Rebuttal: I Don't Regret Spending 8 Years in the Crypto Industry

marsbitОпубликовано 2025-12-11Обновлено 2025-12-11

Введение

Ken Chang recently wrote an article lamenting his eight years in crypto as a waste, describing the industry as inherently destructive and a system of financial nihilism that has built the world's largest casino. While many in the space dismiss such critiques, the author acknowledges that Ken’s disillusionment—shared by earlier figures like Mike Hearn—stems from a genuine idealistic disappointment. Crypto promised decentralization and a new financial system but largely delivered speculation and gambling. The author identifies five core aspirations of cryptocurrency: restoring sound money, encoding business logic via smart contracts, making digital property real, improving capital market efficiency, and expanding global financial inclusion. While progress has been made in areas like Bitcoin, stablecoins, and certain efficient financial infrastructures, many grand visions—like overthrowing fiat or revolutionizing digital ownership—remain unfulfilled. The author advocates for a "pragmatic optimism." Speculation and casino-like dynamics are seen as unfortunate but inevitable side effects of building permissionless, open financial infrastructure. The key is to focus on the real, albeit gradual, progress—such as improved financial access and inclusion—while accepting that transformative change is slow and often captured by incremental efficiency gains, not revolution. The goal remains worthy, even if the path is messier than hoped.

Ken Chang recently published an article titled "I Wasted Eight Years of My Life in Cryptocurrency," in which he lamented the inherent capital destruction and financial nihilism of the industry.

People in the crypto space love to ridicule such "dramatic exit" articles and gleefully recount the stories of historical figures like Mike Hearn or Jeff Garzik who made high-profile departures (while never failing to point out how much Bitcoin has risen since they left).

But Ken's article is largely correct. He said:

Cryptocurrency claimed it would help decentralize the financial system, and I once believed it deeply. But the reality is, it is just a super system for speculation and gambling, essentially a replica of the current economy. Reality hit me like a truck: I wasn't building a new financial system; I built a casino. A casino that doesn't call itself a casino, yet it is the largest, 24/7, multiplayer online casino our generation has ever built.

Ken pointed out that VCs have burned tens of billions of dollars funding various new public chains, and we clearly don't need that many. This is true, although his description of the incentive model is slightly off (VCs are essentially conduits for capital—overall, they only do what their limited partners are willing to tolerate). Ken also criticized the proliferation of perpetual and spot DEXs, prediction markets, meme coin launch platforms, etc. Indeed, while you can defend these concepts on an abstract level (except for meme coin launch platforms, which are indefensible), it's undeniable that their proliferation is solely because the market incentivizes it, and VCs are willing to pay for it.

Ken said he entered the crypto space with idealistic aspirations and stars in his eyes. This is familiar to participants in this field: he had libertarian leanings. But in the end, he didn't practice libertarian ideals; instead, he built a casino. Specifically, he is best known for his work on Ribbon Finance, a protocol that allows users to deposit assets into vaults and earn yield by systematically selling options.

I don't want to sound too harsh, but it is what it is. If it were me, I would also engage in deep reflection. When the conflict between principles and work became unbearable, Ken reached his pessimistic conclusion: cryptocurrency is a casino, not a revolution.

What struck me deeply was that it reminded me of the article Mike Hearn wrote nearly a decade ago. Hearn wrote:

Why did Bitcoin fail? Because the community behind it failed. It was supposed to be a new type of decentralized currency, without "systemically important institutions," without "too big to fail," but it became something worse: a system entirely controlled by a few people. Worse yet, the network is on the verge of technical collapse. The mechanisms that were supposed to prevent this have failed, so there is little reason to believe Bitcoin can truly be better than the existing financial system.

The details differ, but the argument is consistent. Bitcoin/cryptocurrency was supposed to be one thing (decentralized, cypherpunk practice), but it turned into something else (a casino, centralized). Both agree: it ultimately did not prove better than the existing financial system.

