Dragonfly合伙人谈FTX暴雷:山雨欲来,更糟糕的局面还在路上

区块律动Published on 2022-11-14Last updated on 2022-11-14

Abstract

FTX 爆雷事件引起整个行业动荡,振幅波及到Crypto 世界的每一个人。Dragonfly 合伙人 Haseeb 在其个人社交媒体发文希望重振行业信。

FTX 爆雷事件引起整个行业动荡,振幅波及到Crypto 世界的每一个人。Dragonfly 合伙人 Haseeb 在其个人社交媒体发文希望重振行业信心,BlockBeats 对此整理翻译如下:

Dragonfly合伙人谈FTX暴雷:山雨欲来,更糟糕的局面还在路上

如果你因为 FTX 事件而蒙受了大额损失,那我真的为你感到遗憾。我向你保证,一切都会好起来的。经历过这次事件之后,我也颇感疲惫,同时我也开始思考这件事将向哪个方向发展,又会对整个行业造成什么样的影响。

首先,全球范围内的监管肯定会更为严格。FTX 的倒闭不仅会影响美国市场,更会引发一场全球灾难,而且要比 3AC 或 Terra 当时的情况严重得多。这是因为,与欺诈贷款人或赌徒不同,Sam 可是整个行业中的精英人才。

其次,更糟的局面还没有到来,对于 FTX/Alameda 所涉及的诸多纠葛我们还尚不明确,其间接影响也还尚未显现。人们总是会先宣布好的成果,实在支撑不住之后才会坦露坏的消息。在 Bear Stens 倒闭 6 个月后,雷曼兄弟公司才最终宣布破产。所以说,我们都应该控制好风险,并确保自己已经准备好迎接一切挑战。在接下来的时间里,生存才是我们的首要任务。

此外,媒体将开始对 FTX、Alameda 和 Sam 的内部伙伴展开漫长且极具轰动性的公开审判。那些曾经被称赞为天才所特有的怪癖或奇特行为马上就将被重塑为 Elizabeth Holmes 式的病态行径。我们会看到持续的报道,详谈谁知道什么,钱花在什么地方,谁做出了决定等等具体情况。不过,这一切已经并不重要了。我们需要知道的是整个体系的运作方式,以更加谨慎的态度对待未来的工作,但我们能做的也仅此而已。

这些报道势必会掀起公众羞辱的狂欢,但我们却不能关注这些,因为以此为乐本身就是不光彩的事情。不仅如此,它还会让我们从眼前重要的工作中分心。

此次事件之后,许多人肯定会说,看来 Crypto 里都是骗子和只会胡说八道的艺术家,没有谁是值得信赖的。在我看来,这些人只会动动嘴皮子,纯属无稽之谈。而且,我们也应该依照现有 TradFi 框架加强监管。交易所/中介机构都应该受到监管,这样他们就不能再参与违法行为了。

但这一切都说明,DeFi 不仅运行得毫无瑕疵,而且完全公开透明。这是因为,这些类型的欺诈行为在 DeFi 中都不可能发生。Uniswap、MakerDAO 和 Compound 都运作良好,处理着每一笔交易和提款。由于代码中规定了相应内容,因此它们不可能欺骗任何人。于是,Crypto 便有了这样的座右铭:不要信, 去验证;不要信任人类,而是相信代码。

这种区别将在即将到来的骚动中消失殆尽。如果没有人愿意讲述这个故事,那么就由我们来讲述它。我们正在不断搭建的 Crypto 规模庞大,不仅关乎于技术,也关乎于信仰。所有宗教的核心错误就是把人当成了崇拜的对象,这一点在 Sam 事件上体现的淋漓尽致。这不禁让我想到了中本聪,他自始至终都保持着匿名的状态。这是因为他知道,Crypto 的重要性比任何一个个体都要大。

Crypto 给了我们自由,这也是我们还留在此处的原因。它让我们从「他人」的概念中解脱出来,即我们不用再去盲目地相信他人,也不用再受到个人、独裁者或腐败金融机构的控制。

Crypto 还解放了金钱,让其摆脱了人类的体制、愚蠢与腐败。在这个过程中,人们往往会犯下许多错误。但我们要时刻认识到自己的使命,这也是我来到这一领域并为之奋斗的原因。

虽然很多人感觉 Crypto 中的钱很好挣,但实际情况却并不是如此。但凡在这里待的够久的人都会告诉你,大多数人都赚不到什么钱。不过最终,只要我们坚持的够久,Crypto 会让我们挣到钱。所以说,在 Crypto 中,生存便是第一要义。不然的话,你就不会看到这一切将变成什么样子。

我敢肯定的是,Crypto 绝对会改变世界,它将改变人们和机器与金钱和价值的互动方式。50 年后的今天,Crypto 世界一定会发生巨大的变化。所以说,无论你是一名建设者、开发者、收藏家或单纯只是一名爱好者,都请继续你的工作。Crypto 不会因为这一次事件就停滞不前,我们只管向前就好。

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