2026-04-22 Среда

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Is Bitcoin’s ‘supercycle’ still possible as on-chain signals turn red?

Bitcoin's price declined from near $97k to around $90k, testing investor conviction as on-chain signals turn bearish. This drop is driven by institutional selling, significant ETF outflows, and potential selling from major holders like GameStop, which may realize substantial losses. Despite weak sentiment and cautious on-chain metrics indicating building bear momentum, prominent figures like CZ remain bullish, forecasting a "supercycle" and a year-end target of $215k. This divergence between weak fundamentals and optimistic predictions risks creating a liquidation trap, especially as leverage increases. The current setup challenges the motivation to HODL amid macro uncertainty.

ambcrypto01/24 09:15

Is Bitcoin’s ‘supercycle’ still possible as on-chain signals turn red?

ambcrypto01/24 09:15

Why Are We So Persistent in That 'Laborious and Unrewarding' Data Cleaning?

In the article "Why Are We So Committed to 'Labor-Intensive and Unrewarding' Data Cleaning?", the RootData team reflects on their second bounty event, which focused on enhancing data transparency in Web3. The event involving over 140 participants resulted in 1,220 submissions, with 564 valid data points approved—a 46.2% acceptance rate. Key improvements included identifying key team members from projects like MOMO.FUN and Subhub (often not publicly listed), correcting inaccuracies in token unlock details and TGE timelines, and updating outdated information such as misattributed founders and deprecated social accounts. The author emphasizes that ensuring data transparency—though challenging—is critical for protecting investors' "right to know." In Web3, where misinformation is common (e.g., inconsistent token unlock data across platforms), RootData aims to serve as a reliable source of validated information. The team notes that core team changes around TGE events often signal project risks, yet such details are frequently overlooked. To uphold transparency, RootData publishes monthly reports on false fundraising claims, conducts in-depth analyses (e.g., exchange listing reports), and cross-verifies data rigorously—even declining unverified submissions. They also engage with industry leaders like Binance to align on data accuracy goals. The long-term vision is to transform isolated data points into structured, actionable transparency reports that support informed investment decisions. The article concludes by advocating for collective effort in advancing Web3 data integrity.

marsbit01/24 09:09

Why Are We So Persistent in That 'Laborious and Unrewarding' Data Cleaning?

marsbit01/24 09:09

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse Expects Crypto Market to Reach New High in 2026

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse expects the cryptocurrency market to reach a new all-time high in 2026, citing growing institutional interest and regulatory progress. He anticipates Binance re-entering the U.S. market and views the GENIUS Act as a landmark development that will support stablecoin growth. Regarding XRP, the token may correct in the short term but could rise to $2.22 within three months. Analysts project even higher potential, with targets of $8 by 2026 and $12.50 by 2028. Garlinghouse also referenced Ripple's costly legal battle with the SEC, which concluded after four years.

TheNewsCrypto01/24 09:05

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse Expects Crypto Market to Reach New High in 2026

TheNewsCrypto01/24 09:05

Hotcoin Research | When Macro Factors Become Pricing Logic: A Forward-Looking Analysis of Macro Variables in the Crypto Market for 2026

Hotcoin Research | When Macro Factors Become Pricing Logic: A Forward-Looking Analysis of Macro Variables for the Crypto Market in 2026 This report examines how macroeconomic factors have evolved into primary drivers of cryptocurrency market dynamics, moving beyond narratives and on-chain innovations. Key macro variables—such as interest rates, inflation, regulatory policies, institutional capital flows, and geopolitical events—now critically influence crypto asset prices. The analysis reviews historical impacts: low interest rates and expansive liquidity in 2020–2021 fueled a crypto bull market, while tightening monetary policy in 2022 triggered a downturn. By 2025, the Federal Reserve had cut rates to 3.5–3.75%, with further easing expected in 2026. Regulatory developments, including the U.S. GENIUS Act and E.U.’s MiCA regulation, are improving market structure and attracting institutional participation. Bitcoin ETF inflows alone added ~$300 billion in 2025. Looking ahead to 2026, the crypto market is expected to be shaped by continued monetary easing, clearer regulations, and growing institutional adoption. Under a baseline scenario, Bitcoin may reach new highs with reduced volatility. An optimistic scenario could see parabolic growth if additional positive macro or regulatory surprises occur, while a pessimistic outlook involving inflation resurgence or geopolitical crises may trigger significant correction. Overall, 2026 may see crypto further integrated into global finance, with macro variables remaining essential for understanding market direction and risk.

