5 On-Chain Indicators Signals Bitcoin Entering Bull Market Cycle

CoingapePublished on 2023-01-19Last updated on 2023-01-19

Abstract

Five on-chain indicators points to Bitcoin entering an early bull market cycle. Bitcoin price can rally above $21,000.

Bitcoin price trades strongly above the $20,000 psychological level and shows signs of another upside move above $21K. Five on-chain indicators also signal that Bitcoin has entered an early bull market cycle.

The crypto market recovered slightly after the U.S. DOJ enforcement action against Russian crypto exchange Bitzlato. Crypto Twitter blames DOJ for creating much hype surrounding small news that caused panic selling across the crypto market.

Five On-Chain Indicators Indicate More Upside in Bitcoin Price

According to on-chain data by CryptoQuant, Bitcoin price has entered the early bull market cycle and is likely to move higher with promising momentum in the next few days.

Bitcoin movements from spot to derivative exchanges have increased as investors started taking risks. Traders generally transfer their coins to derivative exchanges to increase their market upside exposure. It helps them make more profits during a market recovery.

The MVRV Ratio indicates if the Bitcoin price is undervalued or overvalued. It is derived from Bitcoin’s market capitalization (market price) divided by its actual market capitalization. Currently, MVRV is 1.07 and moving near the 365-day moving average (orange line). Thus, it indicates Bitcoin is about to start a new uptrend.

Third indicator, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss shows the average profit margin of Bitcoin holders. It is also near the 365-day moving average and indicates an early bull market cycle.

Puell Multiple is the ratio of the daily dollar worth of newly issued bitcoins to their one-year moving average. At present, the indicator shows a shift to a positive trend as Bitcoin price holds strongly above its 365-day moving average.

CryptoQuant’s P&L Index indicator combines the MVRV ratio, Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, and LTH/STH SOPR into a single Bitcoin value indicator. The P&L Index points to an early Bitcoin bull market cycle as the index (dark purple line) looks to cross the 365-day moving average (light purple line)

BTC Price Await Upside Momentum

Bitcoin (BTC) price fell nearly 2% in the last 24 hours, with the price currently trading at $20,774. The 24-hour low and high are $20,541 and $21,564, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume has increased by 21% in the last 24 hours, indicating an increase in interest.

Traders should keep an eye on the US dollar index (DXY). A fall in the DXY below 102 at current market conditions will confirm a rally in Bitcoin price.

Related Reads

Bit Digital Saw Ethereum’s Strategic Value Before Institutions Caught On

Bit Digital recognized Ethereum's strategic value as a core balance sheet asset years before institutional consensus caught on. The company based its thesis on Ethereum's expanding role as the primary settlement layer for decentralized finance, stablecoins, and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), even while its price remained compressed. Bit Digital has been building its ETH position over multiple cycles, viewing market weakness as a strategic accumulation opportunity. This view is supported by data showing large holders (with 100,000+ ETH) have increased their collective balance to a 9-week high, now holding roughly 22% of the circulating supply. The next phase of tokenization is expected to be defined by credible, compliant settlement infrastructure—a role Ethereum is increasingly dominating—rather than by speed or market narratives.

bitcoinist8m ago

Bit Digital Saw Ethereum’s Strategic Value Before Institutions Caught On

bitcoinist8m ago

US Seizes Nearly $1B in Iranian Crypto Amid Economic Pressure Campaign

The United States has seized nearly $1 billion worth of Iranian cryptocurrency, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced. He noted some wallet owners may be unaware their funds were confiscated. The action is part of "Operation Economic Fury," a U.S. financial pressure campaign against Iran launched in March 2025, which has also involved freezing bank accounts and seizing properties with European partners. Bessent stated that prior to U.S. intervention, the Iranian regime was allegedly diverting hundreds of millions monthly to a small elite. He described Iran's economy as severely strained, with food rationing, internet outages, and many military personnel going unpaid. The $1 billion seizure figure marks a significant increase from previous totals reported in April.

TheNewsCrypto6h ago

US Seizes Nearly $1B in Iranian Crypto Amid Economic Pressure Campaign

TheNewsCrypto6h ago

For the First Time, the U.S. Government Lifts Ban on Crypto Perpetual Contracts: What Does It Mean for the Market?

