Bitcoin – Here’s what liquidation data is predicting for BTC’s price

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-07Last updated on 2026-01-07

Abstract

Based on liquidation data and market analysis, Bitcoin's price appears to be forming a bottom, though a clean, linear move higher is considered premature. Despite rebounding out of the "fear" zone and the TOTAL market rising 7%, BTC remains volatile. A recent $3k drop triggered $440 million in liquidations, mostly from longs. Weak institutional support is evident as BTC ETFs posted their first net outflow of 2026, and capital flowing into altcoins is capping Bitcoin's price. The analysis suggests a pullback to retest $90k is likely to stabilize and shake out overexposed longs. This could then open the path toward $95k and eventually six-figure levels, but a clear base has not yet been formed.

Zooming out, the market appears to be forming a bottom.

From a sentiment standpoint, the market has rebounded by roughly 20 points, thereby moving out of the “fear” zone. Notably, this shift is clearly reflected across risk assets, with the TOTAL market rising by around 7%.

Against this backdrop, Bitcoin [BTC] price consolidating around $90k appears constructive, resembling a textbook consolidation range that could ultimately pave the way toward six-figure levels.

That said, expecting a clean, linear move higher still feels premature.

On the 6th of January, Bitcoin price dropped $3k, leaving a long lower wick down near $91k.

The result? Yet another liquidity sweep triggered close to $440 million in total liquidations, with roughly 70% of the losses incurred by long positions.

In essence, BTC has not yet fully shaken off its volatility. In this context, keeping an eye on liquidity is key. And from the looks of it, the Bitcoin price may still need to grab more liquidity before a proper reversal can happen.

Weak bid under Bitcoin price signals caution

The divergence between Bitcoin price and market flow is becoming clear.

At the macro level, BTC ETFs have broken the inflow streak of the past two days, posting a Net Outflow of $244 million across five ETFs. In fact, this marks the first net outflow of 2026, signaling a weak institutional bid.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance [BTC.D] has broken down with three red weeklies, while the TOTAL market cap continues to climb. This inverse move indicates capital is flowing into alts, putting a cap on Bitcoin price.

Taken together, the setup suggests we’re not yet at a BTC bottom.

Why it matters: Buying support under the Bitcoin price remains weak, keeping long-term traders under pressure. Sure, BTC has absorbed most of the downside liquidity after holding $90k, but it hasn’t formed a clear base yet.

In this context, a pullback looks likely before Bitcoin can push higher.

First, BTC needs a clean retest of $90k to stabilize price and shake out overexposed longs after which the way toward near-term resistance around $95k opens up, setting the stage for a potential run toward six-figure levels.


Final Thoughts

  • Bitcoin price hasn’t formed a clear base yet, with weak buying support and long positions at risk; a pullback toward $90k is likely.
  • Capital flowing into altcoins is capping Bitcoin, but a clean $90k retest could set the stage for a move toward $95k and eventually six-figure levels.

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Related Questions

QWhat is the current market sentiment and how much has it rebounded according to the article?

AThe market sentiment has rebounded by roughly 20 points, moving out of the 'fear' zone.

QWhat was the result of the Bitcoin price drop on January 6th in terms of liquidations?

AThe price drop triggered close to $440 million in total liquidations, with roughly 70% of the losses incurred by long positions.

QWhat does the recent ETF flow data indicate about institutional demand for Bitcoin?

ABTC ETFs posted a Net Outflow of $244 million, marking the first net outflow of 2026 and signaling a weak institutional bid.

QAccording to the article, why is capital flowing into altcoins significant for Bitcoin's price?

ACapital flowing into altcoins, as indicated by the breakdown in Bitcoin dominance, is putting a cap on Bitcoin's price.

QWhat does the article suggest needs to happen before Bitcoin can stage a proper reversal and push toward $95k?

AThe article suggests Bitcoin needs a clean retest of the $90k level to stabilize price and shake out overexposed long positions before a move higher can occur.

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