Restructuring Consensus in the Crypto Market

深潮Опубликовано 2025-12-16Обновлено 2025-12-16

Введение

In 2025, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing a structural transformation across three key dimensions: the form, meaning, and use of money. First, the form of money is diversifying. Stablecoins, tokenized bank deposits, and CBDCs are coexisting with distinct roles. Payment infrastructure and IT platforms are rapidly adopting stablecoins to expand their ecosystems. Second, the concept of money is broadening. Tokenization is converting both tangible assets (like bonds and real estate) and intangible elements (like attention and predictions) into liquid, programmable assets. This blurs the line between money and assets, redefining value representation. Third, the use of money is expanding. Centralized exchanges (CEXs) like Binance, Bybit, and Coinbase are evolving into full-stack financial ecosystems. They now offer derivatives, tokenized stocks, RWAs, on-chain debit/credit cards, and integrated DeFi services. These platforms are building their own blockchains (e.g., BNB Chain, Base) to create vertically integrated environments. Overall, the shift from speculative concepts to practical reality is accelerating. Regulatory clarity, institutional adoption, and technological integration are driving this change, positioning blockchain as the future core of global finance.

Written by: Heechang

Compiled by: Block unicorn

Key Takeaways

Until 2025, many on-chain assets were still just concepts. Today, they are moving towards clarity and gradually becoming reality. Structural changes are happening simultaneously in the three dimensions of the form, meaning, and use of money.

First Transformation: The form of money is diversifying. Stablecoins, tokenized bank deposits, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) will coexist in different roles. Fiat on/off-ramps, payment infrastructure, and IT platforms are rapidly adopting stablecoins to expand the post-issuance commercial landscape and usage ecosystem at a faster pace.

Second Transformation: The concept of money is broadening. Tokenization is turning not only physical and financial assets but also intangible elements like attention and predictions into assets. This blurs the line between money and assets, redefining both towards a world where "everything we own" becomes a unit of liquid value.

Third Transformation: The use of money is expanding. Centralized exchanges are moving beyond being mere trading venues to building full-stack financial ecosystems encompassing derivatives, risk-weighted assets (RWA), on-chain debit/credit cards, and on-chain decentralized finance (DeFi). Consequently, real-world blockchain use cases are diversifying around the central hub of exchanges.

All finance will eventually run on the blockchain.

This was my original purpose for entering the blockchain industry. Even if a crisis like the Terra collapse happens again, I cannot imagine an ideal financial system—an efficient, transparent, and programmable one—being possible without the blockchain at its core. I personally believe the most advanced financial infrastructure can only be built on-chain, and over time, existing systems will inevitably converge towards this structure.

2025 is the year this transition becomes tangible reality. With regulatory clarity, financial institutions, fintech companies, and governments are no longer debating whether to adopt blockchain. The question has now completely shifted from "when to adopt" to "how to participate."

Changes that once seemed distant and conceptual are now being implemented with clear direction. The essence of money—its form, its concept, its use cases—is undergoing structural transformation simultaneously across three dimensions.

Now, let's explore how these transformations are unfolding and examine the key forces driving this change.

1. First Transformation: Stablecoins Bring Diversification in the Form of Money

Source: "The Network Model of Money" — Luca Prosperi

The core of money is that it is the asset benchmark we use to measure value. When we buy or exchange goods, we price them in our national fiat currency. Historically, only two types of institutions issued and operated this money: central banks and commercial banks. Central banks manage the money supply and stability, while commercial banks operate the channels for fund flow between institutions and retail.

Stablecoins add a completely new layer to this. They enable any company to create its own form of money and build financial infrastructure around it, creating particularly powerful synergies with digital platforms. This does not mean stablecoins will replace central banks or commercial banks. Instead, just as PayPal and Stripe reshaped payments, and Robinhood changed how people invest, save, and spend, stablecoins introduce a new type of money designed for the digital world.

Three major trends emerged in 2025.

Stablecoins, Tokenized Bank Deposits, and CBDCs Will Coexist Long-Term

Source: "State of Crypto 2025: The Year Crypto Goes Mainstream"- a16z crypto

In the US, the first comprehensive federal stablecoin bill—the GENIUS Act—was passed by both houses of Congress and signed into law on July 18. The act introduces a licensing system for banks and stablecoin issuers and mandates that reserves must be held 1:1 in cash or short-term Treasury bonds.

