[dragon and tiger list] BTC's long position explosion rebounded, XTZ ushered in a rebound opportunity

Huobi ResearchОпубликовано 2022-05-24Обновлено 2022-05-31

Введение

BTC prices retreated again, and bulls were under pressure. Pay attention to adjusting expectations.

1. 4-hour chart, BTC volume withdrawal

During the horizontal consolidation of BTC, the fluctuation space is small, but the price retreats frequently, which also brings trading pressure to more investors.

At present, BTC's short-term trading profit space is obviously insufficient. The price retreat speed in the 4-hour K-line chart is fast, which depresses the profit space of investors.

Judging by the interval fluctuation, the low fluctuation operation characteristics of BTC continue. In addition to bargain hunting, investors with heavy positions can pay close attention to the possible breaking signals of BTC. After all, there are still a large number of investors in loss making transactions, and the bottom confirmation cycle will be prolonged. In terms of support, BTC has frequently approached the US $28307 corresponding to 61.8% of Fibonacci in the near future, but the rebound intensity is weak. Be vigilant that BTC falls below the expectation of this support.

2. Increase in the number of contract positions

In terms of the number of positions burst, the number of positions burst in the overall market rebounded slightly on May 23, and the scale of long positions burst is still higher than short positions, which is related to the rapid withdrawal of BTC in the short term. On May 23, the overall position of bulls burst $146 million, a significant contraction compared with $570 million on May 20. On the trend of long position explosion, since April, the scale of long position explosion is often significantly higher than that of short position explosion, but the scale of long position explosion has narrowed recently.

In terms of positions, after the number of long holders decreased, the explosion scale of BTC and mainstream currencies guided the overall explosion decline. The main currency volatility retreats, which means that the market may change further.

3. Global market

The global market has been shaken recently, and the US dollar index is still higher than 100 points, which is currently around 101.7 points. The dollar index recently retreated from its high of 105 points. On the contrary, gold and crude oil prices rebounded. U.S. stocks fell in a short-term shock, BTC's recent weak consolidation, and there is a rebound expectation during the sideways operation. However, considering that the gold absorption effect of the US dollar is still strong, there will be great uncertainty at the bottom of BTC.

4. Longhubang:

Due to the obvious low-level operation characteristics of mainstream currencies, most of the currencies with the market value of the top 100 have limited growth. LRC and xtz performed better in the ranking list. After LRC fell from the highest $3.50, although the price rebounded slightly, the room for increase is still very limited.

Increase list

XTZ

Xtz has ranked high in terms of growth in the past 24 hours. During the continuous decline of its price, it has already continued the signal of obvious volume reduction adjustment. The daily trading volume decreased to a very low level, suggesting that the selling pressure of xtz decreased significantly. From around $3.50 of xtz, the decline in trading volume means that xtz's recent increase is expected to increase.

Decline list

The decline of mainstream currencies in the list is staggering, and the declines of Zec, sand, avax and GRT are relatively large, indicating that the overall market is in the adjustment stage, and currency holding investors properly control their positions.

Похожее

The Real Battlefield of AI Lies in the 'Dark Forest'

The article "AI's Real Battlefield is in the 'Dark Forest'" discusses the shifting dynamics in the global AI landscape, contrasting the strategic directions of Chinese and U.S. AI developers. Chinese companies like Alibaba (with its "HappyHorse" video model), ByteDance (Seedance 2.0), and Kuaishou (Kling 3.0) have taken the lead in text-to-video generation, surpassing OpenAI’s now-discontinued Sora. These models are deeply integrated into their parent companies’ content ecosystems (e.g., Douyin, Kuaishou), serving to reduce content creation costs and enhance user engagement rather than operating as standalone profit centers. In contrast, U.S. firms are pivoting toward high-stakes enterprise and security applications. Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model demonstrates advanced capabilities in autonomously discovering and exploiting software vulnerabilities, prompting concern at the highest levels of U.S. financial and governmental institutions. OpenAI responded with its own GPT-5.4-Cyber, signaling a strategic shift from consumer-facing products to enterprise-grade tools focused on cybersecurity and programming. The divergence is attributed to fundamental differences in resources and market structures. U.S. companies, backed by vast computational resources (e.g., Amazon and Google supply Anthropic with substantial funding and TPU access), can pursue deep, specialized R&D in high-value B2B sectors. Chinese firms, facing significant compute power constraints and a less mature enterprise SaaS market, have found success by leveraging their massive consumer platforms and optimizing for cost-efficiency. The article warns that the AI race is entering a "dark forest" phase—a reference to competitive dynamics where cybersecurity capabilities could determine digital sovereignty. While Chinese models like Zhipu AI’s GLM-5.1 show promise in narrowing the gap in coding proficiency, the author stresses that achieving parity in security-critical AI will require asymmetric strategies, including greater investment in coding models, adaptation to domestic hardware, and exploring international markets in the Global South.

marsbit1 ч. назад

The Real Battlefield of AI Lies in the 'Dark Forest'

marsbit1 ч. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы
活动图片