Weekly Selection丨Meme Coins Lead the First Wave of the New Year's Market, Venezuela's Bitcoin Holdings Remain a Mystery

marsbitPublished on 2026-01-10Last updated on 2026-01-10

Abstract

PANews Weekly Digest: Meme coins like DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE led the first market rally of 2026, signaling a return of risk appetite. Major themes include 2025 reviews and 2026 forecasts, with institutions like Fidelity predicting a crypto "super cycle" and firms like a16z highlighting trends like privacy chains and AI integration. Venezuela’s alleged secret Bitcoin reserves (estimated at 660k BTC) drew attention amid geopolitical shifts. AI dominated CES 2026, while DeFi and NFT markets showed volatile but recovering traction. Regulatory developments, including China’s reinforced crypto oversight and Walmart’s new BTC/ETH trading service, were also highlighted. The week’s content covers macro trends, investment strategies, and emerging opportunities in Web3.

PANews Editor's Note: PANews has selected a week's worth of high-quality content to help everyone catch up over the weekend. Click on the title to read.

2025 Review and 2026 Outlook

Waterdrip Capital: BTC in the Left Hand, AI Computing Power in the Right Hand—The Gold and Oil of the Digital Intelligence Era

Waterdrip Capital predicts that 2026 will be a turning point similar to the eve of the oil industrial revolution. Companies mastering either "productivity" (AI computing power) or "assets" (BTC) will define the wealth landscape of the new era, with cloud service providers at the intersection of these two major consensuses. The era of "computing power as currency" is accelerating.

Blockworks Co-founder's 27 Predictions for 2026: Ethereum Rises, Bitcoin Fades, Solana "Disappears," Crypto Industry Faces Major Reshuffle

Blockworks co-founder Mike Ippolito and Bankless host David Hoffman discussed the current state and future trends of the crypto industry based on Mike's 27 predictions for 2026.

Trend Research: Tech and AI Companies to Accelerate Stablecoin Deployment in 2026, WLFI and USD1 to Become Biggest Beneficiaries

Trend Research predicts that 2026 will be a key year for large-scale institutional adoption of blockchain, with stablecoins as underlying infrastructure experiencing "explosive growth." The report specifically notes that WLFI (World Liberty Financial) and its USD1 stablecoin will be the biggest beneficiaries of this wave.

2025 Blockchain Financing Overview: Where Did Over $20 Billion Flow?

PANews statistics show 839 disclosed financing events in 2025, totaling over $23.7 billion. Although the number of transactions decreased by about 33.6% compared to 2024, the funding amount doubled, indicating a clear market recovery.

Fidelity's 2026 Crypto Market Outlook: We May Be Entering a Super Cycle, Bull Market to Last for Years

Fidelity Investments' 2026 crypto market outlook states that cryptocurrencies are gaining mainstream recognition, and the market may enter a "super cycle" with reduced volatility, potentially lasting for years. Fidelity advises long-term investors to focus on Bitcoin's anti-inflation value but to cautiously observe market cycle patterns in the short term.

Dalio's 2025 Ultimate Reflection: "Monetary Purchasing Power" to Become Top Political Issue in 2026, AI in Early Bubble Stage

Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio systematically reflected on the 2025 market, noting that the core story of the past year was not the seemingly strong U.S. stock market but the drastic changes in monetary value and the global reallocation of assets.

From $270 Billion Peak to Flash Crash, DeFi Enters Deep Waters of Financial Infrastructure

PANews statistics indicate that the DeFi market experienced severe volatility in 2025, with TVL rising from $182.3 billion at the beginning of the year to a historical high of $277.6 billion mid-year. However, affected by the October/November flash crash, it fell back to $189.3 billion by year-end, with only a 3.86% growth for the year. Sectors like staking, lending, and RWA evolved deeply, with Lido's dominance loosening, Aave's internal governance conflict, and Hyperliquid facing challenges from new competitors.

Trillion-Dollar IPO Myth to Unfold in 2026, but "Small Unicorns" Have Already Crashed

The 2025 tech IPO market presented a "split" scenario, with over two-thirds of the 23 listed tech companies falling below their IPO price, a median drop of 9%. For instance, Gemini's stock price plummeted 58%, while Klarna and Figma saw significant market cap shrinkage. In contrast, giants like SpaceX and OpenAI are preparing for trillion-dollar IPOs, attracting capital追捧.

