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Bitcoin whale addresses holding 100 BTC hit ATH – Strategic play for H2 rally?

Despite market fear and a 4% intraday crypto market cap drop triggered by geopolitical tensions, on-chain data reveals that Bitcoin whale addresses holding over 100 BTC have reached an all-time high. This accumulation, including significant institutional buying by entities like BlackRock, suggests strategic positioning during price weakness. While Tether outflows contributed to recent selling pressure, a surge in U.S. M2 money supply and new stablecoin liquidity are restoring market support. Whales appear to interpret current volatility as a buying opportunity, anticipating a potential second-half rally driven by improving liquidity and risk-on sentiment.

ambcrypto03/01 03:01

Bitcoin whale addresses holding 100 BTC hit ATH – Strategic play for H2 rally?

ambcrypto03/01 03:01

a16z Charts of the Week: AI Costs Halved and Usage Doubled This Year, Major Life Milestones for 30-Year-Olds in the US Delayed Across the Board

a16z's Charts of the Week explores four key trends. First, while a "DExit" (Delaware Exodus) narrative exists due to high-profile companies leaving over legal concerns, data shows a more complex reality. Delaware's overall share of U.S. businesses has actually grown, though Wyoming has seen a surge in LLC registrations. Second, AI demonstrates the Jevons Paradox: as the cost to process AI tokens halved this year, usage doubled. Demand for older GPU rentals (H100, A100) is also rising, contradicting predictions of a compute glut. Historical parallels suggest the full economic impact of AI may take time to materialize. Third, AI capital expenditure is massive, comparable to annual U.S. bank lending and significantly larger than U.S. corporate tax income or the military budget of any non-U.S. G7 nation. Fourth, the prediction market Kalshi is outperforming professional forecasters and futures markets in predicting the Federal Funds Rate, providing a valuable high-frequency, probabilistic benchmark. Finally, data shows a stark delay in life milestones for 30-year-olds in the U.S. Since the 1980s, far fewer are living independently, married, living with children, or owning a home. The only exception is college attainment, which has nearly doubled since 1995, though the value of a degree is increasingly questioned.

marsbit03/01 02:49

a16z Charts of the Week: AI Costs Halved and Usage Doubled This Year, Major Life Milestones for 30-Year-Olds in the US Delayed Across the Board

marsbit03/01 02:49

Bitcoin Buying Just Ramped Up Into The Billions Again, Is It Time To Get Back In?

Recent on-chain data indicates a significant surge in Bitcoin accumulation, with over 188,000 BTC (worth $12.75 billion) moved into dormant wallets in the past three weeks. This suggests experienced investors are buying despite the price dropping below $64,000. Spot Bitcoin ETFs also saw $1.02 billion in inflows recently, signaling renewed institutional interest. Analyst Willy Woo notes selling pressure may be exhausting, potentially leading to a brief rebound to the mid-$70,000s, though he expects rejection due to poor liquidity. He warns the bearish trend could extend into Q4 2026, with possible downside targets at $45,000, or even $30,000-$16,000 in a severe macro downturn.

bitcoinist03/01 02:32

Bitcoin Buying Just Ramped Up Into The Billions Again, Is It Time To Get Back In?

bitcoinist03/01 02:32

PA Infographic | A Glance at Major Web3 Events in March 2026

PA Graphic | Key Web3 Events to Watch in March 2026 March 2026 is set to be a critical month for the crypto market, shaped by policy, macroeconomic trends, and liquidity dynamics. Major events include: - The FOMC interest rate decision and subsequent press conference by Jerome Powell, a key moment for global risk assets. - The upcoming vote on the Clarity Act, which could define US regulatory frameworks for stablecoins and digital assets. - The release of US February non-farm payroll and CPI data, influencing ongoing macro liquidity expectations. - Hong Kong issuing its first batch of stablecoin licenses. - Major token unlocks, including SUI and HYPE, totaling billions of dollars, potentially increasing selling pressure. - Metaplanet’s shareholder meeting, focusing on its Bitcoin strategy and capital market moves. - FTX’s new round of fund distributions, which may impact market sentiment and liquidity. With policy updates, economic data, token unlocks, and industry events unfolding simultaneously, market volatility is expected to intensify in March. For a concise overview of the core Web3 developments in March 2026, this graphic has you covered.

marsbit03/01 02:13

PA Infographic | A Glance at Major Web3 Events in March 2026

marsbit03/01 02:13

Analyzing Decred’s post-selloff state – Is $24 or $35 next for DCR?

Decred (DCR) experienced a sharp 27% decline, dropping from a five-month high of $37 to a low of $27 amid a crypto market sell-off triggered by geopolitical tensions. At the time of writing, DCR was trading at $28.5, down 19.5% daily. Seller activity surged significantly, with seller strength reaching 76 compared to buyer dominance at 23, indicating potential capitulation among holders. Despite the drop, DCR's overall bullish structure remains intact, as it continues to trade within an ascending channel. Key indicators like the DMI Trend, MACD, and SMA suggest the uptrend could resume if market sentiment improves, potentially driving the price toward $35. However, if panic persists, DCR may fall further to test support at $24 or even $20.

ambcrypto03/01 02:02

Analyzing Decred’s post-selloff state – Is $24 or $35 next for DCR?

