2026-06-14 Воскресенье

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Huobi Growth Academy | Crypto Market Macro Report: Repricing of Crypto Assets Amid Receding Liquidity

In Q1 2026, the cryptocurrency market experienced a historic deleveraging crash, with Bitcoin falling over 40% from its peak and Ethereum and altcoins declining even more sharply. The collapse was driven by a confluence of three major liquidity-tightening factors: the unwinding of yen carry trades, the U.S. Treasury's TGA account rebuild draining market liquidity, and systemic increases in derivatives margin requirements. These factors, combined with the crypto market’s inherent high leverage and overvaluation, triggered a cascading sell-off. The report highlights that U.S. stock market’s extreme valuations acted as a ceiling for risk assets, including crypto. The reversal of yen carry trades—where investors borrowed cheap yen to invest in higher-yielding assets like crypto—accelerated as the Bank of Japan signaled a potential end to ultra-loose policies. Simultaneously, the U.S. Treasury’s replenishment of its TGA account and increased bond issuance withdrew nearly $200 billion in liquidity from financial markets. Additionally, rising margin requirements on derivatives exchanges forced further deleveraging, exacerbating the downturn. Crypto’s structural vulnerabilities—such as high leverage, stagnant stablecoin inflows, and declining on-chain activity—amplified the sell-off. Looking ahead, crypto markets are entering a macro-driven phase where liquidity indicators—such as Fed policy, TGA balances, yen-USD exchange rates, and stablecoin flows—will be critical. The market is expected to remain under pressure until macro liquidity conditions improve, likely in the second half of 2026. The era of excess-liquidity-driven growth is over; crypto assets will now be repriced under a new macro-normal regime.

marsbit02/26 08:11

Huobi Growth Academy | Crypto Market Macro Report: Repricing of Crypto Assets Amid Receding Liquidity

marsbit02/26 08:11

Nvidia Delivers: AI Anxiety Pauses, Fundamentals Still Soaring

NVIDIA delivered a blockbuster Q4 FY2026 earnings report, with revenue surging 73% year-over-year to a record $68.1 billion, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. This performance, described as "explosive," served to temporarily alleviate market anxieties about an AI bubble, demonstrating that demand for computing power remains robust. Key highlights include Data Center revenue growing 75% to $62.3 billion, driven by strong demand for AI compute. Within this segment, Compute revenue rose 58%, while Networking revenue skyrocketed 263%, reflecting the success of NVLink technology. The company's non-GAAP gross margin climbed to 75.2%, a new high, attributed to improved product mix with the new Blackwell architecture and reduced inventory charges. For Q1 FY2027, NVIDIA provided a revenue guidance of $78 billion (±2%), which implies a nearly 77% year-over-year growth rate. This forecast notably excludes data center compute revenue from China. CEO Jensen Huang stated that the company is on track to surpass its $500 billion annual revenue target, with supply is expected to meet demand through next year. He emphasized that customer investment in AI computing is accelerating, and enterprise adoption of AI agents is soaring. Despite the strong results and guidance, the stock experienced volatility after the earnings call, with some analysts noting that high operating expenses and a change in accounting—where stock-based compensation (SBC) will no longer be excluded from non-GAAP metrics starting in Q1—could impact short-term investor perception of profit growth.

比推02/26 06:40

Nvidia Delivers: AI Anxiety Pauses, Fundamentals Still Soaring

比推02/26 06:40

Decoding Stripe's 2025 Annual Letter: Even in the Crypto Winter, It's Still the Summer of Stablecoins

Stripe's 2025 annual letter reveals a strategic pivot, leveraging Web3 technologies to deeply integrate crypto, particularly stablecoins, into the global economic infrastructure, even as the broader crypto market remains in a "winter." The company processed $1.9 trillion in total payment volume in 2025, a 34% year-over-year increase, representing 1.6% of global GDP. This robust base supports its ambitious Web3 initiatives. A key insight is the "summer of stablecoins." Despite a crypto downturn, stablecoin payment volume doubled to $400 billion in 2025, with 60% originating from B2B transactions, demonstrating a shift from speculation to real-world utility. The acquisition of Bridge has been central to this strategy. Integrated into Stripe, Bridge's transaction volume grew over 4x. It now powers Stripe's fiat-to-crypto operations, partnered with Visa on a stablecoin payment card, and launched "Open Issuance" for businesses to easily create their own stablecoins. Privy, another acquisition, simplifies Web3 onboarding. Its API allows businesses to embed user-friendly wallets, supporting over 110 million programmable wallets and making the complexity of crypto "disappear" for end-users. Looking forward, Stripe is incubating Tempo, a new Layer-1 blockchain designed specifically for high-throughput payments, aiming to handle millions to billions of transactions per second to support the future of AI-driven "Agentic Commerce." Partnerships with companies like OpenAI are already building protocols for AI agents to autonomously transact. The letter concludes by hinting at a potential massive acquisition of PayPal, which would significantly boost Stripe's consumer-facing capabilities, though this remains speculative. The overarching narrative is clear: Stripe is building an internet-native financial system where stablecoins, seamless wallets, and powerful new blockchains form the backbone of global commerce and AI-driven transactions.

marsbit02/26 06:39

Decoding Stripe's 2025 Annual Letter: Even in the Crypto Winter, It's Still the Summer of Stablecoins

marsbit02/26 06:39

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