Hearn and Ken's arguments can be summarized in one sentence: cryptocurrency initially had a purpose, but it ultimately went astray. So we have to ask: what is the purpose of cryptocurrency?


Five Goals of Cryptocurrency

In my view, there are roughly five camps, which are not mutually exclusive. Personally, I most identify with the first and fifth camps, but I have empathy for all. However, I am not dogmatic about any, not even the hardcore Bitcoin camp.

Restoring Sound Money

This was the original dream, shared by most (though not all) early Bitcoin players. The idea is that, over time, Bitcoin will pose a competitive threat to the monetary privileges of many sovereign states, possibly even replacing fiat currency and bringing us back to a new gold standard-like order. This camp typically views everything else in the crypto space as distractions and scams, merely riding Bitcoin's coattails. Needless to say, Bitcoin has made limited progress at the sovereign state level, but in just 15 years, it has come far enough as a significant monetary asset. Adherents of this view live in a constant state of disillusionment and hope, with near-delusional expectations that widespread Bitcoin adoption is just around the corner.

Encoding Business Logic with Smart Contracts

This view, championed by Vitalik Buterin and most of the Ethereum camp, posits: since we can digitize money, we can express various transactions and contracts in code, making the world more efficient and fair. To Bitcoin maximalists, this was once heresy. But it has found success in certain narrow areas, especially those easily expressed mathematically, like derivatives.

Making Digital Property Rights Real

This is my summary of the "Web3" or "read-write-own" philosophy. The idea is not without merit: digital property rights should be as real and reliable as physical property rights. However, its practices—NFTs, Web3 social—have either gone completely astray or, to put it politely, were born at the wrong time. Despite billions of dollars invested, few now defend this philosophy. But I still think there is something worth pondering. I believe many of our current internet dilemmas stem from not truly "owning" our online identities and spaces, nor having effective control over who we interact with and content distribution. I believe we will eventually regain sovereignty over our digital property, and blockchain will likely play a role. It's just that the timing isn't right yet.

Improving Capital Market Efficiency

This is the least ideological of the five goals. Not many get excited about securities settlement, COBOL, SWIFT, or wire transfer windows. But regardless, this is a real driving force behind a significant part of the crypto industry. The logic is: the Western financial system is built on an outdated tech stack, extremely difficult to upgrade due to path dependency (no one dares easily replace core infrastructure handling trillions in daily settlements), so it has long needed an update. This update must come from outside the system and adopt a completely new architecture. The value here is mostly in efficiency gains and potential consumer surplus, making it less exciting.

Expanding Global Financial Inclusion

Finally, there are passionate individuals who see cryptocurrency as an inclusive technology, providing low-cost financial infrastructure globally—for some, even their first access to financial services. This means enabling people to self-custody crypto assets (more commonly stablecoins now), access tokenized securities or money market funds, obtain credit cards issued based on crypto wallets or exchange accounts, and be treated equally on the financial internet. This is a very real phenomenon, and its superficial success offers solace to many disillusioned idealists.

Pragmatic Optimism

So, who is right? The idealists or the pessimists? Or is there a third possibility?

I could go on at length about how bubbles always accompany major technological changes, how bubbles actually catalyze the construction of useful infrastructure, and how cryptocurrency is especially speculative precisely because it is financial technology, but that would be somewhat self-consoling.

My real answer is: maintaining pragmatic optimism is the correct attitude. Whenever you despair over the crypto casino, you must hold onto this tightly. Speculation, mania, and capital extraction should be understood as inevitable yet unpleasant side effects of building useful infrastructure. It comes with real human costs, which I don't mean to downplay. The normalization of meme coins, pointless gambling, and financial nihilism among young people is particularly frustrating and socially unhelpful. But this is a (negative) side effect inevitably produced by building capital markets on permissionless rails. I see no other way; you just have to accept it as part of how blockchains operate. And you can choose not to participate.

The key is: cryptocurrency has its goals, and it's completely normal to harbor ideals about it. It is this purpose that motivates thousands of people to dedicate their careers to this industry.

