# Сопутствующие статьи по теме BTC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "BTC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin drops 23% in 2026: Is this BTC’s weakest start since 2014?

In 2026, Bitcoin experienced its sharpest early-year decline since 2014, dropping 23% from around $88,700 to $68,000 within 50 days. This bearish trend was driven by macro catalysts, hawkish policy signals, and geopolitical stress, leading to significant deleveraging. Market capitalization fell 24%, accompanied by $2.9 billion in ETF outflows and shrinking volumes. A major factor was Binance’s dominant role, accounting for 36% of Bitcoin futures open interest and up to 42% of spot trading. Its sharp contraction in open interest—from $16 billion to $6 billion—amplified the downturn, triggering forced liquidations and cross-exchange contagion. As liquidity tightened, volatility increased, spreads widened, and pricing efficiency fragmented across platforms like Bybit, OKX, and Bitget. Despite Binance’s structural importance in price discovery, its concentration of liquidity exacerbated systemic risk during market stress, accelerating volatility transmission throughout the crypto ecosystem.

ambcrypto02/21 17:02

Bitcoin drops 23% in 2026: Is this BTC’s weakest start since 2014?

ambcrypto02/21 17:02

Bitcoin prices stall – Why BTC’s recovery isn’t confirmed yet

Bitcoin's price remains range-bound between $60k and $72k, currently trading at $67.8k. Despite minor upward momentum, market sentiment is fearful. Analysts warn of a potential long squeeze due to high leverage and an elevated long/short ratio. The absence of a 'full cleansing' phase is notable, with the Sales Pressure signal missing for 1,133 days. Key levels to watch are the short-term holder realized price ($91.4k), the network realized price ($54.8k), and the long-term holder realized price ($38.7k). A sustained drop below $54.8k could trigger maximum network stress. However, a recent positive shift in monthly cumulative demand offers an early constructive sign, though sustained positive demand is needed to confirm a recovery.

ambcrypto02/21 13:02

Bitcoin prices stall – Why BTC’s recovery isn’t confirmed yet

ambcrypto02/21 13:02

Ethereum Hits Multi-Year Accumulation High While Price Action Remains Under Pressure

Ethereum briefly bounced but faced strong resistance at $2,000, pulling back toward $1,900. Despite price pressure, on-chain data reveals multi-year high accumulation levels. Analysts note significant buying activity, with over $490 million moved to new wallets—2.4x above average. Whale inflows surged 30.7x, and exchange outflows signal strong accumulation. ETH's net buying now outpaces Bitcoin, suggesting capital rotation and positioning ahead of potential catalysts. At press time, ETH traded at $1,957, down over 1%, with volume dropping 11%.

bitcoinist02/21 03:01

Ethereum Hits Multi-Year Accumulation High While Price Action Remains Under Pressure

bitcoinist02/21 03:01

Ethereum – Smart money ‘buys the dip’ as altcoins enter structural downtrend

Ethereum experienced significant selling pressure, triggering a transfer of supply from weaker holders to large investors ("whales") who aggressively accumulated ETH in the $1,900–$2,000 range. This absorption expanded whale balances from 8 million to over 24 million ETH, slowing downside momentum and suggesting potential early-cycle base formation. In contrast, the broader altcoin market faced relentless net selling, with liquidity collapsing and many altcoins declining 40–90% from their highs. Bitcoin dominance rose to 58% as capital rotated defensively into major assets amid macro headwinds and reduced speculative demand. While Ethereum shows accumulation strength, the altcoin market remains structurally weak and vulnerable to further volatility.

ambcrypto02/20 17:02

Ethereum – Smart money ‘buys the dip’ as altcoins enter structural downtrend

ambcrypto02/20 17:02

Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst Mike McGlone Has Revised BTC Price Prediction, but a Broader Concern Remains

Mike McGlone, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, has revised his Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction upward from a previous low of $10,000 to $28,000, citing historical price distribution. However, he maintains a cautious outlook, suggesting the buy-the-dip strategy may be over and noting that traditional assets like stocks, gold, and silver are attracting investors with lower volatility compared to cryptocurrencies. His forecasts have faced criticism from the crypto community, with some labeling them as alarmist and potentially misleading. Despite the revision, broader concerns about Bitcoin's volatility persist, with current prices around $67,471.96 and a high volatility rating. The article emphasizes that this is not financial advice and encourages independent research.

TheNewsCrypto02/20 13:21

Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst Mike McGlone Has Revised BTC Price Prediction, but a Broader Concern Remains

TheNewsCrypto02/20 13:21

Bitcoin’s $65K on edge – Are crowded BTC longs in danger?

