# Volatility Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Volatility", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Ethereum’s Q4 reset: Is an ETH/BTC breakout coming in Q1 2026?

This cycle differs from the past, with the market showing extra caution. The Altcoin Season Index reveals only 12 altcoins are in the green against Bitcoin. Despite this, Ethereum is following a similar playbook in derivatives, undergoing a significant deleveraging event. ETH's open interest dropped over 50% from its peak, a deeper hit compared to Bitcoin's 38% decline. Structurally, Ethereum's value extends beyond its spot price, with a strong presence in DeFi, RWA, stablecoins, TradFi, and NFTs. Its consolidation around $3k appears less random as on-chain metrics have stabilized since mid-November. Total Value Locked (TVL) has hovered around $70 billion, and Total Value Secured (TVS) reached an all-time high and remains robust. Combining the leverage flush, structural resilience, and on-chain stability, ETH's Q4 performance against BTC may not be a setback. Instead, it could set the stage for a potential ETH/BTC breakout in Q1 2026.

ambcrypto12/22 17:02

Ethereum’s Q4 reset: Is an ETH/BTC breakout coming in Q1 2026?

ambcrypto12/22 17:02

Ethereum Derivatives See Heavy Unwind As Open Interest Falls Hard – A Leveraged Flush?

Amidst a volatile market, Ethereum's price briefly reclaimed $3,000, but its derivatives market is signaling a significant shift. Open Interest (OI) has plummeted by 50% since August, indicating a massive unwind of leveraged positions and a sharp decline in trader risk appetite. This drop, observed across major exchanges like Binance (-31%), suggests robust market deleveraging and a lower probability of explosive short-term price moves. Concurrently, ETH withdrawals from exchanges have spiked to multi-year lows, reducing immediate sell pressure. While this points to a more cautious, consolidating market, such a flush of leverage has historically preceded major structural shifts.

bitcoinist12/22 16:31

Ethereum Derivatives See Heavy Unwind As Open Interest Falls Hard – A Leveraged Flush?

bitcoinist12/22 16:31

2025 recap: Navigating a year of market extremes with ‘RISE’ strategy

The year 2025 was marked by extreme volatility in the crypto industry, with Bitcoin reaching a record high of $125,700 and total market capitalization surpassing $4 trillion, alongside major liquidations and sharp declines. In this environment, CoinW implemented its RISE strategy—focusing on Resilience, Innovation, Scale, and Evolution—to strengthen its role in the digital asset ecosystem. Key initiatives included enhancing platform security, launching products like GemW for asset discovery and DeriW for efficient trading, and expanding its user base to over 20 million registered users. The company emphasized long-term stability over speculative gains, positioning itself for sustained growth in 2026.

cointelegraph12/22 14:01

2025 recap: Navigating a year of market extremes with ‘RISE’ strategy

cointelegraph12/22 14:01

Kaspa eyes breakout past the $0.048 local resistance: Can it happen?

Kaspa (KAS) price surged 5.44% in 24 hours, with trading volume doubling, potentially boosted by Bitcoin nearing $90k and a recent HTX exchange listing. KAS is testing the key $0.048 mid-range resistance level; a break above could target the range high of $0.060. The weekly trend remains bearish, requiring a close above $0.063 to turn bullish. Key liquidation levels at $0.0439 and $0.0489 may attract price movement. Traders are watching for a drop to $0.044 for a buying opportunity or a breakout above $0.048 to confirm upward momentum. Overall, KAS has been range-bound with modest demand.

ambcrypto12/22 13:02

Kaspa eyes breakout past the $0.048 local resistance: Can it happen?

ambcrypto12/22 13:02

December 22: BTC, ETH, SOL, LIGHT, MERL, PIPPIN Market Analysis

December 22: BTC, ETH, SOL, LIGHT, MERL, PIPPIN Market Analysis Bitcoin saw low liquidity and reduced volatility over the weekend but halted its downward trend, climbing back to around $90,000. The weekly chart shows signs of stabilization, with limited downside and potential upside in the coming month. Macro conditions currently don’t support further decline. BTC is trading at $89,240, still in a broad consolidation range. Key resistance is at 89.5K–90K; a break above could signal further gains. Key support lies at 87,900, with major resistance near 100,000 and strong support around 78,000–79,000. ETH has consolidated and reclaimed $3,000. Long positions can consider partial profit-taking or break-even stops. Next targets are $3,144 and $3,269. A pullback to $2,980–$2,950 may offer entry opportunities. SOL has shown weak momentum, with less than 3% gains over three days. It faces strong resistance near $134, making it a candidate for shorting. Further downside is expected after a potential brief rebound. LIGHT experienced a sharp drop with little buyer reaction. Such altcoins often have short cycles and high risk. Caution is advised—avoid FOMO. Better opportunities may lie in tokens like XPIN, NIGHT, and BEAT after clearer signals emerge. MERL has repeatedly failed to hold above $0.50 due to heavy selling pressure, especially with large unlocks in mid-December. A drop toward $0.30 is likely, making it a candidate for short positions with a stop above $0.52. PIPPIN has surged over 200% but shows signs of a double top formation on the daily chart, indicating a likely peak. The second peak was missed but confirms a probable reversal. Overall, the market remains cautious with selective opportunities. Major coins like BTC and ETH show resilience, while altcoins require careful timing and risk management.