Macro Perspective

Different Judgments for the Same Crime Involving Virtual Currency? This Shanghai No.2 Intermediate Court Seminar Summary Provides the Answer

The Shanghai No.2 Intermediate Court recently held a seminar, forming倾向性 opinions on legal application difficulties in criminal cases involving virtual currency, aiming to unify judgment standards. Among them, "merely holding or trading coins personally is generally not considered illegal business operation."

"Even a Penny Falling from the Sky is His"—Exposing the Crimes and Downfall of Cambodia's "Crown Prince" Chen Zhi

Cambodia's Prince Group boss Chen Zhi was recently arrested and extradited to China for investigation. The article details his background and rise. With Chen Zhi's arrest, his criminal group has finally collapsed.

Trading Moments: Copper and Nickel Soar, Gold Pulls Back, Bitcoin Blocked at $95K May Pull Back Before Rising

On January 7th, gold retreated after returning to $4,500. Nvidia's AI model boosted storage semiconductors, and LME copper futures hit a record high. Citigroup has raised its Q1 target price to $14,000. Bridgewater warned that geopolitical risks are driving capital to non-U.S. markets and physical assets like gold.

A Century of U.S. Stock Market Revelations: Why We Should Chase Beta, Forget Alpha

The article argues that for ordinary investors, overall market performance (Beta) is more important than pursuing excess returns (Alpha). Even with superb investment skills, it is difficult to achieve good returns if the market environment is poor. The article suggests shifting energy to optimizing personal careers, savings rates, health, and family relationships—areas that are more controllable and have higher long-term value—rather than excessively pursuing a few percentage points of excess returns in investment portfolios.

Venezuela's On-Chain Phantom: USDT Becomes Hard Currency, Possibly Secretly Building a Hundred-Billion Dollar Bitcoin "Shadow Reserve"

With Venezuela's sudden regime change, global attention is focused on the country. Besides oil resources, rumors suggest the government has accumulated crypto assets worth $56 to $67 billion, with Bitcoin holdings possibly exceeding 660,000 BTC. However, there is a lack of direct on-chain evidence, and public data only shows holdings of 240 BTC.

A 2026 Survival Guide for "Crypto U.S. Stock Market Players"

Through Q&A with nine researchers, the article reviews the integration trends of U.S. stocks and tokenized/Web3 sectors in 2025 and looks ahead to investment opportunities and strategies for 2026. The core consensus is that the market is shifting from "narrative-driven" to "value return" and "substantive implementation."

AI and Meme

The 25 Craziest Ideas at CES 2026: Barbers, Veterinarians, Masseurs... AI is Taking Their Jobs

At CES 2026, artificial intelligence (AI) is moving massively from the virtual world into physical reality, reshaping daily life, work, and entertainment through various hardware terminals. The exhibition clearly showed four core trends of deep AI and hardware integration: robots and embodied intelligence moving towards practicality, AI hardware "disappearing" into everything, intelligent transportation deepening and landscape reshuffling, and brain-opening products expanding technological boundaries.

He Yi Riding a Horse, Community Creating Coins, Alpha Listing: There's Also "Shandong Studies" in the Crypto Circle

After Binance co-founder He Yi posted a New Year's tweet saying "I'm on a horse coming" while riding a horse, the community quickly issued a同名 Meme coin based on this theme, which was soon listed on Binance Alpha. This event was compared by netizens to "Shandong Studies in the crypto circle."

Dialogue with Gonka AI: Five Giants Monopolize 80% of Computing Power, How Can AI Belong to Everyone?

In an interview with PANews, two co-founders of Gonka AI stated that AI computing power is highly concentrated among giants like AWS and Google Cloud, with 80% of global cloud computing power monopolized by a few companies, which may limit AI innovation. Gonka AI plans to build a decentralized AI computing power network, drawing on Bitcoin's open financial incentive framework to attract more participants to contribute computing resources. Its model has already received $50 million in funding support from Bitcoin mining giant Bitfury.

Behind the 114514 Surge: The Collision of Japanese Meme Culture and the Digital First Year

The Japanese Meme coin narrative experienced a surge and plunge this week. The author believes this surge is closely related to the macro narrative of Japan's 2026 "Digital First Year."

