# Crypto Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Crypto", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Can Ethereum Reach $25,000 in 2026? Bullish Executives Told To ‘Pay Up’ After Missing Prediction Bets

Ethereum investors are debating ambitious price targets after a high-profile bet by Infinex founder Kain Warwick expired unfulfilled. Warwick had wagered $50,000 that ETH would reach $25,000 by the end of 2025, but the price fell short by over 700%, currently trading around $3,047. The bet, made against Multicoin Capital’s Kyle Samani, has reignited discussions about Ethereum’s potential to reach such levels by 2026. ChatGPT suggested that a move to $25,000 would require a fundamental repricing of Ethereum’s value, driven by sustained on-chain growth, institutional adoption, and a supportive macro environment. In contrast, Grok was more skeptical, arguing that Ethereum’s already mature and that catalysts like ETFs and upgrades may not justify a 7-8x price increase. Technical analysis also indicates near-term downside risk, with potential declines toward $2,500 due to rising exchange reserves.

ccn.com01/04 10:24

Can Ethereum Reach $25,000 in 2026? Bullish Executives Told To ‘Pay Up’ After Missing Prediction Bets

ccn.com01/04 10:24

Bitcoin news: MSTR’s Q4 losses revive flash-crash fears for BTC

The article discusses concerns surrounding MicroStrategy (MSTR) following its anticipated multi-billion-dollar Q4 loss, which has revived fears of a potential Bitcoin flash crash in early 2026. Despite a recent 3.43% rally in MSTR's stock at the start of the year, the company faces significant challenges after Bitcoin’s 24% decline in Q4 erased a $2.8 billion profit from Q3. MSTR shares fell 48% in 2025 and remain 70% below their November 2024 peak. Analysts project full-year operating results ranging from a $7 billion loss to a $9.5 billion profit, with expectations leaning toward the lower end due to Bitcoin’s year-end price of around $87,600. The article highlights MSTR’s technical weakness, including its first six-month losing streak since adopting its Bitcoin strategy in 2020, resulting in a cumulative loss of 134%. Given market caution and Bitcoin’s 25% drop from pre-October crash highs, the sustainability of MSTR’s Bitcoin-heavy model is in question, and another flash crash remains a possibility.

ambcrypto01/04 09:28

Bitcoin news: MSTR’s Q4 losses revive flash-crash fears for BTC

ambcrypto01/04 09:28

AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Have Read the Question Clearly

Based on an experiment comparing AI predictions against human "smart money" on Polymarket, this article investigates whether AI can reliably profit in prediction markets. The author tested Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro and xAI's Grok (via OpenRouter), both equipped with web search, on 21 resolved non-crypto market questions. The core finding is a divergence in performance: Grok achieved the highest win rate at 75%, outperforming humans (66.7%) and significantly beating Gemini (52.4%). However, a detailed analysis of the AI's reasoning revealed critical flaws. Gemini frequently misjudged the current date, leading to erroneous conclusions. Both models sometimes relied on superficial or commonsense assumptions instead of deep, evidence-based logic. A major failure mode was misinterpreting the specific settlement conditions of a market, such as confusing "any files" with "all files" being released. While Grok's results are promising, the experiment concludes that AI often fails to fully comprehend the question's nuances, highlighting a significant gap between raw information retrieval and true contextual understanding needed for reliable prediction.

marsbit01/04 08:59

AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Have Read the Question Clearly

marsbit01/04 08:59

When War Is Settled Before the News: How Prediction Markets 'Priced' Maduro's Capture Six Days in Advance

"Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, demonstrated their ability to forecast major geopolitical events ahead of official announcements, as illustrated by the fictional yet plausible account of insider trading prior to the U.S. military operation that captured Venezuelan President Maduro in early January 2026. According to the article, several anonymous accounts on Polymarket placed large bets days before the actual event, with one address initiating trades as early as December 27, 2025—six days before the operation occurred. These insiders, likely individuals with access to classified U.S. government or military intelligence, collectively profited over $630,000. The piece highlights how Polymarket’s structure—anonymous, non-KYC, and crypto-settled—enables such trades with minimal risk of exposure. While prediction markets can serve as decentralized early-warning systems for the public, they also raise serious concerns about national security and insider trading. The incident may prompt stricter U.S. regulatory measures, such as the proposed 'Predictive Markets Integrity Act,' aimed at preventing officials from trading on non-public information. The tension between market transparency and state secrecy underscores a growing challenge: when prediction markets outpace official narratives, they risk disrupting traditional information control and operational security."

