Kalshi и Crypto.com объединяют индустриальных гигантов для формирования коалиции рынков прогнозов – Детали

ambcryptoОпубликовано 2025-12-13Обновлено 2025-12-13

Введение

В неожиданном проявлении межотраслевого единства быстрорастущая индустрия прогнозных рынков создала национальный альянс для защиты своего регулируемого будущего. Биржа Kalshi и платформа Crypto.com основали Коалицию прогнозных рынков (CPM), в которую вошли такие гиганты, как Coinbase, Robinhood и Underdog. Коалиция нацелена на укрепление федерального надзора, установление общеотраслевых стандартов и противодействие ограничениям на уровне штатов, которые приравнивают индустрию к азартным играм. Критики называют платформы онлайн-гэмблингом, но инвесторы сохраняют доверие к сектору. Коалиция активно работает с CFTC для обеспечения прозрачности и защиты потребителей, а недавнее судебное решение в Коннектикуте временно приостановило действия властей штата против Kalshi, укрепив аргумент о том, что прогнозные рынки являются финансовыми, а не азартными инструментами.

В удивительном эпизоде межотраслевого единства быстрорастущая индустрия рынков прогнозов объединилась, чтобы сформировать национальный альянс для защиты своего регуляторного будущего.

Kalshi и Crypto.com

Криптобиржа Kalshi и платформа Crypto.com запустили Коалицию за рынки прогнозов (Coalition for Prediction Markets, CPM) — агрессивную лоббистскую группу. В её состав вошли участники от криптогигантов, таких как Coinbase, до мощной розничной торговой платформы Robinhood и спортивного игрового оператора Underdog.

Теперь, когда рынок оперирует миллиардами, CPM стремится укрепить федеральный надзор.

По словам Ника Джонса, основателя криптокомпании Zumo, коалиция нацелена на дальнейшую легитимизацию сектора за счёт «усиления операционных правил и установления более высоких стандартов добросовестности».

Коалиция также стремится предотвратить ограничение деятельности индустрии со стороны штатов, которые рассматривают её как простое азартные игры. Эта индустрия использует коллективный интеллект для прогнозирования всего: от ставок ФРС до выборов.

Что так беспокоит критиков?

Эта новость вызвала дебаты, поскольку сторонники утверждают, что эти платформы служат ценными инструментами краудсорсингового прогнозирования.

Например, Мэтт Дэвид, член исполнительного совета CPM, отметил:

«США — это крупнейший фронтир для рынков прогнозов, и та динамика, которую мы наблюдаем, делает единый отраслевой голос не просто важным, а необходимым».

Критики, однако, заявляют, что платформы — «не что иное, как онлайн-азартные игры», — обвинение, с которым CPM теперь готова бороться с единой, ориентированной на федеральный уровень позицией.

Несмотря на критику, инвесторы продолжают проявлять сильную уверенность в секторе. И Kalshi, и её аналог Polymarket также быстро расширяются в 2025 году.

Немедленные действия и другое

Таким образом, коалиция занимает проактивную, а не просто оборонительную позицию.

Она планирует укрепить федеральные рамки для рынков прогнозов, установить общенациональные стандарты добросовестности для сдерживания инсайдерской торговли и активно противостоять чрезмерному вмешательству на уровне штатов.

Эта приверженность регулируемому росту определяет нарратив индустрии.

По словам Сары Слейн, главы по корпоративному развитию Kalshi и исполнительного члена коалиции:

«Мы годами работали с CFTC (Комиссией по торговле товарными фьючерсами), потому что рынки прогнозов должны работать с надёжными федеральными гарантиями, которые предотвращают инсайдерскую торговлю, защищают потребителей и обеспечивают прозрачность и свободу этих рынков от коррупции».

Для новых игроков с мега-оценкой надзор со стороны CFTC provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides provides 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В то же время федеральный судья в Коннектикуте предоставил Kalshi временную приостановку enforcement actions (принудительных мер) со стороны штата, заблокировав приказ о прекращении деятельности до ключевых слушаний в начале 2026 года.

Это решение укрепило аргумент индустрии о том, что рынки прогнозов функционируют как регулируемые на федеральном уровне финансовые рынки, а не как азартные игры.

Заключительные мысли

  • Создание CPM показывает, что индустрия рынков прогнозов больше не действует в одиночку.
  • По мере роста торговых объёмов и стремительного увеличения оценок сектор активно добивается чётких федеральных правил.

Трендовые криптовалюты

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
comp
CompoundCOMP
mantra
MantraMANTRA
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE
jst
JUSTJST

Связанные с этим вопросы

QКакие компании возглавили создание Коалиции рынков прогнозов (CPM)?

AКриптобиржа Kalshi и платформа Crypto.com выступили инициаторами создания Коалиции рынков прогнозов (Coalition for Prediction Markets - CPM).

QКакова основная цель новой коалиции CPM?

AОсновная цель CPM — защита и легитимизация индустрии прогнозных рынков путем установления четких федеральных правил, борьбы с регулированием на уровне штатов, которые приравнивают эту деятельность к азартным играм, и внедрения общеотраслевых стандартов добросовестности.

QКаков главный аргумент критиков прогнозных рынков, против которого борется коалиция?

AГлавный аргумент критиков заключается в том, что платформы прогнозных рынков являются не чем иным, как «онлайн-азартными играми». CPM намерена опровергнуть это, доказывая, что это регулируемые финансовые рынки, основанные на коллективном интеллекте.

QКакое ключевое регуляторное достижение недавно получила компания Kalshi?

AФедеральный судья в Коннектикуте предоставил Kalshi временную приостановку enforcement actions на уровне штата, заблокировав приказ о прекращении деятельности до ключевых слушаний в начале 2026 года. Это укрепило позицию отрасли о том, что это финансовые рынки, а не азартные игры.

QС каким федеральным регулятором, согласно Саре Слейн из Kalshi, годами работала отрасль?

AСогласно Саре Слейн, главе по корпоративному развитию Kalshi, отрасль годами работала с Комиссией по торговле товарными фьючерсами (CFTC), чтобы обеспечить сильные федеральные гарантии, предотвращающие инсайдерскую торговлю и защищающие потребителей.

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