Bitcoin

Focuses on news, price analysis, technological evolution, and market trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. It explores its role and influence in the global financial system.

Bitcoin approaches 20mln mined – Does it make BTC scarcity undeniable?

Bitcoin's supply is nearing the 20 million milestone, with over 95% of its 21 million cap already mined. Post-halving block rewards have dropped to 3.125 BTC, slowing new issuance to roughly 450 BTC daily. Meanwhile, accumulation by long-term holders and institutional investors via ETFs is outpacing new supply, with monthly accumulation exceeding the 13,500 BTC mined. This dynamic, combined with declining exchange balances and dormant supply, reinforces Bitcoin’s scarcity narrative and positions it as a digitally scarce store of value. Markets are increasingly anticipating future shortages, strengthening long-term supply compression.

ambcrypto03/08 17:02

Bitcoin approaches 20mln mined – Does it make BTC scarcity undeniable?

ambcrypto03/08 17:02

Bitcoin whale capitulates after 5 months – Yet exchanges bleed $416.9mln

Bitcoin faces renewed capital outflows as its price drops from $72,000 to around $67,000, causing some large holders to liquidate positions. A major whale sold all its WBTC holdings acquired five months ago, realizing a loss of approximately $19.62 million. Broader data shows investors who bought 150 days ago are facing average declines of 18.8%, contributing to a negative net flow of $16.64 billion. However, shorter-term holders show milder losses, and key metrics suggest selling pressure may be easing. Despite whale exits, exchange net outflows of $416.9 million over two days indicate accumulation activity, with declining exchange reserves supporting potential price stability.

ambcrypto03/08 15:03

Bitcoin whale capitulates after 5 months – Yet exchanges bleed $416.9mln

ambcrypto03/08 15:03

Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin Could Get Stolen, But A BTC Dev Has Proprosed A Solution

Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin holdings, approximately 1.1 million BTC, are at risk of being stolen due to quantum threats, as they are stored in a Pay-to-Public-Key (P2PK) address that exposes the public key. BTC developer Hunter Beast has proposed the Hourglass V2 solution to mitigate potential market impacts if these coins are compromised. The proposal limits P2PK outputs to 1 BTC per block, preventing quantum attackers from dumping large amounts of Bitcoin at once. Without this restriction, over 300,000 BTC could be released per block, causing severe market disruption. The Hourglass V2 aims to reduce selling pressure while avoiding confiscatory measures like freezing or burning Satoshi's coins, which could set a dangerous precedent. If activated, it would take over 32 years to move all P2PK coins, significantly lowering quantum-related risks.

bitcoinist03/08 13:02

Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin Could Get Stolen, But A BTC Dev Has Proprosed A Solution

bitcoinist03/08 13:02

Analyst warns Bitcoin may enter ‘new redistribution phase’ – $63,700 next?

The crypto market is experiencing cooling volatility after a period of heightened tension. Bitcoin, which peaked at $73,000 amid the US-Iran conflict, is now in a corrective phase, trading around $67,174. Analysts highlight $63,700 as a critical on-chain support level; a break below could lead to further declines toward $57,000 or even $52,400. A drop to $48,700 would signal a stronger correction and challenge the medium-term bullish outlook. Analyst Joao Wedson warns that losing key structural levels may mark the start of a "new redistribution phase." Bitcoin's current trading range ($67k–$74k) places it in a "high heat" zone, indicating a stretched market. However, long-term holders remain calm, with the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) metric at 0.34—well below the 2.0 level typical of market tops—suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. Short-term signals remain weak, with the MVRV Ratio near -10%, indicating unrealized losses for recent buyers. Market sentiment reflects "Extreme Fear," with a reading of 12 on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Upcoming geopolitical developments, particularly potential Middle East ceasefire talks, could influence Bitcoin's direction. A ceasefire may boost risk appetite, while prolonged tensions could favor traditional safe-haven assets, potentially limiting Bitcoin's upside above $70,000.

ambcrypto03/08 11:01

Analyst warns Bitcoin may enter ‘new redistribution phase’ – $63,700 next?

ambcrypto03/08 11:01

Bitcoin Market At Uncertain Phase As Stagflation Fears In The US Rises — Details

Bitcoin's near-term trajectory faces uncertainty as rising US stagflation fears create a complex market environment. According to XWIN Research Japan, recent data shows a 4% unemployment rate increase alongside heightened inflation risks from surging oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. Historically, stagflation's early phases negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, as seen in 2022's high inflation period. However, if stagflation triggers financial instability (similar to the 2023 banking crisis), Bitcoin could attract capital inflows due to its perceived safe-haven attributes and fixed supply mechanism through halving events. Currently trading around $68,225, Bitcoin has declined over 4% daily, with mid-term movements heavily dependent on how US economic conditions evolve.