Hong Kong acted more swiftly. The Legislative Council passed the Stablecoin Ordinance in May 2025. Starting August 1, stablecoin issuance officially became a regulated and licensed activity, with approvals expected in early 2026.

Japan, building on its 2023 amendments to the Payment Services Act, clarified eligibility for stablecoin issuance and launched its first large-scale issuance in the second half of 2025. JPYC issued a yen-backed stablecoin, with reserves fully held in domestic Japanese deposits and government bonds, and fully redeemable for yen. Japan's framework strictly limits issuers to licensed financial institutions and allows for trust structures to enhance the segregation of investor assets.

Among commercial banks, JPMorgan continues to expand deposit tokenization and real-time settlement through its private blockchain network, Kinexys. JPM Coin allows corporate clients to convert US dollars in their JPMorgan accounts into on-chain tokens, which can be used for instant transfers between global subsidiaries or for large-value settlements.

I believe stablecoins are not here to replace the existing monetary system. Instead, they will coexist with central bank money, bank deposits, and new digital assets—each playing a different role. Let's review these roles.

Central banks play the role of controllers. They issue fiat currency like the US dollar, manage the money supply, and provide a final backstop during times of financial stress.

Commercial banks play the role of coordinators. Regulated by central banks, they operate deposit accounts, provide credit, and facilitate the flow of funds between savers and borrowers. In short: if central banks issue the US Dollar, commercial banks create deposit forms like "JPMorganUSD".

Stablecoins play the role of catalysts. Backed by cash or short-term sovereign debt, stablecoins are not designed to replace central or commercial banks. Instead, they enable companies to build digital-first financial ecosystems and allow money to flow faster and more widely across various services.

Ultimately, the future is not about replacement, but about coexistence. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) will reinforce monetary sovereignty and macro-level stability. Tokenized deposits will maintain the system of regulated financial intermediation. Stablecoins will compensate for the slower pace of central and commercial banks while meeting the speed, programmability, and interoperability required by the digital economy.

Each form of money will play a complementary role in an increasingly on-chain financial system.

Companies Controlling the 'Next Layer' of Stablecoin Issuance Will Rise Rapidly

For stablecoins to be truly used, the primary condition is issuance. But for stablecoins to function in daily life or business operations, a critical step is needed: converting stablecoins to local currency, and vice versa. In 2025, a host of companies began integrating the infrastructure required for these on/off-ramp payment processes.

Yellowcard, Africa's largest crypto payments on-ramp company, has become a regional hub, able to connect stablecoins with local currencies, fully compliant with each country's regulations. Bridge, acquired by Stripe for $1.1 billion, plays a similar role. Companies like Zero Hash and BVNK—reportedly considered for acquisition by Mastercard and Coinbase for around $2 billion—now provide backend infrastructure for enterprises, exchanges, and fintech platforms, enabling the practical use of stablecoins at scale.

These services offer secure payment settlement and AML/KYC workflows, allowing businesses to accept stablecoins and convert them to local currency without bypassing domestic payment regulations. This architecture indicates that stablecoins are being deeply integrated into the existing financial system, rather than operating outside it.

Large exchanges like Binance, Bybit, and OKX are also expanding their own on/off-ramp functionalities, some building in-house, others outsourcing fiat ramps to specialized partners. Payment companies like Banxa, Mercuryo, and OpenPayd play a central role in this ecosystem, providing fiat payment channels that seamlessly connect with stablecoin trading flows.

All this points to a clear shift: the definition of stablecoins is no longer confined to their issuance but is increasingly about empowering individuals and businesses to use them.

IT Platforms Will Begin to Fully Embrace Stablecoins

IT platforms, the hubs of daily consumer activity and business operations, are becoming the most powerful nexus for expanding stablecoin adoption. Asia's "super apps," which blend instant messaging, shopping, payments, and financial services, have already created massive user engagement and transaction volumes with their (non-crypto) digital wallets. By integrating stablecoins internally, these platforms can build their own native financial ecosystems and significantly boost user engagement.

