Dogecoin (DOGE) recently tested the key support zone at $0.13, which the market views as a potential starting point for a bullish move. If it stabilizes at this level, it could align with market predictions for a stronger year-end performance and gradually drive demand recovery.
Anonymous analyst BitGur observed that the appearance of green candles on the daily chart may indicate that the bottom has been reached at the current level, with buying activity resuming. The noted bottom structure has now evolved into a "triple bottom," a classic and strong reversal pattern.
Based on this pattern, if the rebound is confirmed, DOGE could reverse its nearly two-month decline and test the $0.182 level, representing a potential gain of approximately 40%.
Historically, Dogecoin has often shown an upward trend in the fourth quarter, but so far in 2025, it has not yet recorded a monthly gain. Particularly since December, DOGE has fallen by over 10%, maintaining its weak performance. However, analysis suggests that the current structure may indicate that December could mark a turning point, continuing the historical seasonal pattern of "at least one monthly gain in the fourth quarter."
Technical Convergence and Upside Path
Notably, the $0.13 level not only coincides with the triple bottom support but also aligns with the lower boundary of a year-long "descending triangle" pattern. If the triple bottom reversal is confirmed and the neckline resistance near $0.155 is effectively broken, the price could further advance to $0.182, laying a more solid foundation for future movements.
Momentum indicators are also sending positive signals: The RSI has formed gradually rising lows and is approaching the neutral 50 level, indicating accumulating buying power at lower levels. Although the MACD has shown a death cross, its persistence is expected to be limited, suggesting weakening bearish momentum.
If the price successfully breaks out of the triangle structure upward, the medium-term upside potential could be unlocked. Based on the pattern's height measurement, the theoretical target after a breakout could reach around $0.50 (a gain of approximately 260% from the breakout point), with even a chance to test the $1 mark, representing a potential gain of 680%. However, such a significant rally would require support from the macro environment, such as if the Federal Reserve shifts to quantitative easing policies in 2026, which could significantly boost market risk appetite.
Overall, BitGur's analysis provides a framework worth monitoring for Dogecoin's year-end performance—with the prerequisite that the key support at $0.13 must hold.