Bitcoin is consolidating around $65K after a 30% pullback, with low volatility and increasing speculation. On-chain data shows a whale opening a large leveraged long position, while the overall long/short ratio indicates a crowded long bias. This creates a high risk of a long squeeze if volatility surges. Meanwhile, macroeconomic pressures are mounting: rate-cut expectations have plummeted to 5.9%, geopolitical tensions are rising, and oil prices have hit a six-month high—adding inflationary concerns. These factors are causing traders to become cautious, increasing the likelihood of a downside move that could threaten Bitcoin's $65K support level.

ambcrypto02/20 09:02

Bitcoin’s $65K on edge – Are crowded BTC longs in danger?

ambcrypto02/20 09:02

Altcoins surge after Ethereum’s latest bottom – Is a breakout next?

Ethereum's recent price drop towards $1,700 triggered fear-driven selling and liquidations across altcoins. However, structurally significant shifts followed: trading volume against stablecoin pairs surged aggressively, buy walls repeatedly absorbed selling pressure, and the market showed signs of accumulation beneath the panic. The OTHERS/BTC pair broke a multi-year bearish trend, while the MACD indicator remained green for two consecutive months—a first in nearly six years. If February closes with a green candle, it could confirm a sustained momentum shift and potentially ignite a broader altcoin rally in the coming months, though Bitcoin holding above its Weekly EMA 200 remains critical factor for confidence.

ambcrypto02/20 08:01

Altcoins surge after Ethereum’s latest bottom – Is a breakout next?

ambcrypto02/20 08:01

Unlocking the 'Golden Key' in Prediction Markets Through 27.73 Million Transaction Data: 690 K-Line Strategies Struggle to Profit

The article investigates whether a profitable "golden key" strategy exists in prediction markets, using an analysis of 27.73 million transactions over 3,082 fifteen-minute BTC prediction markets. The study debunks several common approaches: Technical analysis based solely on price action, tested across 690 combinations of entry/exit points, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, yielded no positive expected value. Even high-win-rate strategies, like buying at 90% and selling at 99%, resulted in negative expectations due to poor risk-reward ratios. Similarly, arbitrage strategies aiming to profit from YES+NO prices below 1 were also unprofitable after accounting for real-world constraints. The research identifies two potentially viable strategies: 1. **Momentum-based trading**: A brief ~30-second window exists after sharp BTC price moves (>$150-$200) where prediction market token prices lag, allowing manual traders to capitalize on this inefficiency before algorithms adjust. 2. **Fair value model**: A model calculating a token's theoretical win probability based on BTC's volatility and time to expiry revealed that markets are inefficient. Profitable opportunities arise only when tokens trade at a significant discount (>10 cents) to their fair value. Buying at a premium, even with high win probability, leads to negative expected returns. The conclusion advises traders to abandon pure price-based technical analysis, focus on the underlying asset (BTC), respect probability valuations, and only buy at a discount to fair value to avoid being systematically outperformed by algorithms.

marsbit02/20 04:02

Unlocking the 'Golden Key' in Prediction Markets Through 27.73 Million Transaction Data: 690 K-Line Strategies Struggle to Profit

marsbit02/20 04:02

Bitcoin: Why THESE signals point to $60K as BTC’s cycle low

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant decline, trading at $66,988 with a 1.75% daily drop and a 46% decrease from its all-time high. Despite the bearish trend, key metrics suggest a potential cycle bottom. The short-term Sharpe Ratio fell to -38, a level historically seen at major cycle lows in 2015, 2019, and 2022, indicating seller exhaustion. Additionally, Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Ratio reached a new high of 261, signaling increased scarcity and reduced selling pressure. The MVRV Z-Score dropped to 0.445, reflecting extreme bearish sentiment and a wealth transfer from weak to strong hands. While the RSI remains low at 32 and the downtrend persists, these metrics hint at a possible market recovery, with targets towards $90k if support holds.

ambcrypto02/20 01:31

Bitcoin: Why THESE signals point to $60K as BTC’s cycle low

ambcrypto02/20 01:31

FOMC Minutes Hint at a Possible Rate Hike, Trouble For the Crypto Market?

FOMC meeting minutes indicate a potential interest rate hike despite U.S. inflation dropping to 2.40% in January 2026, nearing the 2% target. Federal Reserve officials suggest pausing rate cuts and possibly considering an increase, emphasizing the need for balanced inflation and labor market conditions. The current federal rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%, with slight labor market improvements. This uncertainty may negatively impact the crypto market, causing increased volatility, $38.73 million in liquidations, and a 1.55% market cap decline. BTC saw significant short liquidations amid heightened investor caution.

TheNewsCrypto02/19 12:25

FOMC Minutes Hint at a Possible Rate Hike, Trouble For the Crypto Market?