sentiment has turned to "extreme fear," with traders watching key levels to see if the sell-off deepens.

bitcoinist02/06 07:40

Mass Liquidations Continue: $860M Lost as Bitcoin and Ethereum Break Key Levels