Altcoin Carnage Ahead? 99% Could Be Wiped Out, Analyst Says

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-04-21Last updated on 2026-04-21

Abstract

A crypto analyst, Michael van de Poppe, predicts a severe downturn in the altcoin market, suggesting that 99% of altcoins could eventually become worthless. He compares this to the dot-com bubble, where many companies disappeared but the strongest survived and built the modern internet. Despite this grim outlook, he remains highly optimistic about the crypto market's overall future, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as select DeFi projects like Aave. He views the current market weakness as a necessary cleanup rather than a collapse. Van de Poppe identifies potential buying opportunities in tokens like Arbitrum if it drops to around $0.16. He also expects Bitcoin to reach new highs near $77,000 and believes Ethereum remains in a bull trend. However, not all analysts share this optimism. The group Our Crypto Talk argues that the market hasn't met the technical conditions for a bullish altcoin season, noting that its indicators are still in a "red zone." Additionally, rising Bitcoin dominance—currently at 57%—is seen as a warning sign for altcoins, as it typically signals capital rotating out of smaller tokens. Van de Poppe acknowledges the market is in a basing phase after a late-2025 selloff, which usually lasts two to four months before a potential breakout.

Bitcoin’s dominance hovering around 57% has become a quiet alarm bell for traders watching the broader crypto and altcoin market in general — and for good reason.

Bears And Bulls Divided Over Altcoin Timing

Crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe believes a brutal clearing out is coming for the altcoin market, but he does not see it as a collapse. He sees it as cleanup.

According to van de Poppe, roughly 99% of all altcoins are headed to zero — and he thinks that outcome is fair.

He draws a parallel to the early internet era, when hundreds of companies launched, burned through investor money, and vanished. What remained built the modern web.

Despite that stark forecast, van de Poppe says he has rarely been more optimistic about where crypto is heading. Reports indicate he described this as one of the most bullish periods he has seen for the asset class overall, even as most individual tokens face extinction.

His focus has narrowed to a handful of projects he believes can survive the shakeout — Bitcoin, Ethereum, and select decentralized finance platforms like Aave. Short-term pain in DeFi, he says, stems from the KelpDAO hack. But he views that as temporary turbulence, not a structural break.

Arbitrum Flagged As A Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

Van de Poppe is equally tracking Arbitrum. According to accounts of his latest analysis, there could be a possibility of buying the token when it falls to the $0.16 mark.

Currently, the analyst sees a similarity in the market with what happened during the early months of 2020. The characteristics include increased trading volumes, reclamation of critical price marks, and technical indications before a breakout.

His assessment on Bitcoin is that more upside remains. He is eyeing new highs near $77,000. Ethereum, he says, is still in a bull trend and worth buying on dips, provided it holds above certain key support levels.

BTCUSD trading at $75,545 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

Not Everyone Is Buying The Optimism

Analyst group Our Crypto Talk says the market has not yet earned a bullish call. Their framework requires price to move above the 20-day simple moving average, and for that average to cross above the 50-day.

Neither condition has been met. With Bitcoin still trading below those averages and dominance sitting at 57%, they call this a red zone — a period where markets are more likely to bleed than rally.

Bitcoin’s Basing Phase Could Signal What Comes Next

Other analysts flagged rising Bitcoin dominance as a warning sign for altcoins. When Bitcoin’s share of the total market climbs, it typically means money is flowing into Bitcoin and out of smaller tokens — a pattern that has historically preceded extended weakness across the altcoin space.

Van de Poppe, for his part, acknowledges the market is still building a base following the Q4 2025 selloff. That basing phase, he estimates, typically runs two to four months before a breakout takes hold.

Bitcoin has been consolidating for roughly two and a half months, which he says puts the market close to a potential turning point.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Related Questions

QAccording to Michael van de Poppe, what percentage of altcoins is headed to zero and why does he think this is fair?

AAccording to Michael van de Poppe, roughly 99% of all altcoins are headed to zero. He thinks this outcome is fair, drawing a parallel to the early internet era where many companies failed, but the ones that survived built the modern web, viewing it as a necessary cleanup rather than a collapse.

QWhich specific crypto assets does Michael van de Poppe believe can survive the upcoming market shakeout?

AMichael van de Poppe believes that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and select decentralized finance platforms like Aave have the potential to survive the market shakeout.

QWhat price level does van de Poppe identify as a potential 'buy-the-dip' opportunity for Arbitrum?

AVan de Poppe identifies the $0.16 mark as a potential 'buy-the-dip' opportunity for Arbitrum.

QWhat two technical conditions does the analyst group Our Crypto Talk require to confirm a bullish 'altseason'?

AThe analyst group Our Crypto Talk requires two technical conditions to confirm a bullish 'altseason': the price must move above the 20-day simple moving average, and the 20-day SMA must cross above the 50-day SMA.

QWhat does a rising Bitcoin dominance typically signal for the altcoin market, according to the article?

AA rising Bitcoin dominance, currently around 57%, typically signals that money is flowing into Bitcoin and out of smaller altcoins. This pattern has historically preceded extended weakness across the altcoin space.

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