XLM下跌6%的原因是什么?还会继续下跌吗?

金色财经Опубликовано 2024-08-30Обновлено 2024-08-30

Stellar (XLM) 是一种开源区块链,用于各种支付和汇款应用,它呈现出双顶形态。这种形态预示着趋势可能出现逆转,有利于空头。此外,链上数据也支持这种看跌走势,因为 XLM 的 OI 加权融资利率数据和多空比显示负偏差,表明 Stellar 的价格下跌。

恒星币价格跌破支撑位,将进入下行趋势

恒星币价格在 8 月初从 0.0933 美元的水平反弹后上涨并收于 0.1031 美元。从 8 月初到 8 月中旬,它形成了一个 M 形结构,称为双顶模式,这通常预示着潜在的趋势逆转有利于空头。周三,恒星币价格收于颈线下方 0.0931 美元,截至周五撰写本文时,其交易价格小幅上涨 0.3%,至 0.0933 美元。

如果 0.0931 美元的阻力位保持不变,XLM 可能下跌 6%,重新测试 8 月 6 日的低点 0.0879 美元。

日线图上的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和动量震荡指标 (AO) 分别低于中性水平 50 和 0。这些动量指标强烈表明看跌势头占主导地位,且即将出现下跌。

如果空头咄咄逼人,且整体加密货币市场前景不容乐观,XLM 可能收于 0.0879 美元以下,延续 14% 的跌势,重新测试 8 月 5 日的低点 0.0757 美元。

Coinglass 的 OI 加权融资利率数据是交易员和分析师评估市场情绪和预测未来价格走势的重要指标。该指标依赖于期货合约的融资利率,按其未平仓合约加权。正利率(多头支付空头)通常表示看涨情绪,因为多头头寸补偿空头。相反,负利率(空头支付多头)表示看跌情绪,空头补偿多头。

就恒星币而言,该指标为 -0.0083%,反映出负利率,表明空头正在支付多头。这种情况通常表明市场情绪看跌,表明 XLM 价格可能面临下行压力。

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此外,Coinglass 的数据显示,XLM 的多头与空头比率为 0.86。该比率反映了市场的看跌情绪,因为低于 1 的数字表明更多交易者预计资产价格会下跌,从而增强了 Stellar 的看跌前景。

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尽管技术分析和链上数据显示前景看跌,但如果恒星币价格的日线收盘价高于 0.1031 美元,则看跌论点将失效,因为它将在日线时间范围内创下更高的高点。这可能会使恒星币价格上涨 3%,重回 7 月 31 日的高点 0.1066 美元。

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