By 2025, both PayPal and Cloudflare had launched stablecoin initiatives aimed at making them mainstream payment and internet infrastructure.

PayPal has integrated PYUSD into remittances, commerce, and e-commerce settlements, and recently invested in Stable. Stable is a Layer 1 blockchain optimized for USDT-based payments, which could further streamline PayPal's global payment infrastructure.

Cloudflare launched Net Dollar, a stablecoin designed to enable AI agents to autonomously settle API fees and cloud usage fees, effectively embedding programmable money into internet services.

This signals a broader shift: stablecoins are becoming the base monetary unit of the platform economy. Whether a platform issues its own stablecoin or partners with external issuers like Circle and Tether, stablecoins are beginning to function as the standard currency for these digital ecosystems.

2. Second Transformation: Tokenization Expands the Concept of Money

Through tokenization, asset ownership is moved onto the blockchain. In the past, ownership was recorded on paper documents, bank accounts, or centralized databases.

On-chain, ownership can be fractionalized, these fractions can be transferred under specific conditions, automatically distributed as yield, or deposited and traded via smart contracts.

This structure vastly expands asset accessibility. Historically, markets for assets like stocks, bonds, or private credit were only accessible to institutions or high-net-worth individuals. Yet, once tokenized, the same asset can be split into thousandths of a share and traded in real-time. Individuals can now participate through fractional ownership, opening up entirely new models of investing and consumption.

Ultimately, tokenization expands the very definition of money.

What we traditionally call "money"—a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account—is no longer limited to fiat currency. Increasingly, assets themselves are functioning as money. Treasury bonds, money market funds, investment funds, real estate, and even company equity are becoming programmable forms of money that can be programmed and used.

The Tokenized Asset Market Will Accelerate Growth

Source: RWA News: Ripple and BCG Report Tokenized Real-World Assets Could Reach $18.9 Trillion by 2033

Just five years ago, the stablecoin market was only $20 billion. Today, it exceeds $300 billion, while the tokenized real-world asset (RWA) market has grown from $13 million to $34.7 billion. Digital dollars, tokenized treasuries, and tokenized money market funds have become tangible tools for investment and settlement for both institutional and individual investors.

At the core of this trend are global financial institutions. BlackRock offers on-chain exposure to US Treasuries through its tokenized money market fund, BUIDL. Apollo has tokenized private credit funds, opening new liquidity channels for traditionally illiquid assets. Securitize, which provides infrastructure for these products, can now tokenize funds, equity, and alternative assets, and is even seeking to list in the US. Tokenization has moved far beyond blockchain startups to global financial giants.

According to a joint report by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and Ripple, the tokenization market is projected to grow 30-fold over the next eight years, reaching approximately $18.9 trillion by 2033.

The direction is clear: tokenized assets are becoming one of the fastest-growing segments of the global financial system.

Even Intangibles Will Be Tokenized

Source: Kalshi founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara on turning events into assets

This year, Kaito pioneered a new concept. Kaito uses a unit called "yap" to measure and quantify the mention or promotion of a topic on Twitter, introducing the concept of an attention economy. In short, public attention is transformed into a measurable unit of value.

Prediction markets have similarly gained significant traction. Strictly speaking, prediction markets are not the same as tokenization, but they are conceptually similar in that they turn non-financial information or future events into tradable assets.

Tokenization converts tangible assets or financial products like treasury bonds, real estate, and funds into on-chain tokens. Prediction markets convert future possibilities, such as "Will a certain candidate win the election?", into tradable contracts.

In other words, tokenization grants ownership of an existing asset, while prediction markets grant value to a probability.

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi issue "yes/no" tokens for each event. After the event concludes, the winning side receives a $1 settlement. Unlike tokenized assets, which use collateral or legal trust structures for redemption, prediction markets use oracles and verified data for settlement, relying on the "truth of the outcome."

However, both systems follow a core principle: they transform previously non-tradable subjects into market-native assets with price and liquidity.

Ultimately, prediction markets represent the tokenization of belief and information, shifting the focus from "What do you own?" to "What do you believe, and how do you value it?"—thereby expanding the scope of assets in the blockchain world.