bitcoinist03/07 21:32

Bitcoin Market At Uncertain Phase As Stagflation Fears In The US Rises — Details

bitcoinist03/07 21:32

Bitcoin Difficulty Holds Flat As Hashrate Moves Sideways

Bitcoin's mining difficulty remained nearly unchanged in the latest biweekly adjustment, increasing by only 0.45%. This follows a period of sideways movement in the network's hashrate, indicating that miners are neither significantly expanding nor reducing their operational capacity. The stability comes after a period of volatility caused by a severe snowstorm in the United States in late January, which forced miners to temporarily reduce power usage, causing a sharp drop in hashrate and a subsequent major difficulty decrease. Following a quick recovery, the hashrate has since stabilized. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's price, which recently surpassed $70,000, has pulled back and is now trading around $68,300.

bitcoinist03/07 17:01

Bitcoin Difficulty Holds Flat As Hashrate Moves Sideways

bitcoinist03/07 17:01

Bitcoin – Derivatives flash ‘mixed signals,’ but is $72K a real possibility?

Bitcoin recently broke above $70,000 but has since retreated to around $68,000, reflecting mixed signals in the derivatives markets. Options data shows declining implied volatility and a balanced skew, indicating low expectations for major near-term price movement and a lack of strong directional bias. In contrast, the Perpetual Futures market reveals significant long liquidations and a drop in open interest, suggesting short-term bearish pressure and trader caution. However, slightly positive funding rates and a liquidation heatmap with stronger liquidity clusters above current prices suggest potential upward momentum. While a drop toward $66,000 is possible, a rebound to $72,000 remains achievable if buying pressure resumes.

ambcrypto03/07 16:01

Bitcoin – Derivatives flash ‘mixed signals,’ but is $72K a real possibility?

ambcrypto03/07 16:01

Could Jane Street’s $19M Bitcoin sale spark fresh liquidation risks?

Jane Street, a firm with a history of market manipulation, recently transferred $19 million in Bitcoin, testing market resilience. This occurs as Bitcoin faces a long liquidity crunch, with $200 million in derivatives liquidated in 48 hours and $600 million flowing out of ETFs. The move risks triggering another long squeeze and a sharp corrective phase, echoing past events where Jane Street's actions contributed to major price declines. Weak underlying bids and selling by short-term holders suggest growing downside pressure, making this a key event to watch for potential market impact.

ambcrypto03/07 14:02

Could Jane Street’s $19M Bitcoin sale spark fresh liquidation risks?

ambcrypto03/07 14:02

Bitcoin trades 20% below miner costs as fear builds, but is a bullish rotation starting?

Bitcoin is trading 20-25% below the estimated average miner production cost of $89,000–$91,000, creating significant stress as many miners operate at a loss. This has led to miner liquidations and a compressed network hashrate. Market sentiment is in a "fear" zone, with the Entity-Adjusted NUPL metric declining significantly. However, a potential bullish shift is emerging. The Inter-exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) has formed a golden cross, a historical indicator of early-cycle accumulation, suggesting large investors may be buying. Furthermore, stablecoin liquidity is growing, with USDC's supply increasing 9.34% monthly, indicating deployable capital is returning. OTC desk balances are also falling as institutions withdraw Bitcoin for long-term holding, easing selling pressure. Despite these positive signs, Bitcoin remains at a fragile equilibrium near its Realized Price, and tightening macro conditions could still trigger further miner liquidations and prolong the current consolidation phase.

ambcrypto03/07 12:01

Bitcoin trades 20% below miner costs as fear builds, but is a bullish rotation starting?

ambcrypto03/07 12:01

The Hormuz Standoff: Why Bitcoin’s Liquidity Drain Is Defying The Global Energy Shock

Bitcoin faced volatility as geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz intensified, causing a drop from above $74,000 to around $70,000. The conflict threatens global energy supplies, reinforcing inflation and increasing capital costs, which led investors reassessing monetary policy. Bitcoin ETFs saw $139.2 million in outflows, reflecting risk aversion. However, on-chain data shows resilience: exchange net flows remain negative, with -501 BTC withdrawn daily and -6,469 BTC weekly, indicating coins are moving to cold storage. This suggests underlying demand persists and selling pressure may be limited despite macro uncertainty.

bitcoinist03/07 12:01

The Hormuz Standoff: Why Bitcoin’s Liquidity Drain Is Defying The Global Energy Shock