金色财经12/22 12:31

Bitcoin reacts to $6.8B Fed liquidity – Is a 2026 bull run taking shape?

Recent Federal Reserve actions, including a $6.8 billion liquidity injection, are fueling speculation of a potential Bitcoin bull run by 2026, reminiscent of the 2020–21 rally. However, the current environment remains volatile due to mixed global liquidity conditions—Japan is tightening while China's money supply data is pending. Despite four consecutive bullish daily candles for BTC, several risks persist: negative ETF flows, cautious U.S. investors, and upcoming key macro data on inflation, GDP, and employment. This combination suggests the current uptick may be a bull trap rather than a sustained breakout, with Bitcoin likely to test key support levels amid ongoing market uncertainty.

ambcrypto12/22 12:01

Bitcoin reacts to $6.8B Fed liquidity – Is a 2026 bull run taking shape?

ambcrypto12/22 12:01

Aave Whale’s $37.6M Selloff Triggers 10% Price Drop Amid Governance Dispute

An Aave whale sold 230,350 AAVE tokens (worth approximately $37.6 million) over a three-hour period on December 21, causing the token's price to drop by roughly 10%. The selloff occurred amidst an ongoing governance dispute within the Aave community. The controversy centers on a proposal to transfer Aave's brand assets to its decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Aave Labs, the company's founding team, has been accused of attempting to rush the proposal to a Snapshot vote without allowing sufficient time for community discussion, a move that the proposal's original author, Ernesto Boado, called "disgraceful." The uncertainty from this governance drama is speculated to have contributed to the whale's decision to dump its holdings, highlighting concerns over centralization and market volatility for a top-40 cryptocurrency.

ccn.com12/22 11:22

Aave Whale’s $37.6M Selloff Triggers 10% Price Drop Amid Governance Dispute

ccn.com12/22 11:22

Hyperliquid says ex-employee responsible for HYPE token shorting

Hyperliquid co-founder Iliensinc clarified on Discord that a wallet accused of shorting the HYPE token belonged to a former employee terminated in Q1 2024, not a current team member. The address sold around 4,000 HYPE tokens ($134,000) in a single day. Iliensinc emphasized that all employees and contractors are prohibited from derivatives trading involving HYPE or using material non-public information. Despite a 24% price drop this year, HYPE has risen 290% since its November 2024 launch. Arthur Hayes recently praised Hyperliquid as this cycle’s “best story,” noting its growth from $2–3 to over $60 at its peak. The platform dominated the perp DEX market with $653 billion volume in Q2 2025.

cointelegraph12/22 09:14

Hyperliquid says ex-employee responsible for HYPE token shorting

cointelegraph12/22 09:14

Bitcoin Starts the Week Without Sharp Movements. What's Happening in the Crypto Market

Bitcoin opened the week with minimal volatility, trading around $89,000, while Ethereum held just above $3,000. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization remained stable above $3 trillion, levels maintained throughout the previous week. The market showed a slightly positive trend in the last 24 hours, with about half of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap posting gains of up to 70%, though most increases were under 3%. Significant growth was seen in lesser-known assets and memecoins like BEAT and NIGHT. Losses for declining assets were mostly under 3%, with the largest drops in CC and AAVE. The crypto fear and greed index remained in "extreme fear" territory at 25 out of 100, indicating investor anxiety and potential panic selling. Despite this sentiment, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $500 million in weekly inflows, while Ethereum-based funds attracted almost $650 million, nearing a record weekly high.

RBK-crypto12/22 08:01

Bitcoin Starts the Week Without Sharp Movements. What's Happening in the Crypto Market

RBK-crypto12/22 08:01

Analyzing 10 Major BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

This analysis examines 10 classic Bitcoin top indicators to assess why the current bull market (as of Q4 2025) differs from previous cycles. Key metrics like the Pi Cycle Top Indicator, Puell Multiple, Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, 2-Year MA Multiplier, 4-Year Moving Average, MVRV Z-Score, Altcoin Season Index, Long-Term Holder (LTH) Supply, Short-Term Holder (STH) Supply, and Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) all show subdued or neutral readings compared to historical extremes observed at past market tops (e.g., 2017 and 2021). Unlike previous cycles, these indicators suggest a lack of typical overheating signals, such as extreme miner profitability, excessive valuation deviations, or rampant altcoin speculation. The price peak on October 6, 2025, did not align with classic top patterns, indicating structural shift in Bitcoin’s market behavior. This moderation may stem from increased institutional participation via Bitcoin ETFs, which has stabilized supply dynamics, as well as broader macroeconomic factors like global liquidity changes and geopolitical events. The declining peak values of indicators like MVRV (from 10 in 2017 to ~3 in 2025) suggest Bitcoin is maturing from a cyclical asset to a mainstream reserve, reducing volatility and extending cycles. Investors may need to adapt traditional indicators with adjusted thresholds or combined metrics for future decision-making.

marsbit12/22 07:49

Analyzing 10 Major BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?