Assessing ENA’s target price after Ethena bulls extend post-Coinbase rally

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-15Last updated on 2026-07-15

Abstract

Ethena (ENA) has seen a strong post-Coinbase rally, with on-chain and market data pointing to continued bullish momentum. The ratio of profitable to loss-making transaction volumes recently surged to 1.41, its highest level this month, indicating a large portion of holders are in profit and may choose to hold rather than sell. Whale activity, as shown by rising futures order sizes, has increased alongside growing retail participation, suggesting a unified bullish bias across market participants. Technically, ENA's price action remains within an ascending trend, having bounced from support near $0.0770 and breaking above the key 20-day Simple Moving Average. The widening of the Bollinger Bands also signals increased volatility. If the current buying pressure is sustained, the next key resistance target is seen at $0.0985. The alignment of profitable holders, whale interest, retail activity, and positive technical indicators supports the potential for further upward movement.

Ethena holders have been floating in profits lately. The ratio of daily transaction volumes in profit compared to volumes in loss surged to 1.41 yesterday, hitting a new level not seen since the month began.

In simple terms, profitable transactions outweighed losing ones. This may be a sign that a large portion of the market was comfortably above its cost basis.

This development matters because profitable holders do not always rush to close open position. Instead, sometimes they do the opposite and choose to hold positions and maximize on more profits. As might be the case with ENA.

Source: Santiment

Are ENA whales behind the gains?

According to AMBCrypto’s analysis of recent derivative data, Ethena whales have been making moves too. For instance, the Future Average Order Size data hinted at a surging number of whale orders at the press time trading price.

Source: CryptoQuant

That’s not all as retail participation has followed a similar path, with buying activity increasing alongside the broader uptrend.

This combination is worth watching as it seemed to highlight an even distribution of market orders. Both retail traders and big players seemed to have the same bias for the market structure at press time.

Such an alignment increases the chances of a follow-up explosive move for ENA.

Source: CryptoQuant

Technical indicators align with bullish on-chain developments

On the daily chart, the altcoin’s price action still respected the bullish trend by bouncing off from an ascending trend line at $0.0770. It has been on a bullish trend since the Ethena network and Coinbase base partnership was announced back in June.

This price momentum was extended over the last 24 hours after it pushed past a key 20 Simple Moving Average (20EMA). At the same time, its Bollinger Bands divergence widened too, hinting at greater volatility in recent times.

If buyers and holders sustain the ongoing trend , the resistance level at $0.0985 could be the next target for ENA’s price action.

Source: TradingView

Next move may depend on holders

At the time of writing, the market bias appeared to be tilted in favor of buyers. Profitable transactions continued to dominate daily activity, whales remained engaged, retail traders were still participating, and technical indicators aligned with market bias.

For a trend that began with a venture investment announcement, that is more than a green flag for the network’s bulls and holders.


Final Summary

  • ENA’s transaction volume in profit seemed to outweigh its loss-making volume, indicating that many holders were above their cost basis.
  • Whale and retail participation rose as ENA traded above a key 20-day moving average and volatility began to expand.

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Related Questions

QWhat does the surge in the ratio of profitable to loss-making transactions for ENA indicate about the market?

AThe surge indicates that profitable transactions significantly outweighed loss-making ones, suggesting a large portion of the market is comfortably above its cost basis. This can lead holders to hold onto their positions for more gains rather than selling.

QAccording to the article, what role did ENA whales and retail traders play in the recent price action?

ABoth ENA whales and retail traders showed increased buying activity. Whale order sizes surged at the press time trading price, and retail participation followed a similar upward trend. This alignment of market bias between large and small players increases the chance of a significant follow-up price move.

QWhat key technical development on the daily chart supported the bullish outlook for ENA?

AOn the daily chart, ENA's price bounced off an ascending trend line at $0.0770 and pushed past the key 20-day Simple Moving Average (20EMA). Additionally, the widening of the Bollinger Bands hinted at increasing volatility, supporting the bullish momentum.

QWhat is the next potential price target for ENA mentioned in the article, and what condition must be met?

AThe next potential price target is the resistance level at $0.0985. For this target to be reached, buyers and holders need to sustain the ongoing bullish trend.

QWhat was the initial catalyst for ENA's bullish trend according to the article?

AThe initial catalyst for ENA's bullish trend was the announcement of a partnership between the Ethena network and Coinbase back in June.

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