Source: X user — Crypto_Dep

Tokenization Will Fundamentally Change Our Perception of Money

The essence of tokenization is not merely moving assets onto the blockchain but changing how assets operate. Traditionally, "money" (dollars, euros, etc.) and "assets" (bonds, stocks, real estate) were seen as two distinct domains. Tokenization merges these two domains into a unified system.

Treasury bonds, venture funds, even real estate can now be represented as programmable, interoperable tokens that can be transferred instantly and integrated directly into various services. Once tokenized, assets can be used, stored, and priced in real-time. This breaks down the boundaries between what we own and what we can use, erasing the lines that previously separated financial products from liquidity.

Our traditional financial thinking is linear: we earn money → save money → invest → spend. Tokenization blurs the distinction between "money" and "assets." Everything we own becomes an expression of liquid value.

3. Third Transformation: The Rise of Centralized Exchanges (CEX), Expanding the Use of Money

Source: Gate Research: "Ecosystem Landscape and Convergence Trends of Centralized and Decentralized Exchanges"

"How much did it go up?"

For a long time, this simple question has driven the crypto market. News of Bitcoin rising 1000%, Ethereum soaring, or a new token's price skyrocketing always captures public attention. Price volatility became the market's focus, and trading became the core of everything.

And centralized exchanges are the hubs of this trading activity.

Binance, founded in 2017, now sees daily trading volumes of around $100 billion, making it one of the most liquid exchanges in the financial markets. Bybit (2018) and OKX (2017) follow closely, while exchanges like Upbit and Coinbase serve as the primary entry points for crypto in their respective markets.

While decentralized exchanges are growing rapidly, the vast majority of trading volume still occurs off-chain, within centralized platforms.

In regions like South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan, regulatory restrictions and user awareness mean on-chain activity is only accessible to a subset of users. Migrating users from centralized exchanges to decentralized ecosystems requires not just a technical shift, but a psychological one—a transition that is by no means easy.

Centralized exchanges remain the primary entry point for most users into cryptocurrency, shaping how money moves, trades, and circulates in the digital economy.

Source: Uniswap vs. Coinbase and Binance trading volume (7-day average)

These platforms are no longer just cryptocurrency exchanges—they are evolving into comprehensive digital asset financial ecosystems.

Exchanges today offer far more than simple spot trading. They now provide perpetual contracts, options, and various structured derivatives, and recently even support trading of tokenized stocks and risk-weighted assets (RWA).

For example, Bybit integrated tokenized stocks through xStocks, enabling 24/7 trading of tokenized equities; Binance expands its business through derivatives and Launchpad, becoming a platform encompassing the entire token economy.

Exchanges are also building complete financial stacks, integrating trading → deposits → lending → spending.

As centralized exchanges transform into comprehensive financial infrastructure, it's necessary to examine the strategies they are deploying and how they are preparing for the next phase of on-chain finance. Let's delve into these strategies.

Exchange Services Will Continue to Expand

Exchanges are evolving from mere trading venues into "financial super apps."

In the past, users could only trade listed tokens. Now, with the launch of pre-sale platforms, users can trade even before the Token Generation Event (TGE). This allows users to directly participate in early-stage projects with high growth potential, equivalent to participating in pre-IPO financing opportunities on-chain.

Launchpad platforms are also developing rapidly, becoming a way for new projects to distribute tokens before listing on exchanges. Binance, Bybit, and OKX all operate their own Launchpads, attracting millions of participants and becoming key drivers of user acquisition. In this model, users are no longer just traders; they become early stakeholders in projects.

Exchanges are also expanding their scope from cryptocurrency to tokenized real-world assets (RWA).

Bybit's xStock is a prime example: users can trade tokenized global stocks and ETFs 24/7, signaling a growing trend of "decentralized access to traditional assets." Demand for on-chain real-world investments is steadily increasing.

Coinbase launched Bitcoin-backed lending through an integration with the lending protocol Morpho; Robinhood is experimenting with prediction markets, further integrating new financial primitives directly into its platform.

Beyond trading, exchanges are building a full suite of services aimed at maximizing the utility of customer assets, covering yield, credit, and spending.