Odaily星球日报01/04 07:44

When War Is Settled Before the News: How Prediction Markets 'Priced' Maduro's Capture Six Days in Advance

Odaily星球日报01/04 07:44

The Pentagon's Pizza, Polymarket's Money

Summary: During the Cold War, Soviet agents monitored late-night pizza deliveries to the Pentagon as an indicator of imminent military action, a pattern later dubbed the "Pentagon Pizza Index." In 2024, a Twitter account @PenPizzaReport automated this surveillance using Google Maps data to track foot traffic at pizzerias near the Pentagon, accurately predicting events like Israel's airstrike on Iran and the U.S. raid in Venezuela. Concurrently, on the prediction market Polymarket, three newly created wallets placed large, well-timed bets on Venezuelan leader Maduro's ousting, netting $630,000 just hours before the operation. This highlights a shift in how information is accessed and monetized: once a secret intelligence tool, predictive signals are now public, blurring lines between open data, insider knowledge, and speculative profit.

marsbit01/04 06:43

The Pentagon's Pizza, Polymarket's Money

marsbit01/04 06:43

Should We Turn to the Stock Market in 2026? An Analyst's New Year Strategy

In his 2026 strategy, analyst Kyle from DeFiance Capital argues that the crypto market has become a structural bear market dominated by traders, not long-term holders. He highlights that most cryptocurrencies, including major ones like Solana, are highly volatile, lack sustainable value, and are unlikely to reach previous all-time highs again. Kyle advocates for investors to shift focus towards traditional equity markets, which are becoming more "crypto-esque" due to increased retail participation and narrative-driven trading. He emphasizes the importance of being a generalist, identifying strong narratives early, and adapting to high-volatility environments. Kyle also shares his personal move to small-cap stocks, which offer asymmetric returns similar to earlier crypto opportunities. His predictions include gold reaching $5,000, a potential Bitcoin bottom around $70,000, and continued outperformance of non-US equities. The piece concludes with a review of his mixed 2025 predictions and a call for adaptability in a rapidly changing investment landscape.

marsbit01/04 06:36

Should We Turn to the Stock Market in 2026? An Analyst's New Year Strategy

marsbit01/04 06:36

Maduro 'Blitzed' by the US: Where Will Venezuela's 'Legendary $60 Billion Bitcoin' Flow?

Venezuela's political landscape underwent a dramatic shift as President Maduro was reportedly captured by the U.S. in a military operation. Attention has now turned to the fate of an estimated $60 billion in cryptocurrency assets—primarily Bitcoin and USDT—allegedly accumulated by the Venezuelan government through gold sales and oil trade to evade international sanctions. This shadow financial system, believed to have been orchestrated by figures like Alex Saab, involved converting gold and oil revenues into crypto via complex networks spanning Turkey and the UAE. With the collapse of Maduro’s inner circle, the control over these assets—possibly secured via multi-signature mechanisms—remains uncertain. Meanwhile, market analysts suggest that despite Venezuela’s vast oil reserves, immediate global supply impact may be limited, with long-term focus shifting toward potential U.S. investment in rebuilding the country’s energy infrastructure.

比推01/04 06:16

Maduro 'Blitzed' by the US: Where Will Venezuela's 'Legendary $60 Billion Bitcoin' Flow?

比推01/04 06:16

Maduro 'Blitzed' by the US: Where Will Venezuela's 'Legendary $60 Billion Bitcoin' Flow?

Venezuela's political landscape underwent a dramatic shift as President Maduro was reportedly captured by the United States in a military operation. Global attention has turned to the fate of an estimated $60 billion in cryptocurrency assets, primarily Bitcoin and USDT, allegedly accumulated by Venezuela to evade long-term international sanctions. This shadow financial system, built through gold exchanges and oil trade conversions, is now at the center of a geopolitical and intelligence battle. Key figures like Alex Saab, described as the architect of this crypto network, and intermediaries involved in moving gold through Turkey and the UAE are under scrutiny. The assets are believed to be secured in cold wallets, possibly protected by multi-signature mechanisms. Meanwhile, the U.S. aims to manage Venezuela’s transition, with plans for major oil firms to invest in rebuilding infrastructure. While the immediate market impact on oil and gold may be limited, the country’s vast resources and crypto holdings remain a focal point in the unfolding power shift.

华尔街日报01/04 02:04

Maduro 'Blitzed' by the US: Where Will Venezuela's 'Legendary $60 Billion Bitcoin' Flow?

华尔街日报01/04 02:04

Expert Reminds XRP Investors Of The Greatest Blessing Right Now

Crypto expert JV advises XRP investors that prices under $2 are a significant opportunity, revealing he is accumulating the asset ahead of a potential bull run. He emphasizes a long-term strategy, citing his own 600% gains since 2020 and the devaluation of the dollar. JV believes holding XRP for four years will yield legendary returns, cautioning against short-term speculation. Analysts predict XRP could soon reach $2.30, with long-term targets between $10 and $11. Currently, XRP is trading around $2, up over 9% in 24 hours.

bitcoinist01/04 00:03

Expert Reminds XRP Investors Of The Greatest Blessing Right Now

bitcoinist01/04 00:03

SEC Loses Its Strongest Crypto Skeptic as Commissioner Steps Down

Caroline Crenshaw, a long-serving SEC Commissioner and the agency's most vocal crypto skeptic, stepped down on January 2, 2026. Her departure leaves the SEC with only three Republican commissioners for the first time in years. Crenshaw consistently opposed crypto-related approvals, including spot Bitcoin ETFs, citing investor protection concerns. With her absence, the main internal opposition to crypto is gone, and the remaining commissioners may be more open to crypto-friendly decisions. The SEC now awaits Senate confirmation of a new Democratic commissioner, while current leadership prioritizes crypto regulation.

TheNewsCrypto01/03 15:06

SEC Loses Its Strongest Crypto Skeptic as Commissioner Steps Down

TheNewsCrypto01/03 15:06

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