DOGE又要动了?链上数据出现关键逆转、价格可能迎来大反弹

金色财经Published on 2025-11-20Last updated on 2025-11-20

最近,狗狗币(DOGE)的交易动态发生了微妙但关键的变化,让不少币圈朋友都坐不住了。链上最新数据显示,短期市场结构正在悄悄变化,一切都指向可能的反弹行情。

狗狗币新闻

加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯(@ali_charts)分享了一张Glassnode图表,揭示了一个关键信号:中心化交易所的狗狗币净供应量刚刚转正。他在图表上写道:“交易所的DOGE供应量转正了!过去这种情况出现的时候,价格通常都会出现大幅反弹。”

交易所资金流:净流入回归

马丁内斯的图表用柱状图记录了每月DOGE流入和流出交易所的情况。绿色柱子代表净流入,红色柱子代表净流出,同时还有DOGE美元价格走势叠加其中。

狗狗币:交易所净持仓变动 – 所有交易所

回顾历史:

  • 2024年中到年底,价格在0.10美元左右小幅波动。此时绿色柱开始强势出现,月净流入量直逼几十亿DOGE。价格也从低位飙升到0.48美元,说明交易所资金活跃,带动了行情上涨。

  • 2025年初到中期,柱状图开始混乱,红绿交错,价格大幅震荡在0.12~0.30美元区间。

  • 2025年末,连续的红色柱子出现,净流出高达50~60亿DOGE,价格也从0.20美元中段跌破至低位。

然而,最新的链上数据亮出了希望之光:最后一个数据点出现了高耸的绿色柱子重新上穿零线,意味着净流入再次转正。目前DOGE价格略高于0.15美元。马丁内斯解读为“重大反弹信号”,类似的模式过去也曾带来快速上涨。

关键支撑位:0.08美元不容忽视

第二张图表是UTXO已实现价格分布图(URPD),显示链上DOGE的持币成本情况。重点支撑区域在0.0739美元左右,约占总供应量18.6%,累计约274亿DOGE在0.08美元附近,是DOGE最重要的底部支撑。

狗狗币UTXO已实现价格分布(URPD)

但要注意的是:

  • 0.07~0.08美元区间和0.16美元附近之间存在明显“缺口”,中间几乎没有大资金柱。

  • 如果跌破0.16美元,DOGE支撑会快速消失,下一波有效需求要等到0.07美元左右才能看到。

也就是说,短期内0.16美元是一个关键心理防线

成本分布热力图:低位 vs 高位持币者

狗狗币成本基础分布热图

第三张图表显示DOGE成本基础分布:

  • 低位群体:0.081~0.082美元,约274亿DOGE

  • 高位群体:0.201~0.204美元,约121亿DOGE

结合资金流逆转,这意味着市场当前正处于0.08美元密集底部0.20美元高位持币者聚集区之间,下一步价格走势很可能在这两个区域之间博弈。交易员们现在都盯着最新的资金流动,看看DOGE能不能真正启动新一轮上涨。

总结

狗狗币价格

此时的 DOGE,基本处于一个“三不管地带”:

  • 站上 0.16 美元 → 挑战 0.20 美元压力区

  • 跌破 0.16 美元 → 可能一路滑向 0.07–0.08 美元的主支撑

  • 资金流向突然转正 → 历史上常常预示阶段性反弹

所以当前的 DOGE 就像在跳板上:要么蹦上去,要么啪地掉回去。但不管怎样,大动作确实不远了。

点赞、转发,关注我,带你捕捉更多市场风口,陪你笑看牛熊起伏!一起加油!

币圈玩不转?别硬扛!小云实时分享波段与长线策略,让你站在巨人肩膀上,快速跨越财富阶层,错过一波可能就要错过百倍收益!加入我们!

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Pantera Capital: As Perpetual Contracts Move Towards the Financial Center, Hyperliquid Aims to Be All-Encompassing

Perpetual futures ("perps"), once a crypto-native phenomenon, are becoming a dominant global financial instrument, evolving into a fundamental market structure shift that traditional finance can no longer ignore. This article outlines the advantages of perpetual contracts over traditional futures, highlighting their simplicity (no expiry/rollover), easier risk management, and native 24/7 operation. While the concept is not new, digital assets provided the ideal environment for its explosive growth. Initially dominated by centralized exchanges (CEX), perps have recently migrated significantly to decentralized exchanges (DEX), with Hyperliquid emerging as the leading DEX for perps, capturing ~40% of the on-chain volume. Hyperliquid, built on its own purpose-built L1 blockchain, has successfully expanded beyond crypto into traditional assets like stocks, commodities, and indices, driven by its permissionless listing framework (HIP-3) and 24/7 availability. It has become a crucial price discovery venue during off-hours and for pre-IPO companies, attracting attention from traditional hedge funds and major exchanges like ICE, which now views it as serious competition. The investment thesis for Hyperliquid's token, HYPE, rests on its large and growing total addressable market (TAM) across all finance, strong execution, superior user experience, and direct value accrual via aggressive token buybacks using 99% of protocol revenue. Key risks remain, primarily regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., though recent CFTC actions approving certain regulated crypto perp contracts signal a potential shift toward broader acceptance. The core question is no longer if perpetuals matter beyond crypto, but whether blockchain-based infrastructure like Hyperliquid can become the primary venue for pricing, trading, and discovering risk across all financial domains.

marsbit1h ago

Pantera Capital: As Perpetual Contracts Move Towards the Financial Center, Hyperliquid Aims to Be All-Encompassing

marsbit1h ago

Tiger Research: Zuckerberg Begins Betting on Prediction Markets, While Asian Nations Still View Them as Gambling