Yield products like staking and yield-bearing vaults offer substantial returns on assets held on the exchange. On the spending side, products like the Bybit Card and Coinbase Card connect cryptocurrency balances directly to everyday real-world payments.

In other words, exchanges are no longer mere intermediaries for buying and selling tokens.

They are becoming integrated on-chain financial platforms where saving, investing, borrowing, and spending all occur within the same ecosystem.

Mature On-Chain Services Will Be Integrated into Exchanges

Source: Morpho's Bitcoin-backed loans

Exchanges are no longer sticking to their closed ecosystems but are expanding user functionality by directly integrating on-chain financial services.

A prime example is Bybit integrating Ethena's USDe into its trading pairs and yield products. This allows users to add a yield-bearing synthetic dollar, created and managed entirely on-chain, to their asset mix. This indicates a growing tendency for exchanges to view decentralized protocols as modular service components rather than external partners, embedding them directly into their platforms.

Coinbase is pushing this trend even further. By connecting its main exchange app with the Base app, Coinbase now supports DEX trading and provides access to millions of on-chain assets. The line between centralized and decentralized exchanges is becoming increasingly blurred.

Users, while maintaining the familiar centralized exchange interface, gain direct access to on-chain liquidity, pushing exchanges towards a hybrid CEX/DeFi model.

Coinbase also integrated Morpho's lending infrastructure directly into the exchange app. Users can deposit Bitcoin and borrow USDC using Bitcoin as collateral, all powered by underlying on-chain vaults. Since its launch in January, Coinbase's Morpho-based vaults have grown rapidly, with $1.48 billion in deposits and $840 million in loans.

These developments point to a grander direction:

Exchanges will increasingly support battle-tested on-chain services within their applications. This provides users higher yield opportunities and greater asset utility while allowing exchanges to expand services without taking on protocol risk.

In effect, on-chain services are being integrated into the backend of centralized exchanges, and the user experience is gradually migrating seamlessly on-chain.

Exchanges Will Build Their Own Ecosystems

Exchanges no longer rely solely on external blockchains. They are increasingly building their own or closely partnering with blockchains that support their vertically integrated ecosystems.

The most prominent example is Binance's BNB Chain.

BNB started as a simple transaction fee discount token but has now evolved into a fully independent ecosystem hosting hundreds of projects, including DEXs, NFT marketplaces, RWA, and more. Binance uses this architecture to seamlessly migrate exchange users to its own on-chain services, thereby increasing the utility and demand for the BNB token.

Bybit has adopted a similar strategy with Mantle. Bybit builds trading incentives around the MNT token, bootstrapping users through designed liquidity incentives and ecosystem partnerships.

Coinbase, with its tens of millions of users, leverages Base to provide on-chain services for its exchange customers. Base has become home to popular apps like Morpho and Aerodrome, demonstrating how blockchains operated by centralized exchanges (CEX) can develop into vibrant on-chain environments.

In the US, Robinhood is preparing to launch its own Layer 2 blockchain, aiming to process tokenized stocks, options, and cryptocurrency trades directly on-chain, effectively merging its traditional brokerage infrastructure with a blockchain settlement system.

Vertical integration allows them to control trading, liquidity, user traffic, and settlement on a unified platform, creating tightly knit ecosystems for end-to-end circulation of digital assets.

4. Understanding Change is More Important Than Feeling It

Ethereum was born less than a decade ago. Just five years ago, the stablecoin market was only a few tens of billions of dollars, and the tokenization market was almost non-existent. Today, both have grown into multi-hundred-billion-dollar markets, becoming new cornerstones of global financial infrastructure.

The pace of future change will be faster, and its impact more diverse. Of course, on-chain services are not yet perfect; challenges related to security, ease of use, and regulation remain. But without understanding the current environment, one cannot grasp the next wave of opportunity. Change is not arriving slowly in the distant future; it is accelerating from subtle shifts that began long ago.

The elements of blockchain are no longer described in technical terms like "decentralization" but are expressed in the language of finance—yield products, cross-border remittances, payments. Only when more people learn to read and understand the world in the language of on-chain will they truly comprehend the changes reshaping the financial landscape.

This year marks the beginning of this shift. I hope more people can move beyond merely "feeling" this change and begin to truly understand and prepare for what comes next.

