# Prediction Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Prediction", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Kalshi Issues a $1 Billion Free Lottery Ticket, Remember to Scratch It

Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has announced a "Perfect Bracket Challenge" inspired by Warren Buffett, offering a $1 billion grand prize to any user who correctly predicts every game outcome in the upcoming NCAA "March Madness" basketball tournament. The tournament begins on March 18, featuring 68 college teams competing in a single-elimination format. "March Madness" is one of the most popular sporting events in the U.S., drawing widespread public engagement due to strong school allegiances. This year's tournament is especially notable as a strong NBA draft class, including top prospects like Cameron Boozer, is raising its profile. Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have launched related events. Polymarket currently lists Duke University as the favorite to win at 21%. Meanwhile, Kalshi’s free-to-enter contest also includes a $1 million consolation prize for the best bracket and an additional $1 million donation to charity if no one wins the grand prize. The odds of a perfect bracket are extremely low—often estimated at around 1 in 120 billion—since games are not purely random and upsets are common. Warren Buffett has run a similar challenge for his employees since 2014, with no one ever claiming the top prize. The announcement has sparked discussion online, with some suggesting the use of AI and automated systems to attempt mass entries. Despite the near-impossible odds, users are encouraged to submit their brackets for free.

Odaily星球日报03/17 04:19

Kalshi Issues a $1 Billion Free Lottery Ticket, Remember to Scratch It

Odaily星球日报03/17 04:19

From Campus to Capital: BUPT Senior Secures 30 Million Investment in 10 Days

Based on the provided text, here is the English summary: Guo Hangjiang, a 20-year-old senior student at Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, developed an AI engine called MiroFish in just 10 days. The project, which generates thousands of unique digital agents with distinct personalities, memories, and behaviors to simulate and predict outcomes in virtual worlds, quickly gained massive attention. It topped GitHub's global trending chart, amassing over 22,000 stars. His work caught the eye of Chinese billionaire Chen Tianqiao, former founder of Shanda Group and an advocate of the "super individual" theory. Impressed by a simple demo video, Chen committed 30 million RMB (approximately $4.1 million USD) to incubate the project, transforming Guo from an intern into a CEO overnight. MiroFish's core functionality involves processing a document (e.g., news, policy draft, novel) to extract entities and relationships into a knowledge graph using GraphRAG. It then spawns autonomous AI agents that can form groups, develop opinions, and exhibit herd mentality. A key feature is the "God's Perspective," allowing users to inject new variables (e.g., "Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points") and observe the simulated world recalibrate in real-time, enabling controlled experiments impossible in reality. The open-source framework, released under AGPL-3.0, utilizes the OASIS simulation engine, Zep Cloud for long-term memory, and is deployable via Docker. Demonstrated use cases include predicting the lost ending of the classic novel "Dream of the Red Chamber" and simulating market reactions to a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. The article notes that while MiroFish is a sophisticated multi-agent framework capable of revealing unforeseen scenarios, it has not published benchmark tests against real-world outcomes, inherits potential biases, and its simulated humans are not real. Chen Tianqio's investment is ultimately a bet on the emerging era of the "super individual."

比推03/16 06:45

From Campus to Capital: BUPT Senior Secures 30 Million Investment in 10 Days

比推03/16 06:45

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