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How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

This article explores methods to systematically identify and track high-success-rate addresses on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market where all transactions are publicly recorded on-chain. It highlights that while data is transparent, the key challenge lies in extracting meaningful signals from vast datasets to detect addresses with potential informational advantages. The piece outlines common characteristics of such addresses: new wallets making large, concentrated bets; specialization in specific verticals; abnormal changes in position size; and exceptionally precise timing, repeatedly entering positions hours before major news breaks. A three-step systematic approach is recommended: First, filter addresses based on sustained profitability (e.g., 30-day positive returns, >55% win rate) using leaderboards like Polymarket Analytics. Second, analyze their holdings in specific event markets, focusing on addresses that are consistently among the top holders before full market pricing. Third, scrutinize their on-chain behavior: entry timing relative to news, position-building patterns (e.g., rapid, concentrated entries), holding periods, and trading focus. Advanced strategies include monitoring exit behavior (e.g., large, unexplained sell-offs), conducting wallet clustering analysis to find linked addresses, tracking unusual volume spikes in low-liquidity markets, and cross-referencing on-chain activity with external real-world data for validation. The goal is to move beyond luck and identify addresses exhibiting repeatable, information-driven advantages.

marsbit03/02 11:35

How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

marsbit03/02 11:35

MEXC Lists Bitway (BTW) With $50,000 in BTW and 25,000 USDT Airdrop+ Rewards

MEXC exchange has listed Bitway (BTW) in its Innovation Zone, opening BTW/USDT and BTW/USDC trading pairs on March 2. To celebrate, MEXC is hosting an airdrop event with a total prize pool of $50,000 in BTW and 25,000 USDT, running from March 1 to March 8, 2026. Users can participate by registering and completing tasks, with new users eligible for APR boosters. Bitway is described as an internet capital gateway offering on-chain wealth management and a Bitcoin-compatible PoS Layer 1 blockchain. The project recently raised $4.444 million in seed funding. BTW is the native utility and governance token with a total supply of 10 billion. The listing highlights MEXC's strategy of offering emerging assets with zero fees and deep liquidity.

TheNewsCrypto03/02 11:20

MEXC Lists Bitway (BTW) With $50,000 in BTW and 25,000 USDT Airdrop+ Rewards

TheNewsCrypto03/02 11:20

What Is the Web3 Workplace Really Like? A Sample Observation from a Leading Exchange

Based on interviews and data from leading crypto exchange Gate, this article explores the realities of working in Web3, countering common stereotypes of instability and high pressure. A key feature is remote work, embraced by over 66% of Web3 companies. While offering flexibility, it can create isolation and make vetting companies difficult, driving talent toward established firms like Gate, which has a 13-year history and global regulatory licenses. This provides a sense of security absent in newer projects. The workforce is highly educated (89% hold bachelor's degrees or higher) and global. Talent is attracted by growth potential, learning opportunities, and the ability to have a global impact. Compensation, while not always exceeding top tech firms, offers geographic arbitrage—earning a competitive salary while living in a lower-cost region. Performance-based incentives are central. At Gate, year-end bonuses range from 2-6 months' salary, with top performers receiving up to 20 months' pay. The culture emphasizes "high effort, high reward," not just long hours. Work intensity is high due to the 24/7 nature of crypto, but the flexibility of remote work and a results-oriented model prevent a pure "996" culture. The article concludes that while Web3 has its challenges, it offers unique opportunities for growth and flexibility. It advises against relying on polarized external narratives and encourages firsthand experience to understand the real Web3 workplace.

Odaily星球日报03/02 11:08

What Is the Web3 Workplace Really Like? A Sample Observation from a Leading Exchange

Odaily星球日报03/02 11:08

46% of Bitcoin’s supply is now underwater: Will BTC’s losses keep mounting?

Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,689, down 47% from its all-time high, with approximately 46% of its circulating supply—around 9.09 million BTC—now held at a loss. Both short-term and long-term holders are experiencing significant unrealized losses, totaling around $113.9 billion and $140 billion, respectively. This has increased sell-pressure risks as investors may capitulate to avoid further declines. Institutional holders like MicroStrategy are also underwater, with 67% of its BTC holdings in the red. Technical indicators, including the Relative Vigor Index and Future Grand Trend, suggest continued bearish momentum, with potential downside targets near $59,213 or even $45k if the downtrend persists.

ambcrypto03/02 11:02

46% of Bitcoin’s supply is now underwater: Will BTC’s losses keep mounting?

ambcrypto03/02 11:02

This Analyst Predicted The Dogecoin Price Crash, But There’s More To The Forecast

An analyst who previously predicted Dogecoin's price crash warns that its recent recovery may be short-lived and could actually precede further declines. Despite being the leading meme coin, Dogecoin failed to reach new highs in the 2024-2025 rally and has shown significant structural weakness. It remains under a descending resistance trendline and is trapped within a supply zone, indicating continued selling pressure. The analyst notes a plateau in buying volume, suggesting large holders are distributing their coins during price spikes. Key support levels are identified at $0.09 and $0.08030 if the downtrend continues. A sustained bullish reversal would only occur if DOGE breaks above $0.10875 with strong momentum.

bitcoinist03/02 11:02

This Analyst Predicted The Dogecoin Price Crash, But There’s More To The Forecast

bitcoinist03/02 11:02

U.S.–Iran Conflict Sends Bitcoin Below $67K, Global Markets Recoil

The escalating U.S.-Iran military conflict has triggered a sharp decline in cryptocurrency markets. Following President Trump’s announcement that the U.S. will not cease retaliatory airstrikes until its objectives are met, Bitcoin fell below $67,000, and major altcoins like ETH, SOL, and XRP dropped by approximately 3%. Israel’s subsequent airstrikes on Tehran and expanded operations in Lebanon further intensified the sell-off. Trump warned that Iranian attacks could continue for weeks and urged Iranian forces to surrender. The UK also authorized the U.S. to use its military bases for strikes against Iranian missile sites, amplifying geopolitical tensions. Experts warn that prolonged conflict could reverse recent crypto market gains.

TheNewsCrypto03/02 10:51

U.S.–Iran Conflict Sends Bitcoin Below $67K, Global Markets Recoil

TheNewsCrypto03/02 10:51

A Century-Long Journey of an Egg: From Wall Street to Polymarket

The article traces the historical journey of egg futures, once one of the most active commodities traded on Wall Street. Beginning at the Chicago Butter and Egg Board (which later became the CME), egg futures were highly active in the early 20th century. However, by the 1980s, industrial farming and improved supply chains reduced price volatility, leading to the decline of egg futures trading in traditional markets. In 2013, China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange revived egg futures due to market volatility. More recently, egg price speculation has moved to Polymarket, a prediction market platform. One trader, "xcnstrategy," reportedly earned significant profits by shorting egg price intervals, likely leveraging expertise in commodity markets or agriculture. The piece highlights a broader trend: crypto and prediction markets like Polymarket and Hyperliquid are increasingly serving as 24/7 trading venues for traditional assets—including oil, gold, and forex—especially during periods when conventional markets are closed. This was evident during recent U.S.-Iran tensions when traders used these platforms to hedge and price assets amid traditional market closures. The evolution reflects an ongoing shift in price discovery power from established exchanges to decentralized, always-on crypto markets—echoing the original purpose of futures markets: to manage risk and determine prices.

marsbit03/02 10:48

A Century-Long Journey of an Egg: From Wall Street to Polymarket