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat are the three key structural changes happening simultaneously in the dimensions of money's form, meaning, and use?

AThe three key structural changes are: 1) The form of money is diversifying, with stablecoins, tokenized bank deposits, and CBDCs coexisting. 2) The concept of money is broadening, as tokenization turns tangible and intangible elements into assets, blurring the line between money and assets. 3) The use of money is expanding, as centralized exchanges build full-stack financial ecosystems beyond just trading.

QAccording to the article, what role do stablecoins, tokenized bank deposits, and CBDCs play in the future financial system?

AThey will coexist and play complementary roles: CBDCs will reinforce monetary sovereignty and macro stability; tokenized deposits will maintain the regulated financial intermediation system; and stablecoins will act as a digital-first catalyst, providing the speed, programmability, and interoperability needed for the digital economy.

QHow is tokenization changing the traditional definition of money and assets?

ATokenization is breaking down the traditional separation between 'money' (like dollars) and 'assets' (like bonds or real estate). It turns assets into programmable, interoperable tokens that can be used, stored, and priced in real-time, making everything we own a liquid unit of value.

QWhat trend are centralized exchanges (CEXs) like Binance and Bybit following in 2025?

ACEXs are evolving from simple trading venues into comprehensive 'financial super-apps' or full-stack digital asset ecosystems. They are expanding services to include derivatives, tokenized RWAs, on-chain debit/credit cards, lending, yield products, and even building their own blockchain networks (e.g., BNB Chain, Base).

QWhat is the projected growth for the tokenized asset market according to the BCG and Ripple report mentioned in the article?

AThe tokenized asset market is projected to grow 30-fold in the next eight years, reaching approximately $18.9 trillion by 2033.

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Глубокий отчет Goldman Sachs анализирует перспективы китайской индустрии больших AI-моделей, выделяя исторический переломный момент. Китайские модели с открытыми весами по интеллектуальным возможностям приближаются к ведущим глобальным проприетарным аналогам, что стимулирует быстрое внедрение как внутри страны, так и среди мирового малого и среднего бизнеса. Ключевые выводы: 1. **Эффективность и инновации:** Китайские модели достигают сопоставимой производительности при значительно меньших затратах благодаря инновациям в архитектуре (например, MoE) и высокой параметрической эффективности. Пример — модель LongCat 2.0 от Meituan, полностью обученная на отечественных чипах. 2. **Двухуровневая рыночная структура:** Формируется рынок с сегментами premium (например, GLM5.2, Qwen3.7 Max, ~$1 за млн токенов) и budget (модели для агентов, ~$0.06-$0.2 за млн токенов). Ожидается рост доходов от API/подписок с ~350 млрд юаней в 2026 г. до ~8.79 трлн юаней к 2030 г. 3. **Стратегия открытого исходного кода:** Широко используется для гибкости развертывания и роста сообщества, но монетизация ограничена. Ожидается переход от полностью открытых лицензий к моделям с "открытым весом + коммерческой лицензией" и соглашениям о разделе доходов. 4. **Сдвиг парадигмы на глобальном рынке:** Фокус смещается с максимизации объема токенов на приоритет ROI (окупаемости инвестиций). Китайские модели набирают долю на зарубежных рынках (не США) благодаря соотношению цена/качество и доступности через платформы, такие как AWS Bedrock и Gemini Enterprise. 5. **Конкурентный ландшафт:** Goldman Sachs выделяет потенциальных долгосрочных лидеров на основе анализа ценового потенциала, преимуществ по затратам и финансовой устойчивости. * **Базовые текстовые модели:** Zhipu AI (нейтральный рейтинг) и DeepSeek (не публичная) имеют самые сильные позиции. * **Мультимодальные/видеомодели:** ByteDance (Seedance) является лидером. Также положительно оцениваются MiniMax (покупка) и Kuaishou (Kling). Отчет подчеркивает значительный рост индустрии и ее растущее глобальное влияние.

marsbit1 ч. назад

Глубокий отчет Goldman Sachs: Кто станет долгосрочным победителем в индустрии больших языковых моделей ИИ в Китае?

marsbit1 ч. назад

Глубокий отчет Goldman Sachs: Кто станет долгосрочным победителем в индустрии ИИ-больших моделей Китая?

