# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Analysis

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Analysis", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Trading Moment: Japan's Rate Hike Boot Lands, Bitcoin Faces Key Test at $81,000, Ethereum Struggles to Rebound

Japan's central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 0.75%, a 30-year high, tightening global liquidity. Despite a surprise drop in U.S. CPI, market uncertainty remains due to data reliability concerns. Bitcoin is consolidating between $81,000 support and $93,000 resistance. Analysts warn a break below $81,300 could trigger further selling, with some targets as low as $68,000. Ethereum struggles to hold $2,800; a break below may lead to a drop toward $2,100. Market fear is extreme (greed index at 16). Over $5.1 billion was liquidated in 24 hours. Crypto ETFs saw outflows, with Bitcoin ETFs down $161M and Ethereum ETFs down $96.6M. Major options expiries and long-term holder selling add downward pressure, though some analysts anticipate a potential Santa Rally toward $100,000.

marsbit12/19 06:30

Trading Moment: Japan's Rate Hike Boot Lands, Bitcoin Faces Key Test at $81,000, Ethereum Struggles to Rebound

marsbit12/19 06:30

Dogecoin Makes a Big Move! Whale Scoops Up 138 Million DOGE, Is History Repeating Itself to Push Towards $1?

Dogecoin is showing significant whale activity, with large investors accumulating approximately 138 million DOGE during a recent price dip. This suggests growing confidence that DOGE may be nearing a local bottom, despite recent corrections. Technical analysis indicates that DOGE is retesting key Fibonacci levels between $0.109 and $0.272, with strong support around $0.15. The current market structure resembles the pre-bull run pattern of 2024, hinting at a potential major upward cycle ahead. On-chain data from Glassnode shows a decline in the percentage of DOGE supply in profit, typical of consolidation phases, which could support upward movement if demand increases. Key resistance levels are identified at $0.18 and $0.22. A sustained break above these could propel DOGE toward $0.50—a 310% increase—with a longer-term possibility of reaching $1, representing a 710% surge. Momentum indicators like RSI show bullish divergence, suggesting weakening selling pressure. Broader macroeconomic factors, including potential Federal Reserve easing by 2026, may also provide tailwinds for risk assets like Dogecoin.

金色财经12/19 02:56

Dogecoin Makes a Big Move! Whale Scoops Up 138 Million DOGE, Is History Repeating Itself to Push Towards $1?

金色财经12/19 02:56

Mixed Signals for XRP as Price Weakness Collides With Bold Analyst Targets

XRP is ending 2025 caught between conflicting forces: weakening price action and cautious technical indicators versus optimistic analyst targets and positive utility narratives. The price has fallen below the key $2 level, with technical analysis pointing to a potential deeper correction toward $1.60-$1.65 if support at $1.85-$1.90 breaks. Despite the bearish chart structure, some analysts argue that fundamentals remain strong, citing legal clarity for Ripple and ongoing development. Others, like Dark Defender, maintain ambitious targets near $5.85. New narratives around yield strategies and unconfirmed adoption rumors, such as potential use in EA Sports payments, add to the mixed sentiment, leaving XRP at a crossroads heading into 2026.

bitcoinist12/19 02:01

Mixed Signals for XRP as Price Weakness Collides With Bold Analyst Targets

bitcoinist12/19 02:01

Dissecting Curve DAO’s price action as CRV eyes another support test

Curve DAO (CRV) experienced a 6.6% increase in Open Interest, indicating heightened speculative activity, despite its price declining by 2.63% in 24 hours and 9.9% over the past week. Analysis of higher timeframes reveals a bearish trend, with the weekly chart showing a break below key support levels at $0.49 and $0.37. The A/D indicator and MACD both reflect strong selling pressure and downward momentum. On the 6-hour chart, a bearish structure break and a short-selling setup were identified, with an overhead imbalance zone up to $0.38. A move above $0.38 would invalidate the bearish outlook. The next major support target is $0.243, with intermediate supports at $0.329 and $0.298. Overall, market structure and indicators favor further downside.

ambcrypto12/19 01:01

Dissecting Curve DAO’s price action as CRV eyes another support test

ambcrypto12/19 01:01

Bitcoin trips at $90K despite CPI showing curbed US inflation: What gives?

Bitcoin approached $90,000 after U.S. November CPI inflation came in lower than expected at 2.7% year-over-year, renewing market risk appetite. The rally was driven by new long positions rather than short covering, with open interest rising. On-chain data indicates a stabilization phase rather than panic selling, with metrics like NUPL and SOPR showing loss absorption and coins being sold near cost. However, the move is seen as liquidity-driven and impulsive, leaving room for short-term pullbacks. A key technical hurdle is reclaiming $90,000, with a close above potentially targeting $90,500–$92,000. A rejection could lead to a retest of $83,800. The Bank of Japan’s upcoming rate decision remains a final macro risk for the year.

cointelegraph12/18 19:59

Bitcoin trips at $90K despite CPI showing curbed US inflation: What gives?

cointelegraph12/18 19:59

Top Expert Predicts When XRP Will Flip Ethereum

A crypto expert, YoungHoon Kim, has predicted that XRP could surpass Ethereum in market capitalization by 2026. He suggests this would require XRP to reach a price of $5.64, a new all-time high, driven by increased institutional adoption. Kim, who claims to have the world's highest recorded IQ, has recently shifted his focus from Bitcoin to XRP, stating he is now exclusively buying XRP. He has also made other bullish predictions, including XRP reaching $100 within five years. However, some critics, including prominent XRP supporters, view these forecasts as overly optimistic.

bitcoinist12/18 19:02

Top Expert Predicts When XRP Will Flip Ethereum

bitcoinist12/18 19:02

Ethereum down 42% from all-time high: Where will ETH price bottom?

