# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Crypto

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Crypto", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

If You Bought One Deep OTM Bitcoin Put Option Every Month Since 2018, Could You Make Money in the Long Run?

Based on a systematic backtest from 2018 to 2026, this study examines the long-term profitability of a monthly strategy of buying one deep out-of-the-money (OTM) put option on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), with a target delta of 0.01 and a 30-day expiration. The results are highly divergent. The strategy is not a stable source of profit but a classic, path-dependent tail insurance tool characterized by extreme right skew, very low win rates, and severe drawdowns. For BTC, the strategy yielded a final total return of 97.62% (CAGR: 8.66%), while for ETH, it resulted in a -73.07% loss (CAGR: -14.78%). The performance difference is attributed to BTC's extreme payouts being sufficient to cover the long-term cost of premiums, whereas ETH's were not. Key characteristics of the strategy include: * Extremely low win rates (BTC: 2.04%, ETH: 1.02%). * Catastrophic maximum drawdowns (BTC: -97.24%, ETH: -93.82%). * The median trade return was -100% for both assets. * Profits are driven entirely by a few extreme winning trades, with the top 5 trades contributing over 10x the net profit for BTC. * Notably, not all major market crashes (e.g., March 2020, LUNA, FTX) resulted in profitable positions due to timing and strike price placement. Parameter sensitivity analysis showed that a delta of 0.02 offered a more balanced risk-return profile across metrics. The strategy is best suited for investors who can tolerate years of continuous losses, view it as portfolio insurance rather than a primary alpha generator, and seek convexity against extreme downside events. It is not suitable for those seeking stable returns or with low risk tolerance.

marsbit03/16 11:11

If You Bought One Deep OTM Bitcoin Put Option Every Month Since 2018, Could You Make Money in the Long Run?

marsbit03/16 11:11

For Web3, This Time Cai Wensheng Is Determined to Get His Hands Dirty

Cai Wenshou, a prominent Chinese internet entrepreneur and investor, is making a significant push into the Web3 space with a hands-on approach, moving beyond his previous role as a financial backer. Despite early successes in domains and internet companies like Meitu, his advocacy for Meitu's $100 million cryptocurrency investment in 2021 led to substantial paper losses and public criticism, eventually resulting in his departure as chairman. After stepping down, he reduced his stake in Meitu and invested personal funds into Web3 initiatives. He purchased a 25-story commercial building in Hong Kong, renamed it "CAI Tower" (representing Crypto and AI), offering free rent to Web3 and AI startups in exchange for first investment rights. He also acquired two Hong Kong-listed companies, rebranding them as CAI Holdings and LONG Investment Group, to build a Web3 and AI asset management platform. Additionally, he integrated a licensed virtual asset exchange, EXIO, into his ecosystem, creating a full-cycle support system from incubation to trading. Cai believes in the long-term potential of Web3, comparing its growth trajectory to AI's gradual rise. He remains optimistic about Bitcoin's future, predicting it could reach $1.1 million. Unlike some early crypto figures who have exited the industry, Cai is deepening his involvement, aiming to foster tangible projects and ecosystems. His commitment reflects a broader need for established leaders to drive real-world adoption and achieve a credible, impactful victory for the crypto space.

marsbit03/16 09:45

For Web3, This Time Cai Wensheng Is Determined to Get His Hands Dirty

marsbit03/16 09:45

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