Bitcoin

Focuses on news, price analysis, technological evolution, and market trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. It explores its role and influence in the global financial system.

Bitcoin's Pursuit of a Monetary Standard

The article "Bitcoin's Pursuit of a Monetary Standard" by Thejaswini M A, based on a reading of Saifedean Ammous' "The Bitcoin Standard," explores the concept of money as a technology for transferring value across time, space, and scale. It emphasizes "salability" and introduces the critical idea of "hardness"—money whose supply is difficult to increase. The author reviews historical examples of money, such as Yap's Rai Stones, African Aggry beads, and wampum, which all lost value when their supply was easily expanded by new technology or trade. Precious metals, particularly gold, emerged as superior due to their scarcity and high stock-to-flow ratio. The critique then shifts to government-issued fiat currency, arguing it represents an unbacked, easily inflated system that erodes savings and leads to economic instability. While acknowledging the book's persuasive framework and its effective use of historical anecdotes, the author remains unconvinced by its one-sided, Austrian economics-influenced narrative that blames fiat for modern societal ills. The key takeaway is a new perspective on evaluating any asset: to critically ask how easily new units can be created and to be wary of anyone who can print money faster than one can earn it.

marsbit02/04 02:15

Bitcoin's Pursuit of a Monetary Standard

marsbit02/04 02:15

Bitcoin Holds $78K Amid Signs Of Economic Recovery: Analysts

A surprise jump in the ISM Manufacturing PMI to 52.6 in January—indicating economic expansion—has sparked debate among analysts about Bitcoin’s next move. Some, like Joe Burnett of Strive, note that similar breakouts in 2013, 2016, and 2020 preceded major Bitcoin bull runs. The stronger data may signal a shift toward risk-on sentiment, potentially benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Bitcoin recently fell from over $125,000 to around $78,000, following liquidations and macro shocks. It has behaved more like a risk asset than a safe haven, correlating closely with tech stocks. While some see the dip as a buying opportunity, analysts are divided on the outlook—ranging from bullish year-end projections to warnings of further retracement. Uncertainty remains high, and Bitcoin’s path will depend on macro policy, ETF flows, and trader sentiment—not just a single economic indicator.

bitcoinist02/04 02:02

Bitcoin Holds $78K Amid Signs Of Economic Recovery: Analysts

bitcoinist02/04 02:02

"Big Short" Burry: Bitcoin Has Already Crashed 40%, If It Falls Another 10%, It Will Trigger "Disastrous Consequences"

Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry warns that a further 10% drop in Bitcoin, which has already fallen over 40% from its peak, could trigger "disastrous consequences." He argues Bitcoin has failed as a hedge asset and remains purely speculative, noting its inability to respond to typical drivers like dollar weakness or geopolitical risk. Burry highlights that nearly 200 public companies hold Bitcoin, and a continued decline could force corporate treasuries to sell, exacerbating losses. He specifically cautions that a 10% drop would push aggressive corporate holder Strategy Inc. into billions in losses and cut off its access to capital markets. Additionally, Burry warns that Bitcoin sell-off could spill over to broader markets, potentially causing a "collateral death spiral" in tokenized metal futures—which aren’t backed by physical metal—as investors liquidate positions. Despite the warning, the report notes Bitcoin’s relatively small market size may limit wider financial contagion.

华尔街日报02/04 01:03

"Big Short" Burry: Bitcoin Has Already Crashed 40%, If It Falls Another 10%, It Will Trigger "Disastrous Consequences"

华尔街日报02/04 01:03

Bitcoin's Probability of Falling Below $65,000 Exceeds 70%, What Is the Market Worried About?

Bitcoin's price recently fell below the key psychological level of $75,000, sparking a sharp shift in market sentiment. On the prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of BTC dropping below $65,000 by 2026 has surged to 72%, reflecting growing anxiety among traders. The sell-off has pushed Bitcoin below MicroStrategy's average cost basis for the first time since late 2023, a significant test for a major institutional holder. Several factors are driving the downturn: a technical breakdown after Bitcoin fell below its 365-day moving average—a key bull-bear indicator—macroeconomic liquidity tightening due to Federal Reserve policy and U.S. Treasury issuance, and a philosophical reassessment of whether the market has overemphasized price speculation over Bitcoin’s original purpose as a decentralized currency. While prediction markets show high odds of further decline, they represent collective sentiment rather than certainty, and can reverse quickly. Institutional forecasts are divided; some analysts remain long-term bullish, but recent ETF flow slowdowns have tempered expectations. Key points for investors to watch include MicroStrategy’s holding strategy, macro liquidity data, on-chain activity (such as long-term holder behavior), and a return to first-principles reasoning about their own investment thesis. Market extremes often create opportunities, but risk management remains essential.