On May 29, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued guidance permitting 7*24 trading and clearing for crypto asset derivatives, effectively opening the U.S. market to crypto perpetual contracts for the first time. This move allows U.S. citizens and certain platforms to trade these instruments around the clock. Key beneficiaries include Kalshi, which received approval to list a Bitcoin perpetual contract; Coinbase, now the first CFTC-regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) for U.S. clients; and CME, which will transition its Bitcoin futures and options to 7*24 trading. The CFTC emphasized that this is a tailored approach for crypto assets, requiring platforms to maintain compliance and risk assessments, while noting traditional commodities like agriculture may not be suitable for such hours. Industry leaders like Michael Saylor and Brian Armstrong praised the decision for bringing a major segment of the global crypto market to U.S. users. However, consumer advocacy group Better Markets criticized the CFTC, alleging it overlooked investor risks and acted in the industry's interest rather than the public's. Following the guidance, Kraken announced plans to launch CFTC-regulated perpetual futures in the U.S., signaling a potential surge in derivatives trading activity.

marsbit8h ago

For the First Time, the U.S. Government Lifts Ban on Crypto Perpetual Contracts: What Does It Mean for the Market?

marsbit8h ago

US Government Lifts Ban on Crypto Perpetual Contracts for the First Time: What Does It Mean for the Market?

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance permitting 24/7 trading and clearing for crypto asset derivatives, effectively opening the U.S. market to crypto perpetual contracts for the first time. This move ends the previous ban and allows American individuals and institutions to trade these instruments around the clock. Direct beneficiaries include Kalshi, which received approval to list a Bitcoin perpetual contract; Coinbase, now the first CFTC-regulated futures commission merchant for U.S. clients to access global crypto derivatives; and CME, which will transition its Bitcoin futures and options to 24/7 trading. The CFTC emphasized this is a specific allowance for crypto assets, noting that traditional commodities like agriculture may not be suitable for non-stop trading. It also requires platforms to undergo case-by-case reviews for compliance and risk management. Industry leaders like Michael Saylor and Brian Armstrong praised the decision for integrating Bitcoin into capital markets and granting U.S. users access to a major global market segment. However, consumer advocacy group Better Markets criticized the CFTC for allegedly neglecting investor protection and favoring the industry it regulates. Other platforms like Kraken have announced plans to launch regulated perpetual futures for the U.S. market. The policy shift is expected to redirect significant liquidity and institutional participation to the newly accessible U.S. crypto derivatives landscape.

Odaily星球日报8h ago

US Government Lifts Ban on Crypto Perpetual Contracts for the First Time: What Does It Mean for the Market?

Odaily星球日报8h ago

How the CLARITY Act Reshapes the Stablecoin Yield Economy

The CLARITY Act, recently advanced by the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, fundamentally reshapes the stablecoin yield economy by closing loopholes left by the earlier GENIUS Act. Its Section 404 expands the ban on "hold-to-earn" rewards to all Digital Asset Service Providers (DASPs) and their affiliates, prohibiting any passive, interest-like yield. Crucially, it introduces a legal distinction, permitting "use-to-earn" rewards based on actual activities like spending, trading, or staking. In anticipation of this regulatory shift, major Wall Street asset managers—Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, and JPMorgan—have launched a series of tokenized money market funds (e.g., BlackRock's BRSRV, JPMorgan's JLTXX) designed explicitly for stablecoin reserve assets. These products represent a new, compliant yield layer: the stablecoin issuer earns interest from the underlying tokenized fund, which can then be passed to users through redesigned activity-based rewards. This marks a paradigm shift from a "hold-to-earn" to a "use-to-earn" market. While pathways remain for exchanges to redesign rewards (Path A) and for DeFi protocols to offer yield (Path B), the tokenized reserve asset layer (Path C) emerges as the most robust and strategically positioned infrastructure. However, this concentration—exemplified by BlackRock's BUIDL fund backing over 90% of USDtb's reserves—introduces new systemic risks. The final outcome hinges on regulatory decisions, particularly the OCC's proposed 20% cap on tokenized assets in reserves, which will determine the scalability of this new financial infrastructure layer.

marsbit9h ago

How the CLARITY Act Reshapes the Stablecoin Yield Economy

marsbit9h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions

Hot Categoriesright-arrow

Hot Tagsright-arrow