ambcrypto03/01 02:02

Weekly Token Unlocks: HYPE Unlocks Tokens Worth Approximately $270 Million

Token Unlock Overview: This week sees significant token unlocks from two major projects. EigenLayer unlocks 36.92 million tokens (EIGEN), valued at approximately $6.35 million. It is a protocol built on Ethereum that introduces restaking, a new primitive in cryptoeconomic security, allowing staked ETH to be restaked to secure other applications on its network. Hyperliquid (HYPE) has a much larger unlock event, with 9.92 million tokens scheduled for release. This unlock is valued at approximately $270 million. Hyperliquid is a high-performance blockchain designed to be a fully on-chain, open financial system that unifies liquidity, applications, and trading activity. Release schedules for both projects are provided in the accompanying charts.

marsbit03/01 01:50

Weekly Token Unlocks: HYPE Unlocks Tokens Worth Approximately $270 Million

marsbit03/01 01:50

Behind RedotPay's Potential US Listing: The Structural Logic and Regulatory Boundaries of a Stablecoin Payment Platform

RedotPay, a Hong Kong-based stablecoin payment platform, is reportedly considering a U.S. IPO with a potential valuation exceeding $4 billion. This move highlights broader questions about how such platforms structure their operations across regulatory boundaries. Beyond functioning as a simple payment card, RedotPay operates as an integrated financial account system offering services including custody, crypto swaps, lending, remittances, and yield-earning products. Its legal structure involves multiple entities across jurisdictions (Hong Kong, Panama, Argentina, and the U.S.), each handling specific services under distinct regulatory frameworks. For instance, its Crypto Earn service is explicitly not offered to Hong Kong residents and is managed by its Panama entity. The platform’s terms of service clearly define fund usage—such as pooled and non-segregated assets in its Earn product—and acknowledge credit functions, aligning with credit card logic in certain regions. While RedotPay explicitly disclaims being a bank or a stored value facility, regulatory scrutiny will likely focus on functional realities rather than contractual disclaimers. An IPO would subject RedotPay to intense scrutiny regarding legal structure consistency, customer asset handling, risk disclosure, and alignment between growth narratives and compliance practices. The company’s emphasis on detailed legal terms and jurisdictional clarity may strengthen its position, but the key challenge remains demonstrating that its multi-entity framework can withstand regulatory and investor due diligence. Ultimately, RedotPay’s a trend in PayFi where success depends not only on product innovation but also on the ability to maintain legally robust and explainable operational structures across diverse regulatory environments.

marsbit03/01 01:32

Behind RedotPay's Potential US Listing: The Structural Logic and Regulatory Boundaries of a Stablecoin Payment Platform

marsbit03/01 01:32

Bitcoin At A Crossroads: $60,000 Fortress Vs. $70,000 Ceiling

Bitcoin is currently range-bound between $60,000 support and $70,000 resistance. Long-term holders are strengthening the $60K floor, with data showing increased coin aging and low selling from this cohort. However, resistance near $70K is driven by selling from large whales. The negative Coinbase Premium Index indicates weak U.S. institutional demand, which is necessary for a sustained breakout. Short-term holders are capitulating, signaling a market cleansing phase. For a definitive upward move, a return of institutional buying and improved macro conditions are required. BTC is trading around $63,823.

bitcoinist03/01 01:03

Bitcoin At A Crossroads: $60,000 Fortress Vs. $70,000 Ceiling

bitcoinist03/01 01:03

Solana [SOL] stalls at range highs as market panic overrides capital inflows

Solana (SOL) experienced a strong rally earlier in the week, surging 21.78% from $75.6 to $92.1 within 32 hours. However, the rally stalled near range highs, and SOL has since retreated toward range lows. Market sentiment turned fearful following Bitcoin's sell-off, with panic selling driven by geopolitical tensions. Key indicators reflect bearish pressure: Open Interest and funding rates are negative, and the spot CVD confirms selling pressure. The Coin Days Destroyed metric has trended higher, indicating sellers are using price bounces to exit. Although the Chaikin Money Flow shows slight inflows and the MFI is oversold, the overall market remains precarious. The weekly structure is bearish, with SOL breaking below the March 2025 low of $95. The next long-term target could be $47.93. Traders are advised to maintain a bearish bias, watching for a breakdown below the range lows. Bitcoin's ability to defend $64k and recover above $66k may offer some bullish momentum, but SOL's key level to monitor is $76.

ambcrypto03/01 01:01

Solana [SOL] stalls at range highs as market panic overrides capital inflows

ambcrypto03/01 01:01

Seized Crypto Stolen As South Korea’s Tax Authority Leaks Private Key

South Korea's National Tax Service (NTS) accidentally leaked a crypto wallet's private key in a press release last Thursday, leading to the theft of $4.8 million worth of tokens. The key, a handwritten mnemonic phrase, was fully visible in an image intended to showcase seized assets from tax evaders. Blockchain researchers confirmed that 4 million PRTG tokens were stolen from the exposed wallet. An expert noted that the actual financial loss may be lower due to the token's low liquidity. This incident follows another recent case in which South Korean police lost 22 Bitcoin from a seized cold wallet. The NTS has not yet publicly addressed the leak.

bitcoinist02/28 23:32

Seized Crypto Stolen As South Korea’s Tax Authority Leaks Private Key

bitcoinist02/28 23:32

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