# BTC Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "BTC", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Small-Cap Index Hits New High Again: Will History Predict This Crypto Bull Market?

Small-cap stock index Russell 2000 has reached a new all-time high in early 2026, sparking discussions about its historical correlation with Bitcoin bull markets. The index, which tracks 2,000 smaller U.S. companies, is seen as a gauge of risk appetite, as these firms are more sensitive to interest rate changes due to their reliance on bank financing. Historical data shows that previous breakouts in Russell 2000—in 2016 and 2020—coincided with major Bitcoin rallies. In 2016, post-halving supply constraints and improved risk appetite fueled a bull run. In 2020, massive monetary easing and institutional adoption drove Bitcoin’s surge. However, the current cycle differs. Bitcoin had already reached $100,000 by November 2024, and its post-halving gains—around 50% since April 2024—are modest compared to previous cycles (5x and 27x). Factors like institutional involvement through ETFs, reduced volatility, diminishing halving effects, and earlier price peaks may explain the slower momentum. While some analysts link Russell 2000’s performance to crypto market movements due to shared sensitivity to macro liquidity, the correlation remains speculative with only two historical instances. Notably, despite the index’s rise, small-cap ETFs saw significant outflows in 2025, and many Russell 2000 companies reported negative earnings—raising questions about the sustainability of the risk-on narrative. The article concludes that while Russell 2000’s breakout is an interesting macro indicator, it should not be used as a direct trading signal for crypto, given structural market changes and limited historical evidence.

比推12h ago

Small-Cap Index Hits New High Again: Will History Predict This Crypto Bull Market?

比推12h ago

"Crypto President" Trump's Report Card: One Year into Office, How Many Promises Has He Fulfilled?

In his first year as the 47th U.S. President, Donald Trump, dubbed the "Crypto President," took significant actions shaping crypto policy and markets. Key events include: 1. **Launch of TRUMP Meme Token**: Before taking office, Trump’s official meme token, TRUMP, surged briefly but led to over $2 billion in losses for 810,000 wallets, while generating $320 million in fees for issuers. It sparked a wave of celebrity meme coins and became a political lightning rod. 2. **Regulatory Shifts**: Trump swiftly fired SEC Chair Gary Gensler and appointed crypto-friendly officials, including David Sacks, Paul Atkins, and others. This led to the dismissal of cases against major crypto firms like Coinbase and Ripple, and the dissolution of the DOJ’s crypto enforcement team. 3. **Policy and Legislation**: - Established a U.S. BTC strategic reserve using seized Bitcoin, signaling national-level crypto adoption. - Signed the historic GENIUS Act, the first federal stablecoin law, strengthening dollar dominance and boosting markets. - Advanced the CLARITY Act and anti-CBDC legislation, though some faced delays. 4. **Tariff Wars and Market Volatility**: Trump’s tariff policies caused major crypto market dips—notably, a 10-30% drop during April, August, and October 2025—amid accusations of insider trading exploiting his unpredictable announcements. 5. **Wealth and Controversy**: - Trump’s family wealth grew by $14 billion, largely from crypto ventures like World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and TRUMP tokens. - He pardoned Binance founder CZ, ending his prison sentence and fines, though critics alleged political favors due to business ties. Throughout, Trump maintained a pro-crypto, "America First" stance, leveraging digital assets for political and economic gain while facing scrutiny over self-enrichment and market manipulation.

Odaily星球日报20h ago

"Crypto President" Trump's Report Card: One Year into Office, How Many Promises Has He Fulfilled?

Odaily星球日报20h ago

Glassnode: BTC Rally a 'False Breakout', Fragile Bottom Still Awaiting Formation

Glassnode's analysis indicates that the recent Bitcoin price rebound is a "false breakout," with the market remaining structurally fragile and lacking a confirmed bottom. Despite some signs of seller exhaustion in early January 2026, the rally faced strong resistance near the $98K level—the cost basis for short-term holders—where profit-taking and break-even selling intensified. On-chain data reveals persistent overhead supply from both short-term and long-term holders, creating sustained selling pressure and limiting upward momentum. While spot flows have turned slightly positive with reduced exchange outflows, demand remains selective and not yet broad-based. Corporate treasury inflows are sporadic and event-driven, failing to provide consistent buying support. Derivatives markets show low participation, with muted futures volume and cautious leverage usage. Options markets saw only short-term volatility spikes in response to events, while longer-term implied volatility remained stable. Dealer gamma positioning turned net short below $90K, increasing downside vulnerability. In summary, the market is in a low-engagement consolidation phase, driven more by a lack of selling rather than strong buying interest. A durable bottom has yet to form, and any sustained recovery will require a robust catalyst to absorb overhead supply and boost investor conviction.

marsbitYesterday 07:22

Glassnode: BTC Rally a 'False Breakout', Fragile Bottom Still Awaiting Formation

marsbitYesterday 07:22

活动图片