marsbit01/24 09:03

Hotcoin Research | When Macro Factors Become Pricing Logic: A Forward-Looking Analysis of Macro Variables in the Crypto Market for 2026

marsbit01/24 09:03

GameStop Locking In $76M Bitcoin Loss? Holdings Hit Coinbase

GameStop has transferred its entire Bitcoin holdings of 4,710 BTC to Coinbase Prime, signaling a likely sale. The video game retailer originally purchased the Bitcoin in May 2025 at an average price of $107,900 per token, totaling a $504 million investment. With Bitcoin's current price around $89,100, selling now would lock in a loss of approximately $76 million. This move coincides with the company closing hundreds of its physical stores. It marks the end of another failed diversification effort, similar to its shuttered NFT marketplace venture from 2022.

bitcoinist01/24 09:02

GameStop Locking In $76M Bitcoin Loss? Holdings Hit Coinbase

bitcoinist01/24 09:02

SEC Drops Civil Lawsuit Against Gemini Trust Company

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has dismissed its civil lawsuit against Gemini Trust Company with prejudice, meaning the case cannot be reopened. This decision follows the full repayment of crypto assets to all affected Gemini Earn users through the Genesis Global Capital bankruptcy process between May and June 2024. The SEC cited the complete return of investors' crypto and the resolution of harm as key reasons for dropping the lawsuit. The case originated from a 2020 partnership between Gemini and Genesis, which froze $900 million in user assets during the 2023 market downturn. Gemini contributed significant funds and penalties to help resolve the situation and settle with regulators.

TheNewsCrypto01/24 08:33

SEC Drops Civil Lawsuit Against Gemini Trust Company

TheNewsCrypto01/24 08:33

Crypto Company Ledger Plans US IPO With Valuation Expected To Top $4 Billion

Ledger, a French crypto hardware wallet manufacturer, is advancing plans for a potential US IPO in New York, with an expected valuation exceeding $4 billion. It has enlisted Goldman Sachs and Barclays as advisors. This move follows BitGo's recent successful public debut, which saw shares surge 24.6% and raised $212.8 million, signaling strong investor appetite for crypto-related offerings. The IPO wave in 2025 included companies like Circle, Bullish, and Gemini, with Kraken and Grayscale also preparing listings. Experts note BitGo's profitability and regulatory positioning helped insulate it from crypto volatility, suggesting growing market professionalization. However, some IPOs faced delays due to government shutdowns and stock market volatility.

bitcoinist01/24 08:02

Crypto Company Ledger Plans US IPO With Valuation Expected To Top $4 Billion

bitcoinist01/24 08:02

Altseason in sight? How KEY market patterns signal altcoin run

Altcoins are poised for a potential rally, with key market indicators signaling a shift in momentum. The Russell 2000 index completed a bullish 'Cup & Handle' breakout, historically a positive sign for altcoins as it reflects growing investor risk appetite. Simultaneously, the Total Crypto Market Cap (Total 2) is forming an ascending triangle, suggesting a possible breakout toward $1.7 trillion if current support holds. Additionally, Ethereum is showing strength against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC), with a potential breakout from a long-term downtrend that could trigger a broader altcoin surge. Combined with strong privacy coin performance and potential Federal Reserve easing, these patterns indicate the market may be entering a risk-on phase, potentially igniting an altseason.

ambcrypto01/24 08:01

Altseason in sight? How KEY market patterns signal altcoin run

ambcrypto01/24 08:01

Bearish Winds Hit Pudgy Penguins (PENGU): Is Further Downside Still on the Table?

Bearish sentiment dominates the crypto market as Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) experiences a minor 0.28% spike amid broader uncertainty. Trading between $0.009669 and $0.01021, PENGU faces potential downside toward the $0.009961 support level if bearish pressure continues. Technical indicators are mostly negative: the MACD lines remain below zero, signaling bearish momentum, while the RSI at 44.34 suggests a neutral-to-bearish sentiment with sellers having a slight edge. The Chaikin Money Flow shows mild buying pressure but remains weak. A bullish reversal could push the price toward resistance at $0.01011, but current market conditions lack strong momentum, indicating possible further consolidation or decline.

TheNewsCrypto01/24 07:52

Bearish Winds Hit Pudgy Penguins (PENGU): Is Further Downside Still on the Table?