# Liquidity Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Liquidity", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Wintermute: The Four-Year Cycle is Dead, How Will Crypto Break Through in 2026?

The traditional four-year crypto cycle, once considered a market "iron law," is now obsolete, according to a 2025 annual report from market maker Wintermute. The market logic has shifted from "seasonal rotation" to "liquidity lock-up." 2025 did not bring the anticipated broad rally but instead showed extreme polarization: BTC and ETH gained institutional legitimacy through ETFs, while altcoins saw significantly reduced momentum and shorter lifespans. OTC data indicates that the historical wealth flow—from Bitcoin to Ethereum, then to blue chips, and finally to altcoins—has weakened substantially. ETFs and Digital Asset Trusts (DATs) act as "walled gardens," providing sustained demand for large-cap assets but failing to naturally circulate liquidity to the broader market. Altcoin rallies in 2025 lasted an average of just 20 days, down from 60 days in 2024, reflecting a highly concentrated market. Wintermute outlines three potential catalysts to break this stagnation in 2026: 1. **Expanding Institutional Mandates**: Broader institutional adoption beyond current large-cap assets, as seen with early ETF filings for Solana (SOL) and XRP. 2. **The Wealth Effect**: A strong rally in BTC or ETH could generate spillover demand for altcoins, similar to 2024. 3. **Rotation from Equities**: Retail attention shifting back from equity markets (e.g., AI, rare earths, quantum computing) to crypto, though this is the least likely scenario. The future of the market depends on whether these catalysts can diffuse liquidity beyond a few major assets or if concentration persists. Understanding these dynamics will be key to successful strategies in 2026.

marsbit01/20 09:12

Wintermute: The Four-Year Cycle is Dead, How Will Crypto Break Through in 2026?

marsbit01/20 09:12

Dialogue with Axis: How a Group of Quantitative Traders is Reshaping 'Yield-Bearing Dollars' with Institutional Strategies?

Axis, founded by a team of quantitative traders including Chris (an early QCP Capital employee and co-founder of the $400M+ AUM fund Alphanonce with 35%+ annual returns), is building a protocol to generate sustainable, transparent yield on-chain through institutional-grade arbitrage strategies. The core product is USDx, a dollar-pegged synthetic asset that users can stake to earn yield. Unlike many DeFi protocols that rely on unsustainable token incentives or directional market bets, Axis’s returns are generated from real, verifiable cross-market arbitrage opportunities. The team’s extensive background in traditional finance, quant trading, and DeFi (with experience from firms like BlackRock, Tether, Ondo, and Maple) informs their focus on capital efficiency, rigorous risk management, and institutional security practices. Axis recently raised a $5M private round led by Galaxy Ventures, with participation from OKX Ventures and FalconX. The protocol is built on Plasma, chosen for its deep USDT liquidity and mature DeFi infrastructure, and is currently in a private testing phase ahead of public launch. Key innovations include a dynamic “arbitrage engine” that allocates capital across multiple strategies (not just basis trading) to capture opportunities in various market conditions. The team emphasizes transparency, with plans for on-chain, third-party-verified proof of reserves and delta-neutrality to build trust. Long-term, Axis aims to evolve from a yield generator into critical “liquidity infrastructure” for the on-chain economy, with plans to expand into yield-bearing assets backed by Bitcoin and gold.

marsbit01/20 03:03

Dialogue with Axis: How a Group of Quantitative Traders is Reshaping 'Yield-Bearing Dollars' with Institutional Strategies?

marsbit01/20 03:03

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