It's just that it might not be as exciting as you imagined.

The world is unlikely to suddenly fully embrace Bitcoin. NFTs haven't revolutionized digital ownership. Capital markets are slowly moving on-chain. Besides the dollar, we haven't tokenized many assets. No authoritarian regime has fallen because ordinary people hold crypto wallets. Smart contracts are mainly used for derivatives, with little else. To date, the only applications with product-market fit are limited to Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs, and prediction markets. Yes, much of the value created may be captured by large companies or eventually returned to consumers in the form of efficiency gains and cost savings.

Therefore, the real challenge is to maintain an optimism rooted in realistic possibilities, rather than indulging in blind, optimistic fantasies. If you believe in a libertarian utopia, the gap between expectation and reality will eventually lead to disillusionment. As for the casino effect, unrestrained token issuance, and rampant speculation, these should be seen as ugly warts on the industry's underbelly—difficult to remove but objectively present. If you believe the costs brought by blockchain now outweigh its benefits, then choosing disillusionment is completely reasonable. But in my view, the current situation is actually better than ever. We have more evidence than ever before that we are on the right path.

Just remember that goal.

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat are the five main goals or camps of cryptocurrency as outlined in the article?

AThe five main goals or camps are: 1. Restoring sound money. 2. Encoding business logic with smart contracts. 3. Making digital property rights real (Web3/read-write-own). 4. Improving capital market efficiency. 5. Expanding global financial inclusion.

QAccording to the author, what is the 'correct attitude' to have towards the cryptocurrency industry?

AThe author argues that the correct attitude is 'pragmatic optimism,' which involves accepting the speculative and often negative aspects (like the 'casino') as an unavoidable side effect of building useful infrastructure on a permissionless轨道, while staying focused on the original goals.

QWhat was the core disillusionment expressed by Ken Chang and Mike Hearn regarding cryptocurrency?

ABoth Ken Chang and Mike Hearn expressed that cryptocurrency, which was initially envisioned as a decentralized, revolutionary alternative to the traditional financial system (e.g., sound money, cypherpunk ideals), had instead become something worse: a centralized casino or a system that failed to be better than the existing financial establishment.

QWhat does the author identify as the 'truly product-market fit applications' in crypto so far?

AThe author states that the only applications that have achieved true product-market fit so far are Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs (decentralized exchanges), and prediction markets.

QHow does the author characterize the relationship between speculative frenzy and useful infrastructure in crypto?

AThe author characterizes the relationship by stating that speculative frenzy, bubbles, and capital allocation (even to negative things like meme coins) are an 'inevitable yet unpleasant side effect' of building useful infrastructure. This is presented as a consequence of building on a permissionless轨道 where there is no central authority to prevent it.

Похожее

The Essence of AI Layoffs: Why More AI Adoption Leads to More Corporate Anxiety?

The author, awaiting potential inclusion on an 8000-person layoff list, analyzes the true nature of recent "AI-driven" layoffs. They argue that while AI use, particularly tools like Claude for code generation, has skyrocketed and boosted developer output (e.g., 2-5x more code commits), this has not translated into proportional business growth or revenue. The core issue is a misalignment between increased "Input" (code) and tangible "Outcomes" (user value, revenue). AI acts as a costly B2B SaaS, inflating operational expenses without guaranteed returns. Two key problems emerge: 1) The friction that once filtered out bad ideas is gone, as AI allows cheap pursuit of even weak concepts. 2) Organizational "alignment tax"—the difficulty of coordinating across teams—becomes crippling when development velocity outpaces consensus-building. Thus, layoffs serve two immediate purposes: 1) To offset ballooning AI costs (Token consumption) and maintain cash flow, as rising input costs without outcome growth destroys unit economics. 2) To reduce organizational bloat and alignment friction by simply removing teams, thereby speeding up execution in the short term. Therefore, these layoffs are fundamentally caused by AI, even if AI doesn't directly replace roles. They represent a painful correction until companies learn to convert AI-driven productivity into real business outcomes and streamline organizational coordination to match the new pace of work. The cycle will continue until this learning curve is mastered.

marsbit34 мин. назад

The Essence of AI Layoffs: Why More AI Adoption Leads to More Corporate Anxiety?

marsbit34 мин. назад

Can the Solana Foundation and Google's Collaboration on Pay.sh Bridge the Payment Link Between Web2 and Web3 in the Agent Economy?

