2026-04-22 Среда

Новостной центр - Страница 149

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Overseas Funds Accelerate Withdrawal, U.S. Bonds Face Largest Selling Pressure in Six Years

Overseas official investors are accelerating their withdrawal from U.S. Treasuries, with foreign official accounts at the New York Fed shedding $75 billion over the past four weeks—the largest monthly decline since the COVID-19 pandemic hit in March 2020. According to Deutsche Bank research, this implies net sales of approximately $60 billion, marking the most significant sell-off since the pandemic began. The sell-off is particularly concentrated in the mid-term segment of the yield curve, contributing to recent rapid yield rises. Unlike in March 2023, the drawdown was not offset by increased use of the Fed’s FIMA repo facility, indicating outright sales or non-reinvestment of maturing securities. The drop in custody holdings aligns with observed FX intervention by Asian central banks and a broader slowdown in foreign purchases of dollar assets. Historical correlation suggests custody data explains about 50% of the variation in official net flows reported in TIC data. Deutsche Bank warns that sustained foreign selling could erode the “convenience yield” advantage enjoyed by U.S. debt due to its reserve currency status. Estimates suggest the 10-year yield may be suppressed by 90–100 basis points due to dollar dominance. A continued retreat of foreign demand could push long-term yields significantly higher, increasing refinancing costs and affecting global financial conditions.

marsbit03/25 02:59

Overseas Funds Accelerate Withdrawal, U.S. Bonds Face Largest Selling Pressure in Six Years

marsbit03/25 02:59

Token Is Completely on Fire, Blockchain Is Heartbroken

Token, a term once central to blockchain's vision of decentralization and economic transformation, has now been popularized by the AI industry as a unit of computation and billing. With the rise of products like OpenAI's ChatGPT and Deepseek, Token has become widely recognized as a measure of API calls and computational power—essentially a "currency for compute." This shift has left the blockchain sector in an ironic position: while it long struggled to explain Token's potential for revolutionizing ownership and community governance, AI has repurposed the term into a practical, everyday concept devoid of cryptographic complexity. The blockchain community once championed "Tokenization of Everything," aiming to convert real-world assets and labor into tradable tokens. Instead, AI achieved a form of tokenization by breaking down text, audio, and video into Tokens for processing—without requiring users to manage private keys or understand consensus mechanisms. This practical adoption contrasts sharply with blockchain’s association with speculation and scandals, as seen in the rise and fall of NFTs and memecoins. Amid a broader crisis of faith in blockchain’s promise—with many innovators expressing disillusionment over the industry’s shift toward speculation—AI’s rapid growth has intensified this sense of irrelevance. However, there are positive signs: traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries and stocks are increasingly being tokenized, attracting major financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity. This may signal Token’s return to its original purpose as a vehicle of value, even as AI dominates its popular meaning.

marsbit03/25 02:14

Token Is Completely on Fire, Blockchain Is Heartbroken

marsbit03/25 02:14

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