This article examines the rise of prediction markets, contrasting their growing institutional acceptance in the West with their restrictive regulation in Asia. It details how prediction markets, which originated from informal political betting and academic experiments like the Iowa Electronic Market, aggregate crowd wisdom into probabilistic prices through binary contracts. Their growth accelerated around 2020, reaching over $14 billion in monthly volume. A key driver is the "skin in the game" principle, where users risk their own capital, leading to high accuracy in predicting events like Fed rate decisions and elections, as demonstrated by platforms like Polymarket. Meta's entry, with Mark Zuckerberg reportedly leading the development of the Arena app, signals the market's maturation. In the U.S., court rulings have distinguished prediction markets from gambling, facilitating entry by traditional financial institutions. However, most Asian jurisdictions still classify them as gambling, focusing on social control rather than financial innovation. The article argues this stance creates three problems for Asia: 1) regulatory arbitrage pushes users to riskier offshore platforms, 2) loss of sovereign information infrastructure as valuable social sentiment data accumulates abroad, and 3) abandonment of user protection. It concludes that Asia needs a policy shift from prohibition to constructive regulation, integrating these markets into the formal system to harness their data as a national asset, as initiatives like Limitless Research are beginning to do.

marsbit4h ago

Tiger Research: Zuckerberg Begins Betting on Prediction Markets, While Asian Nations Still View Them as Gambling

marsbit4h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is DOGE M

Doge Matrix ($doge m): The New Breed of Community-Driven Cryptocurrency Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, new projects constantly emerge, each aiming to capture the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike. One of the latest entrants to this domain is Doge Matrix, represented by the ticker symbol $doge m. This project has attracted attention thanks to its roots in the popular meme culture surrounding Dogecoin, establishing its place within the web3 space. This article aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Doge Matrix, covering its overview, creator, investors, functionality, timeline, and notable aspects. What is Doge Matrix ($doge m)? Doge Matrix is a community-driven cryptocurrency project that seemingly builds upon the widespread appeal of Dogecoin, a digital currency known for its Shiba Inu mascot and its meme origins. While the overarching objectives of Doge Matrix are not extensively defined, it is characterized by a commitment to harnessing community involvement and support. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that often emphasize utility or intrinsic value through underlying technologies, Doge Matrix positions itself within a space that embraces the cultural phenomenon of cryptocurrencies, particularly appealing to those who resonate with the ethos of meme-based assets. Drawing on the strengths of the Dogecoin community, Doge Matrix operates as part of a broader ecosystem, inviting participation and engagement from users who share an interest in cryptocurrency and the digital landscape. Who is the Creator of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? The identity of the creator of Doge Matrix remains unknown. This lack of transparency is not an uncommon occurrence in the cryptocurrency space, where some projects are launched without revealing the identities of their founders. The absence of information regarding the founding team can raise questions among potential investors about the project’s accountability and direction. Who are the Investors of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? As it stands, there is no publicly available information detailing the investors or investment foundations that back Doge Matrix. The project appears to rely primarily on community support rather than institutional investment. This model aligns with the community-driven nature of the initiative, fostering an environment where the direction of the project is shaped by its participants rather than being dictated by a select few financial backers. How Does Doge Matrix ($doge m) Work? The specifics regarding the operational mechanisms of Doge Matrix are somewhat vague, reflecting a broader trend of projects in the meme coin space where innovative functionalities are not always clearly articulated. Nonetheless, Doge Matrix seems designed to tap into the existing cryptocurrency ecosystem by encouraging user participation while tapping into the familiar cultural references associated with Dogecoin. Its potentially unique characteristics derive from community interactions rather than technological advancements, emphasizing shared experiences and collaboration among token holders. While the exact innovations have not been explicitly outlined, the project appears to create a space where community members can engage, share ideas, and propel the project's potential forward. Timeline of Doge Matrix ($doge m) Reflecting on the project’s timeline reveals notable events that have defined its journey thus far: November 25, 2024: Doge Matrix reached its all-time high value, marking a significant milestone in its early history. January 1, 2025: Conversely, Doge Matrix hit its all-time low value, illustrating the volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies, especially in the early stages of a project's lifecycle. Ongoing: The project continues to be actively traded and supported by its community, although specific future milestones or objectives have yet to be disclosed. Key Points About Doge Matrix ($doge m) Community Focus At the heart of Doge Matrix is a commitment to community engagement. The project thrives on the premise of collaboration and shared objectives among its members, emphasizing the importance of collective effort. Unlike centralized projects that often have a defined leadership structure, Doge Matrix at present showcases a more fluid approach to governance, where every community member's voice matters. Volatility The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its volatility, and Doge Matrix is no exception. Its price history reflects significant fluctuations between high and low values, which is typical of many new cryptocurrencies but underscores the risks associated with investment in emerging tokens. Lack of Detailed Information One of the most striking features about Doge Matrix is the scarcity of detailed information regarding its technological underpinnings and operational mechanisms. This ambiguity necessitates that potential investors conduct thorough due diligence before engaging with the project. Conclusion In summary, Doge Matrix ($doge m) illustrates a new wave of cryptocurrency projects that lean heavily on community engagement and cultural relevance. While lacking in certain specifics—such as clear leadership, defined objectives, and detailed functionality—the project has managed to generate interest within the crypto community, leveraging the established appeal of meme culture. As with any investment in the cryptocurrency space, understanding the inherent risks and conducting comprehensive research is essential for potential participants. Doge Matrix stands as a reminder of the dynamic, sometimes unpredictable nature of the crypto industry, marked by constant evolution and enthusiasm for community-driven initiatives.

4.0k Total ViewsPublished 2025.02.03Updated 2025.02.03

What is DOGE M

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of DOGE (DOGE) are presented below.

活动图片