**Кто станет долгосрочным победителем в индустрии ИИ-моделей Китая? Отчет Goldman Sachs** Китайские большие языковые модели (LLM) находятся на переломном этапе. Аналитики Goldman Sachs отмечают, что производительность китайских открытых моделей приближается к ведущим мировым проприетарным аналогам, а их внедрение быстро растет. Ключевые факторы успеха — архитектурные инновации (например, смешанные экспертные модели — MoE) и высокая эффективность параметров, что позволяет добиваться сопоставимой производительности при значительно меньших затратах (2-10% от параметров топ-моделей) и формировать "двухслойную" структуру рынка. **Двухуровневый рынок:** Сформировались два сегмента. *Высококлассные* модели (например, GLM5.2 от Zhipu, Qwen3.7 Max от Alibaba) с ценой ~$1 за млн токенов и рентабельностью 10-20%. *Бюджетные* модели для агентов (цена ~$0.06-0.2 за млн токенов) активно завоевывают глобальный рынок малого бизнеса. Ожидается, что доходы от API/подписок в Китае вырастут с ~35 млрд юаней в 2026 до ~879 млрд юаней в 2030 году. **Стратегия открытого исходного кода:** Многие ведущие китайские модели (Zhipu, DeepSeek, Alibaba, MiniMax) используют открытые веса для ускорения итераций и глобального распространения. Однако текущая модель монетизации (прямые API) недооценивает реальный масштаб развертывания. Ожидается переход к модели "открытые веса + коммерческая лицензия" с разделением доходов через платформы (AWS Bedrock, Alibaba Cloud), что улучшит рентабельность. **Глобальная экспансия и смена парадигмы:** Главный потенциал роста — выход на международные рынки (особенно за пределами США), где китайские модели конкурируют ценой и качеством. Goldman отмечает сдвиг корпоративного спроса от максимизации потребления токенов к приоритету ROI (окупаемости инвестиций), где важнее эффективность и автоматизация задач. **Потенциальные победители:** Goldman Sachs оценивает конкуренцию по трем критериям: ценовая власть, преимущества в себестоимости и финансовая устойчивость. * **Базовые текстовые модели:** Наиболее сильные позиции у **Zhipu AI** (первое покрытие, целевая оценка $110 млрд) и **DeepSeek** (не публична). * **Мультимодальные/видеомодели:** Лидер — **ByteDance** (не публична) с моделью Seed (высокая рентабельность). Также выделены **Kuaishou** (Kling) и **MiniMax** (покупка, цель — 860 HKD), чья оценка выглядит недооцененной. **Вывод:** Китайские ИИ-модели добились прорыва в эффективности и качестве, формируя конкурентоспособное глобальное предложение. Долгосрочный успех будет определяться способностью сочетать технологическое лидерство, эффективную монетизацию открытых стратегий и выход на международные рынки.

链捕手1 ч. назад

Глубокий отчет Goldman Sachs: Кто станет долгосрочным победителем в индустрии ИИ-больших моделей Китая?

链捕手1 ч. назад

Circle получает окончательное одобрение OCC для создания национального трастового банка с целью укрепления инфраструктуры USDC

Circle получила окончательное одобрение Управления контролера денежного обращения США (OCC) на создание национального трастового банка под названием First National Digital Currency Bank, N.A. (Circle National Trust). Это важный нормативный этап, который переводит ключевую часть инфраструктуры стейблкоина USDC под прямое федеральное банковское регулирование. Новый трастовый банк будет предоставлять регулируемые услуги по хранению цифровых активов для компании и, в перспективе, для ограниченного числа институциональных клиентов, включая банки. Утверждение также закладывает основу для возможного будущего управления резервами USDC под надзором OCC. Circle стала одной из первых криптокомпаний в новой волне заявителей, прошедшей путь от условного до окончательного одобрения OCC, что отражает общую тенденцию интеграции криптоинфраструктуры в существующую банковскую систему США.

ambcrypto1 ч. назад

Circle получает окончательное одобрение OCC для создания национального трастового банка с целью укрепления инфраструктуры USDC

ambcrypto1 ч. назад

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