Solana Foundation, in collaboration with Google Cloud, has launched Pay.sh, a payment gateway designed to bridge the gap between AI agents and enterprise-grade service infrastructure. The initiative aims to solve a key bottleneck in the "agent economy": existing payment systems are ill-suited for autonomous AI agents. Traditional methods like credit cards require human verification, while newer on-chain protocols like x402 and MPP create a separate, Web3-native system that raises barriers for service providers. Pay.sh functions as a universal payment layer. It allows users to fund a Solana wallet via credit card or stablecoin, which then acts as an identity and payment proxy for AI agents. When an agent needs to access a paid API service (e.g., Google Cloud, Alibaba Cloud), Pay.sh handles the transaction seamlessly. It leverages the HTTP 402 status code ("Payment Required") to initiate payments, intelligently choosing between one-time transfers (x402-style) or session-based authorizations (MPC-style) based on the service's billing model. This spares agents from manual account registration and API key management. A key feature for service providers is low integration effort. They can adopt Pay.sh by providing a declarative configuration file, enabling features like tiered pricing, free tiers, and automatic revenue splitting to multiple addresses (e.g., for royalties, cloud costs). Providers can also list their APIs in a central Pay Skill Registry for agent discovery. The collaboration with Google Cloud provides crucial infrastructure for API proxying, traffic routing, and compliance logging, aiming to keep agent activities within regulated boundaries. By connecting Web2 services with Web3 payment rails, Pay.sh positions the Solana wallet as a foundational identity and payment tool for AI agents, potentially driving more transaction volume to the Solana ecosystem. However, the report notes challenges. The service registry currently lacks robust vetting, risking exposure to unauthorized or malicious third-party APIs. Pay.sh also inherits security and compatibility risks from its underlying payment protocols (x402, MPC). Furthermore, adoption may be hindered by varying regional data privacy and payment compliance regulations among API providers. Despite these hurdles, Pay.sh represents a significant step towards integrating Web2 and Web3 for autonomous agent commerce.

marsbit41 мин. назад

Can the Solana Foundation and Google's Collaboration on Pay.sh Bridge the Payment Link Between Web2 and Web3 in the Agent Economy?

marsbit41 мин. назад

Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Turns Positive for the First Time in 7 Months: End of Bear Market or False Breakout?

Bitcoin's "Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator" from CryptoQuant has turned positive for the first time since October 2025. This gauge, based on the P&L Index relative to its 365-day moving average, suggests a potential shift from a bear market phase. Concurrently, the Bull Score Index rose to a neutral reading of 50 in late April. The indicator's move into positive territory follows a roughly 35% price rebound from a low near $60,000 in February to above $81,000. The recovery over approximately three months was faster than the 12-month period observed during the 2022 bear market. However, analysts caution against premature optimism, citing a historical precedent from March 2022. Back then, the Bull Score Index briefly hit 50, but it proved to be a false signal as Bitcoin's price subsequently plunged further. Structural differences exist in the current cycle, including consistent inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and an increase in large holder addresses. Yet, some models, referencing the four-year halving cycle, suggest a potential deeper bottom near $50,000 might still be possible around late 2026. In summary, while on-chain data shows marked improvement and the worst panic may be over, market participants remain cautious. A convincing trend reversal confirmation likely requires Bitcoin to sustainably break above key resistance, such as the 200-day moving average near $82,000.

marsbit48 мин. назад

Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Turns Positive for the First Time in 7 Months: End of Bear Market or False Breakout?