Jensen Huang Announced 8 New Products in 1.5 Hours, Nvidia Bets Heavily on AI Reasoning and Physical AI

At CES 2026, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang released the new AI supercomputing platform Vera Rubin, including 6 self-developed chips and innovations like NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD.

Unveiling Why the First Wave of the 2026 Market is Meme Coins: The Underlying Logic from Extreme FUD to Risk Return

After the downturn in Q4 2025, the cryptocurrency market showed signs of recovery at the beginning of 2026. Unexpectedly, this round of market movement was not led by Bitcoin or Ethereum but by Meme coins (like DOGE, SHIB, PEPE) leading a strong rebound, driving market risk appetite back.

Focus on Privacy and Prediction Markets

From Zcash to Arcium, 7 High-Potential Privacy Projects

Privacy is transforming from an optional feature to a default system infrastructure. The article introduces seven high-potential privacy projects, including Zcash, Aztec, Railgun, etc.

Digging into 290,000 Market Data Points: Revealing 6 Truths About Polymarket Liquidity

By analyzing historical data from 295,000 prediction markets on Polymarket, PANews revealed six key truths about its liquidity distribution: short-term markets lack liquidity, long-term markets attract large funds, sports markets are polarized, new categories face cold start difficulties, markets are明显分化, and the geopolitical sector is rising.

Explaining Polymarket in One Article: Why MUST YES + NO Equal 1?

The article aims to clarify common misunderstandings about Polymarket's mechanism, emphasize its core design logic, and point out that the "YES+NO<1" strategy promoted by some KOLs is impossible under a shared order book.

a16z's 8 Major Trend Predictions for the Crypto Industry in 2026: Rise of Privacy Chains, Exchange Transformation, etc.

Prominent venture capital firm a16z released eight major trend predictions for the crypto industry in 2026, with core views covering key areas such as exchange transformation, stablecoin innovation, AI agents, and privacy moats.

In-Depth Analysis of 27,000 Operations by Polymarket's Top Ten Whales: The Illusion of "Smart Money" Win Rates and Real Survival Rules

PANews conducted an in-depth analysis of the top ten profitable "whale" accounts on the prediction platform Polymarket in December last year. Many whales displayed misleading historical win rates (e.g., 73%). The article also introduced various profit models.

Seizing Opportunities

It's 2026, Who's Still Playing NFT in the "Good Start" Market?

PANews found that entering 2026, the long-silent NFT market unexpectedly showed short-term recovery signs, with the overall market cap increasing by over $220 million in a week, and some project prices rebounding significantly. The article details the current state of NFT and the types of NFTs receiving attention.

Crypto KOL Dayu's 2026 Investment List: Has Revenue, Coin Has Utility, No Bullshit

Well-known crypto KOL Dayu released his 2026 investment list, with the core view that investors should refuse to buy "shitcoins" without fundamentals or real revenue, promoting healthy industry development through value investment. The article details the coin selection logic and provides the specific sectors and targets he chooses.

After Lighter, These 23 High-Volume Perp DEXs Could Be 2026's Potential "Big Airdrop" Stocks

With Lighter completing its Token Generation Event (TGE) at the end of 2025, market focus shifts to the next batch of potential token issuance projects in the perpetual合约 decentralized exchange (Perp DEX)领域. Based on the past 30 days of trading volume data, the article筛选出 23 Perp DEXs that have not yet issued tokens but have high trading volume and user participation.

Listing 9 Perp DEX Projects Potentially Airdropping in 2026

A list of 9 perpetual合约 decentralized exchange (Perp DEX) projects that may conduct token airdrops in 2026. These projects are all in early stages and have not issued tokens yet.

69 Potential Airdrop Projects for 2026 (Including Ratings, Sectors, Interaction Methods)

This article selects 69 high-potential projects, summarizing them according to five dimensions: project name, website, sector, airdrop method, and rating, covering热门 sectors like DeFi, AI, prediction markets, infrastructure, RWA, SocialFi, etc.