Ether (ETH) has declined 42% from its all-time high of $4,950, falling below $3,000. Analysts warn that if the $2,800 support level fails, ETH could drop toward $2,100—a key level where 2.1 million ETH were previously acquired. Traders note Ethereum's significant underperformance compared to Bitcoin and other assets this cycle. Market sentiment remains bearish, with Polymarket bettors pricing an 83% chance of ETH revisiting $2,500 and a 59% chance of falling to $2,000 by 2026. Institutional demand has weakened, as U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs saw five consecutive days of outflows totaling $533.1 million, reducing assets under management to $17.34 billion. Additionally, daily treasury buying of ETH has dropped sharply from its August high. Despite the current 42% drawdown being relatively shallow compared to historical bear cycles (which saw 80-90% declines), on-chain and technical indicators suggest further downside risk.

cointelegraph12/18 14:47

Ethereum down 42% from all-time high: Where will ETH price bottom?

cointelegraph12/18 14:47

DOGE to Drop 60%? BTC Rally Can't Save It, Is the 2022 Crash Script Repeating?

Analyst VisionPulsed warns that Dogecoin (DOGE) could plummet to $0.05, a 60% drop from its current price of $0.1259, even if Bitcoin experiences a rebound. Bitcoin's daily RSI is approaching oversold levels, and if it forms a "higher low," a short-term bounce may occur. However, BTC remains stuck at the lower Bollinger Band—a pattern reminiscent of its 2022 breakdown after 63 days of consolidation. A critical concern is the bearish divergence between BTC and DOGE: while Bitcoin attempts to stabilize, DOGE continues making lower lows, mirroring the pre-crash behavior of 2022. Even if BTC rebounds, DOGE may only see a weak rally to the January resistance of $0.20, which could be a "last exit window" before a deeper decline. Technical indicators for DOGE show no bullish signals, with the analyst highlighting a high-risk scenario and advising caution. The current trend remains strongly bearish.

金色财经12/18 04:21

DOGE to Drop 60%? BTC Rally Can't Save It, Is the 2022 Crash Script Repeating?

金色财经12/18 04:21

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: Is Market Supply Running Low?

In a significant market move, investment firm Strategy purchased over 10,000 BTC (worth approximately $900 million) in a single week, reinforcing its position as one of the world’s largest Bitcoin holders with a total of 671,000 BTC valued at over $50 billion. This aggressive accumulation has raised questions about Bitcoin’s actual available supply. Although 19.96 million BTC (95% of the total 21 million cap) have been mined, the truly liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is held long-term without movement, and around 20% is likely permanently lost. Additionally, exchange reserves have dropped to multi-year lows, reducing immediately tradable supply. Key institutional players include 153 companies with non-zero BTC balances—29 of which are public firms holding 1.082 million BTC. Strategy alone accounts for 671,000 BTC (62% of corporate holdings). Bitcoin ETFs hold about 1.311 million BTC, led by BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale. Governments hold approximately 615,000 BTC, with the U.S. and China as top holders. Around 3.409 million BTC haven’t moved in over a decade, with at least 2.14 million considered permanently inaccessible due to lost keys—including an estimated 1 million BTC possibly owned by Satoshi Nakamoto. With rising institutional demand and shrinking liquid supply, the market is experiencing structural tightening, potentially driving future price dynamics as available BTC becomes scarcer.

比推12/17 15:15

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: Is Market Supply Running Low?

比推12/17 15:15

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much is Left to Buy on the Market?

In the past week, the publicly traded company MicroStrategy (referred to as "Strategy" in the text) purchased over 10,000 BTC, valued at more than $900 million, reinforcing its position as one of the world's largest institutional Bitcoin holders with a total of 671,000 BTC worth over $50 billion. This aggressive accumulation occurs despite a declining Bitcoin price and the company's mNAV falling below 1. This buying spree raises a critical question: how much Bitcoin is truly available for purchase on the market? While 19.96 million BTC have been mined (95% of the total 21 million cap), the actual liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is considered "dormant," and around 20% is presumed permanently lost. Furthermore, institutional holdings from corporations, ETFs, and national funds are rapidly absorbing available supply, withdrawing it from active circulation. Exchange balances have also plummeted to multi-year lows, standing at approximately 2.49 million BTC, indicating a sharp contraction in immediately sellable "float." Key data points on illiquid supply: * Long-term holders control ~14.35 million BTC (over 70% of supply). * 153 corporations hold Bitcoin, with 29 public companies holding 108.2K BTC. MicroStrategy alone holds 671K BTC, 62% of the corporate total. * Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold ~1.31 million BTC. * National governments hold ~615,000 BTC. * An estimated 2.14 million BTC (including ~1.08 million from 2009) are likely permanently lost due to lost private keys. The combination of massive institutional demand and a structurally shrinking liquid supply is creating a scenario of increasing scarcity, potentially signaling a major shift in market dynamics.

marsbit12/17 13:36

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much is Left to Buy on the Market?

marsbit12/17 13:36

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