Anthropic's Revenue Surpasses OpenAI by at Least 35%, IPO Race Dynamics Shift

marsbitОпубликовано 2026-05-28Обновлено 2026-05-28

Введение

Anthropic has overtaken OpenAI in revenue by at least 35%, according to a recent report. Anthropic's annualized revenue is now approximately $45 billion, compared to OpenAI's roughly $33 billion. This represents a dramatic five-fold revenue increase for Anthropic over the first five months of the year, while OpenAI saw growth of just over 50%. The profitability gap is even more significant. Anthropic is expected to post an operating profit in Q2 with around a 5% margin. In stark contrast, OpenAI reported a massive operating loss of over 100% of its revenue in Q1, equating to a loss of at least $7 billion for the quarter. OpenAI also faces substantial costs, including paying 20% of its revenue to Microsoft and high AI server rental fees. This financial reversal impacts their potential IPO timelines. Previously, OpenAI might have been favored to go public first, but now its leadership may view an accelerated IPO as a "more financially prudent choice" to avoid direct, unfavorable public market comparisons. If Anthropic, with its superior growth and profitability metrics, were to file for an IPO first, it would gain a significant valuation advantage. At its current growth rate, Anthropic's revenue could soon surpass major tech firms like Netflix and Salesforce within a year.

Anthropic, which lagged far behind just six months ago, has now left OpenAI trailing.

On May 26th, a report by The Information disclosed that Anthropic's annualized revenue has approached $450 billion, while OpenAI's annualized revenue has just exceeded $300 billion, currently estimated to be around $330 billion. This means Anthropic's revenue scale is at least 35% larger than OpenAI's.

This figure was almost unimaginable six months ago. At the end of 2025, Anthropic's annualized revenue was only $90 billion, less than half of OpenAI's.

In Five Months, Anthropic's Revenue Quintupled

In the first five months of this year, Anthropic's revenue grew approximately fivefold. During the same period, OpenAI's revenue grew by over 50%—impressive in any industry, but seemingly modest in comparison.

An informed source told The Information that while OpenAI's annualized revenue has surpassed $300 billion, "it's not significantly higher at the moment."

The two companies' business models differ: OpenAI's revenue primarily comes from ChatGPT subscriptions, whereas Anthropic mainly relies on selling API access for AI programming and other white-collar work scenarios to enterprises. However, they remain direct competitors in their respective markets, and public market investors will inevitably compare them side by side.

The Profitability Gap is Even Larger

Revenue is just one aspect. More critical is profitability.

Anthropic is projected to achieve approximately $559 million in operating profit for the second quarter, with an operating profit margin of about 5%.

OpenAI's situation is quite the opposite. OpenAI's operating loss rate reached a staggering 122% in the first quarter—and this is after excluding major items such as equity incentives. Translated, this means an operating loss of at least $7 billion for the quarter.

OpenAI's earlier forecasts for this year indicated it would burn through about $25 billion in cash, with AI server rental costs alone amounting to $32 billion. Furthermore, OpenAI must allocate 20% of its total revenue to Microsoft, an agreement lasting until 2030—if this year's revenue hits the previously projected $300 billion, this share would amount to roughly $6 billion.

Anthropic also shares revenue with its cloud partners, but Anthropic's revenue reporting includes the full amount sold through other cloud service providers, with portions of this income eventually being returned to these partners.

It is worth noting that Anthropic's current profitable status is not without risk. As revenue rapidly grows, Anthropic will need to significantly expand its server resources, which could potentially push it back into a loss-making position.

IPO Race: First-Mover Advantage is Changing Hands

This reversal in revenue and profitability directly impacts the IPO timelines of the two companies.

The report points out that OpenAI's CFO, Sarah Friar, had previously expressed concerns about CEO Sam Altman's eagerness to push for an IPO. But now, the situation is different—faced with the financially stronger Anthropic, OpenAI racing to go public first has become "the more financially prudent choice."

The logic is simple: if Anthropic files its IPO application first and successfully lists, public market investors will directly compare the financial data of the two companies. At that point, Anthropic, with its faster revenue growth and achieved profitability, would hold a clear advantage in the valuation narrative.

At the current growth rate, Anthropic is expected to surpass the revenue scale of established tech companies like Netflix, SAP, and Salesforce within the next year.

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat is the reported annualized revenue of Anthropic compared to OpenAI, and what is the percentage difference?

AAccording to the report, Anthropic's annualized revenue is nearly $45 billion, while OpenAI's is approximately $33 billion. This means Anthropic's revenue is at least 35% higher than OpenAI's.

QHow did the revenue growth of Anthropic and OpenAI compare in the first five months of this year?

AIn the first five months of this year, Anthropic's revenue grew about fivefold (approximately 5x). During the same period, OpenAI's revenue grew by over 50%.

QWhat is the key difference in the primary revenue streams between Anthropic and OpenAI?

AThe key difference is that OpenAI's revenue primarily comes from ChatGPT subscriptions, while Anthropic's revenue mainly comes from selling API access for AI coding and other white-collar work scenarios to enterprises.

QWhat is the current profitability situation for Anthropic and OpenAI?

AAnthropic is projected to achieve operating profitability in Q2 with an operating margin of about 5%. In stark contrast, OpenAI reported an operating loss margin of 122% in Q1, translating to at least a $7 billion operating loss, even after excluding major items like stock-based compensation.

QWhy might OpenAI now consider accelerating its IPO plans ahead of Anthropic, according to the article?

AAccording to the article, with Anthropic showing stronger revenue growth and profitability, if Anthropic were to file for an IPO first, it would gain a significant valuation narrative advantage with public market investors. Therefore, for OpenAI, accelerating its own IPO has become the 'more financially prudent choice' to secure its market position before a direct financial comparison is made public.

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