On-chain gold tops $4B as investors skip Bitcoin – Here’s why

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-12-17Last updated on 2025-12-17

Abstract

On-chain tokenized gold has surpassed $4 billion in value as investors increasingly favor it over Bitcoin during market volatility. Gold and silver prices are rising, while Bitcoin struggles, leading to a 50% drop in the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio in 2025. This shift reflects a broader trend where investors seek stable, predictable assets amid economic uncertainty. Central banks have been consistent buyers of physical gold, reinforcing its role as a safe-haven asset. Tokenized gold products, primarily Tether Gold and Paxos Gold, dominate this growing market. Experts note that gold's structurally supported rally, driven by global debt and policy concerns, is drawing capital away from crypto, which awaits clearer liquidity conditions.

Gold is going up. Silver is going up. Bitcoin is not.

That gap is starting to matter on-chain. Instead of moving into Bitcoin [BTC] during market stress, some investors are choosing tokenized gold.

The new on-chain superstar

Gold-backed stablecoins combined value has now crossed $4 billion, up from early 2025. This could be attributed to investors looking for steadier assets during a volatile year.

Rising gold prices have played a key role, pushing more capital toward tokens that track the metal while staying on-chain.

Source: The Block

Most of this market is concentrated in just two products. Tether Gold and Paxos Gold together account for nearly all tokenized gold in circulation, with supply growth speeding up over recent months.

Gold is winning the safety trade

The change toward tokenized gold is indicative of what happens off-chain. Central banks have been steady buyers of gold throughout 2024 and 2025, adding tens of tonnes almost every month.

The World Gold Council’s data showed net purchases peaking above 70 tonnes in late 2024. This came before more buying in mid to late 2025, after a brief slowdown earlier in the year.

Source: World Gold Council

This demand has helped push gold higher, while Bitcoin has struggled. ETF flows into gold have remained strong, even as Bitcoin ETFs have seen outflows and LTHs trim exposure.

The result has been a near 50% drop in the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio in 2025.

Market participants say this divergence is no coincidence. According to Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, gold’s rise is becoming a macro drag on crypto as investors rethink where safety lies. He told AMBCrypto,

“A separate macroeconomic factor that is becoming unfavorable for crypto is gold. Its rise to new highs and growing interest in safe-haven assets appear to be bearish headwinds for BTC.”

With lower year-end Bitcoin forecasts and fading hopes for a Christmas rally, traders are looking to early next year for clarity.

A split on the price charts

Gold has climbed toward the $4,300 per ounce level, and silver has pushed above $60. Bitcoin has moved in the opposite direction.

After trading above $110,000 earlier in the period shown, BTC slid to around $88,000, struggling to regain pace.

The  contrast helps explain why capital trends are changing right now. In periods of uncertainty, investors are choosing assets that behave predictably. For crypto markets, that matters.

Source: X

Youssef argues that gold’s rally is structurally supported, not speculative. Global debt is rising, yields are compressing, and central banks are adding more gold to their reserves. Gold’s role as a hedge against policy uncertainty is becoming more pronounced.

“Traders are pricing in the possibility of prolonged macroeconomic fragility by increasing gold exposure, while the crypto market awaits a clearer liquidity landscape.”

The move toward gold-backed tokens means the idea of a single “crypto safe haven” is changing, even if returns are relatively modest.


Final Thoughts

  • Tokenized gold has crossed $4B on-chain. Investors are deciding it for stability.
  • The 50% drop in the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio shows a shifting definition of crypto safe havens.
Next: LUNA price prediction – Is recovery in sight now after 20% slide from Monday’s high?
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