marsbit02/04 00:38

Bitcoin's Probability of Falling Below $65,000 Exceeds 70%, What Is the Market Worried About?

marsbit02/04 00:38

Why Bitcoin miners feel the squeeze as BTC trades below $80K

Bitcoin is trading near $70K, putting pressure on miner profitability. Data indicates that many widely used mining rigs, including popular Antminer models, are operating near their break-even or shutdown levels due to rising electricity costs. While this doesn't mean immediate shutdowns, it makes operations increasingly difficult. Under financial strain, miners may alter strategies, such as selling Bitcoin holdings or deactivating older, inefficient machines. In January, approximately 175,000 BTC was transferred to Binance, with daily inflows sometimes spiking to nearly 10,000 BTC. These transfers don't always result in immediate sales, but they increase market supply, which can quickly turn into selling pressure if demand remains weak.

ambcrypto02/04 00:02

Why Bitcoin miners feel the squeeze as BTC trades below $80K

ambcrypto02/04 00:02

Bitcoin Wave 3 Crash: What’s Next As Price Makes A Rebound?

Bitcoin's price rebounded cautiously to around $79,000 after finding support near $75,400, easing immediate selling pressure. However, technical analysis suggests this recovery is part of a larger bearish Elliott Wave structure. The cryptocurrency is believed to be in Intermediate Wave 3 of a downward impulse that began after peaking at $126,000 in October 2025, having already fallen roughly 41%. The analyst anticipates further downside, with a potential bottom forming between $60,000 and $63,000, possibly testing the 200-week moving average near $58,000. After this Wave 5 low, a counter-trend bear market rally toward the $90,000 to low-$100,000 range is projected before the next major decline.

bitcoinist02/04 00:02

Bitcoin Wave 3 Crash: What’s Next As Price Makes A Rebound?

bitcoinist02/04 00:02

Bitcoin Slips Deeper Into Correction With Spot Demand Drying Up – What To Know

Bitcoin continues to face downward pressure after failing to reclaim the $80,000 level, with weakening spot demand exacerbating the correction. According to analysis by CryptoQuant's Darkfost, the lack of new buyers in the spot market is making BTC vulnerable to sell-side pressure. The decline, partly triggered by a significant liquidity destruction event on October 10, 2025, has led to a sharp drop in open interest and reduced stablecoin market capitalization. Spot trading volumes have also declined sharply since October, with Binance’s volume nearly halving. For a sustained recovery, a rebound in spot trading activity is essential. At the time of writing, BTC traded near $78,640, though trading volume fell over 16% in 24-hour period.

bitcoinist02/03 23:02

Bitcoin Slips Deeper Into Correction With Spot Demand Drying Up – What To Know

bitcoinist02/03 23:02

Billionaire Entrepreneur Says Bitcoin Price Crash Is A Gift, Here’s Why

A sudden Bitcoin price crash in late January 2026 wiped billions from the crypto market, causing panic and over $2.4 billion in liquidations. The price fell from around $83,000 to $77,000—a drop of more than 5%—before stabilizing near $78,500. Billionaire entrepreneur Barry Silbert, founder of Digital Currency Group, called the crash a "gift from the gods," arguing that such sharp corrections help reset the market by flushing out excessive leverage and weak hands. This reduces speculative pressure and strengthens long-term market health. Michael Saylor, whose firm’s Bitcoin holdings briefly fell below cost, reinforced a long-term mindset rather than reacting to short-term volatility. Both view such volatility as part of Bitcoin’s maturation, not a sign of failure, and believe sustainable growth requires periodic resets.

bitcoinist02/03 22:41

Billionaire Entrepreneur Says Bitcoin Price Crash Is A Gift, Here’s Why

bitcoinist02/03 22:41

Binance FUD fails to trigger user exodus as on-chain data shows stable reserves

On-chain data indicates that recent negative speculation (FUD) surrounding Binance has not triggered significant user withdrawals. Bitcoin reserves on the exchange remain stable, with only a minor decline to around 650,000 BTC (less than 1%), which aligns with normal market fluctuations rather than panic selling. Netflow data further supports this, showing routine activity without sustained outflows typical of a loss in confidence. Despite market-wide volatility and online criticism, user behavior appears largely unchanged, suggesting the FUD has remained narrative-driven without materially impacting asset movements on the platform.

ambcrypto02/03 22:19

Binance FUD fails to trigger user exodus as on-chain data shows stable reserves

ambcrypto02/03 22:19

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