marsbit48 мин. назад

How to Automate Any Workflow with Claude Skills (Complete Tutorial)

This is a comprehensive guide to mastering Claude Skills, a feature for creating permanent, reusable instruction sets that automate specific workflows. Unlike simple saved prompts, Skills function like trained employees, delivering consistent, high-quality outputs by defining the entire task process, standards, error handling, and output format. The guide is structured in four phases: **Phase 1: Installation (5 minutes).** Skills are folders containing a `SKILL.md` file. The user is instructed to find a relevant Skill online, install it, test it on a real task, and compare its performance to one-off prompts. **Phase 2: Building Your First Custom Skill.** Start by rigorously defining the Skill's purpose, trigger phrases, and providing a concrete example of perfect output. The `SKILL.md` file has two parts: a YAML frontmatter with a specific name/description/triggers, and a detailed, step-by-step workflow written in natural language with examples and quality standards. **Phase 3: Testing & Optimization for Production.** Test the Skill in three scenarios: 1) a standard, common task; 2) edge cases with missing or conflicting data; and 3) a pressure test with maximum complexity. Any failure indicates a needed instruction. Implement a weekly optimization cycle to continuously refine the Skill based on real usage. **Phase 4: Building a Complete Skill Library.** The goal is to create a team of Skills for all repetitive tasks. Examples are given for industries like real estate, marketing, finance, consulting, and e-commerce. The user should list their tasks, prioritize them, and build one new Skill per week, maintaining a master document to track their library. The conclusion emphasizes the compounding time savings: ten Skills saving 30 minutes each per week reclaims over 260 hours (6.5 work weeks) per year, fundamentally transforming one's work system.

marsbit1 ч. назад

How to Automate Any Workflow with Claude Skills (Complete Tutorial)

marsbit1 ч. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы

Популярные статьи

Как купить T

Добро пожаловать на HTX.com! Мы сделали приобретение Threshold Network Token (T) простым и удобным. Следуйте нашему пошаговому руководству и отправляйтесь в свое крипто-путешествие.Шаг 1: Создайте аккаунт на HTXИспользуйте свой адрес электронной почты или номер телефона, чтобы зарегистрироваться и бесплатно создать аккаунт на HTX. Пройдите удобную регистрацию и откройте для себя весь функционал.Создать аккаунтШаг 2: Перейдите в Купить криптовалюту и выберите свой способ оплатыКредитная/Дебетовая Карта: Используйте свою карту Visa или Mastercard для мгновенной покупки Threshold Network Token (T).Баланс: Используйте средства с баланса вашего аккаунта HTX для простой торговли.Третьи Лица: Мы добавили популярные способы оплаты, такие как Google Pay и Apple Pay, для повышения удобства.P2P: Торгуйте напрямую с другими пользователями на HTX.Внебиржевая Торговля (OTC): Мы предлагаем индивидуальные услуги и конкурентоспособные обменные курсы для трейдеров.Шаг 3: Хранение Threshold Network Token (T)После приобретения вами Threshold Network Token (T) храните их в своем аккаунте на HTX. В качестве альтернативы вы можете отправить их куда-либо с помощью перевода в блокчейне или использовать для торговли с другими криптовалютами.Шаг 4: Торговля Threshold Network Token (T)С легкостью торгуйте Threshold Network Token (T) на спотовом рынке HTX. Просто зайдите в свой аккаунт, выберите торговую пару, совершайте сделки и следите за ними в режиме реального времени. Мы предлагаем удобный интерфейс как для начинающих, так и для опытных трейдеров.

770 просмотров всегоОпубликовано 2024.03.29Обновлено 2025.03.21

Как купить T

Обсуждения

Добро пожаловать в Сообщество HTX. Здесь вы сможете быть в курсе последних новостей о развитии платформы и получить доступ к профессиональной аналитической информации о рынке. Мнения пользователей о цене на T (T) представлены ниже.

活动图片