Web3 Things

Sui on the Offensive: Wrestling with Wall Street via ETFs, Ecological Expansion Still Tests Resilience

In early 2026, the SUI token surged 30% in a week. Grayscale and Bitwise have submitted applications for a Spot SUI ETF to the U.S. SEC, marking SUI's entry into the mainstream institutional视野 and potential access to broader compliant funds.

Telegram's "Crypto Accounting": Net Loss Behind Soaring Revenue, and the $450 Million Coin Sale Controversy

According to PANews observation, Telegram recently came under the spotlight again due to financial information流向 investors: the revenue curve is rising, but net profit is turning downward. The key variable is not slowing user growth but TON's price decline穿透 into the income statement through asset-side fluctuations.

The Three Strongest People in Crypto VC History, Making Dragonfly Partners Feel Ashamed

Dragonfly partner Haseeb selected the top three in crypto venture capital history: Paradigm's Dan Robinson ranked third for deeply participating in projects like Uniswap V3; a16z crypto's Chris Dixon ranked second for leading Coinbase and Uniswap financing; Multicoin's Kyle Samani topped the list for investing in L1 project Solana.

Arthur Hayes' Latest Article: After Trump "Colonizes" Venezuela, the Money Printer Will Go Brrr, Last Year's Biggest Loss Was PUMP

Arthur Hayes believes the Trump administration may control Venezuela's oil resources to压低 oil prices, combined with printing money to stimulate the economy, to gain electoral support. He is bullish on the privacy track (e.g., ZEC) and plans to use部分 BTC and ETH to布局 potential tokens for excess returns.

Key News

  • "Strategy Counterparty" Turns Bullish, New Positions Total About $120 Million

  • Changpeng Zhao: Might Name the Chinese Version of His Memoir "Binance Life," Unrelated to Meme Coins

  • Polymarket Denies U.S. Military Invasion of Venezuela, Sparking Strong User Dissatisfaction

  • People's Bank of China: 2026 Will Strengthen Virtual Currency Trading Supervision, Steadily Develop Digital Yuan

  • Walmart Launches Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading Services Through Its OnePay App

  • Tom Lee: Predicts Ethereum's Future Price Will Reach $250,000

  • Ethereum PoS Network Exit Queue ETH Quantity Nearly Zero, Entry Waiting Period Extends to Over 20 Days

  • James Wynn Increases BTC and PEPE Long Positions Again, Floating Profit Over $340,000

  • U.S. Capture of Venezuelan President Did Not Affect Bitcoin Price, but Experts Warn Market May Be Volatile Monday

  • Financial Times: PwC Actively Expanding into Cryptocurrency领域

  • Venezuela Holds 240 Bitcoins, Analysts Estimate Its Bitcoin "Shadow Reserve" May Exceed 600,000

  • Goldman Sachs Report: Recommends Overweighting Chinese Stocks, Predicts 15% to 20% Annual Rise in Chinese Stock Market for 2026 and 2027

  • SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic Plan to Launch IPOs in 2026, Potentially One of the Most Significant Listing Waves in History

Related Questions

QWhat is the main driver of the first market rally in 2026 according to the article?

AMeme coins, such as DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE, led the first market rally of 2026, driving a return of risk appetite.

QWhat is the mysterious speculation about Venezuela's cryptocurrency holdings mentioned in the title?

AThere is speculation that the Venezuelan government has secretly accumulated a massive 'shadow reserve' of 660,000 to 670,000 Bitcoins, worth an estimated $56 to $67 billion, though public on-chain data only shows holdings of 240 BTC.

QWhich investment firm predicted that 2026 is a critical year for large-scale institutional adoption of blockchain and a surge in stablecoins?

ATrend Research predicted that 2026 will be a critical year for large-scale institutional adoption of blockchain, with stablecoins experiencing 'explosive growth' as underlying infrastructure.

QWhat major trend did the CES 2026 exhibition showcase regarding Artificial Intelligence (AI)?

ACES 2026 showcased that artificial intelligence is moving from the virtual world into physical reality on a large scale, reshaping daily life, work, and entertainment through various terminals, with trends including practical robotics, AI hardware integration into everything, smart transportation, and boundary-pushing products.

QWhat significant legal development regarding virtual currency in China is reported in the 'Key Information' section?

AThe People's Bank of China announced that it will strengthen the supervision of virtual currency transactions and steadily develop the digital yuan (e-CNY) in 2026.

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