狗狗币变盘在即!链上供应量突变,DOGE历史性反弹会否重演?

金色财经Published on 2025-11-20Last updated on 2025-11-20

分析师警告:狗狗币交易资金流向逆转,反弹信号明显。

狗狗币市场格局正迎来关键转折,最新链上数据揭示短期结构已出现显著变化。加密货币分析师阿里ali近日引用Glassnode数据指出,中心化交易所的狗狗币净供应量已由负转正——这一变化在过去往往成为价格强势反弹的前奏。

他在分析中强调:“交易所的狗狗币供应量刚刚转正!历史数据显示,此类转变屡次预示价格将迎来快速拉升。”

? 反弹信号已现?

交易所净持仓变化”图表显示,以月度为单位追踪资金进出交易所的动态。其中绿色柱体代表净流入(存入量大于提取量),红色则反映净流出。

从图表走势来看,2024年中至年末市场呈现小幅波动,而进入第四季度后出现持续性净流入,月度规模达数十亿DOGE,同期币价也从0.10美元之下一路冲高至0.48美元,显示交易所活跃度与价格攀升同步走高。

狗狗币:交易所净持仓变动 – 所有交易所

2025年上半年市场结构趋于复杂:资金流向正负交替,价格在0.12–0.30美元间宽幅震荡。然而至2025年末,图表出现一连串显著红色柱体,净流出规模达–50亿至–60亿DOGE,价格也从0.20美元中位线逐步下探。

值得关注的是,图表最右侧出现一根强势突破的绿色柱体,标志着净流入再度转正。此时币价略高于0.15美元。马丁内斯认为,这构成“重要的反弹信号”,因类似从持续流出转向强劲流入的结构转换,曾多次引发价格剧烈波动。

⚠️ 关键支撑位告急?

援引“已实现价格分布图”(URPD),揭示当前DOGE筹码分布。数据显示,0.0739美元附近形成巨型支撑区,累计约282.6亿枚DOGE,占总供应量18.62%。约274亿枚DOGE集中于0.08美元区域,构成“当前最关键支撑堡垒”。

狗狗币UTXO已实现价格分布(URPD)

URPD图同时显示,在0.07–0.08美元与0.16美元之间存在明显的筹码“真空带”,中间仅有0.096美元、0.125美元等零星支撑。而在0.1626美元上方则出现另一个较小密集区,持有约44亿枚DOGE(占比2.9%)。

分析师警告:“一旦失守0.16美元,DOGE将面临支撑快速流失的风险,下一有效防守区域恐下看0.07美元。”

? 成本结构揭示多空战线

成本基础热力图进一步确认两大持仓密集区:低位成本群位于0.0812–0.0828美元,持仓规模约274亿枚;高位成本群集中于0.2010–0.2048美元,持仓约121.6亿枚。这两大区间构成当前多空对峙的核心战场。

综合来看,在0.08美元实现价格底部与0.20美元高位持仓区之间,市场正随资金流向的转变寻找新方向。交易所流入转正这一关键信号,已成为投资者判断DOGE后续走势的重要依据。

图片

截至最新数据,狗狗币暂报0.158美元,正处于关键支撑考验阶段。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Pantera Capital: As Perpetual Contracts Move Towards the Financial Center, Hyperliquid Aims to Be All-Encompassing

Perpetual futures ("perps"), once a crypto-native phenomenon, are becoming a dominant global financial instrument, evolving into a fundamental market structure shift that traditional finance can no longer ignore. This article outlines the advantages of perpetual contracts over traditional futures, highlighting their simplicity (no expiry/rollover), easier risk management, and native 24/7 operation. While the concept is not new, digital assets provided the ideal environment for its explosive growth. Initially dominated by centralized exchanges (CEX), perps have recently migrated significantly to decentralized exchanges (DEX), with Hyperliquid emerging as the leading DEX for perps, capturing ~40% of the on-chain volume. Hyperliquid, built on its own purpose-built L1 blockchain, has successfully expanded beyond crypto into traditional assets like stocks, commodities, and indices, driven by its permissionless listing framework (HIP-3) and 24/7 availability. It has become a crucial price discovery venue during off-hours and for pre-IPO companies, attracting attention from traditional hedge funds and major exchanges like ICE, which now views it as serious competition. The investment thesis for Hyperliquid's token, HYPE, rests on its large and growing total addressable market (TAM) across all finance, strong execution, superior user experience, and direct value accrual via aggressive token buybacks using 99% of protocol revenue. Key risks remain, primarily regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., though recent CFTC actions approving certain regulated crypto perp contracts signal a potential shift toward broader acceptance. The core question is no longer if perpetuals matter beyond crypto, but whether blockchain-based infrastructure like Hyperliquid can become the primary venue for pricing, trading, and discovering risk across all financial domains.

marsbit1h ago

Pantera Capital: As Perpetual Contracts Move Towards the Financial Center, Hyperliquid Aims to Be All-Encompassing

marsbit1h ago

Tiger Research: Zuckerberg Begins Betting on Prediction Markets, While Asian Nations Still View Them as Gambling

This article examines the rise of prediction markets, contrasting their growing institutional acceptance in the West with their restrictive regulation in Asia. It details how prediction markets, which originated from informal political betting and academic experiments like the Iowa Electronic Market, aggregate crowd wisdom into probabilistic prices through binary contracts. Their growth accelerated around 2020, reaching over $14 billion in monthly volume. A key driver is the "skin in the game" principle, where users risk their own capital, leading to high accuracy in predicting events like Fed rate decisions and elections, as demonstrated by platforms like Polymarket. Meta's entry, with Mark Zuckerberg reportedly leading the development of the Arena app, signals the market's maturation. In the U.S., court rulings have distinguished prediction markets from gambling, facilitating entry by traditional financial institutions. However, most Asian jurisdictions still classify them as gambling, focusing on social control rather than financial innovation. The article argues this stance creates three problems for Asia: 1) regulatory arbitrage pushes users to riskier offshore platforms, 2) loss of sovereign information infrastructure as valuable social sentiment data accumulates abroad, and 3) abandonment of user protection. It concludes that Asia needs a policy shift from prohibition to constructive regulation, integrating these markets into the formal system to harness their data as a national asset, as initiatives like Limitless Research are beginning to do.

marsbit4h ago

Tiger Research: Zuckerberg Begins Betting on Prediction Markets, While Asian Nations Still View Them as Gambling

marsbit4h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is DOGE M

Doge Matrix ($doge m): The New Breed of Community-Driven Cryptocurrency Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, new projects constantly emerge, each aiming to capture the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike. One of the latest entrants to this domain is Doge Matrix, represented by the ticker symbol $doge m. This project has attracted attention thanks to its roots in the popular meme culture surrounding Dogecoin, establishing its place within the web3 space. This article aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Doge Matrix, covering its overview, creator, investors, functionality, timeline, and notable aspects. What is Doge Matrix ($doge m)? Doge Matrix is a community-driven cryptocurrency project that seemingly builds upon the widespread appeal of Dogecoin, a digital currency known for its Shiba Inu mascot and its meme origins. While the overarching objectives of Doge Matrix are not extensively defined, it is characterized by a commitment to harnessing community involvement and support. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that often emphasize utility or intrinsic value through underlying technologies, Doge Matrix positions itself within a space that embraces the cultural phenomenon of cryptocurrencies, particularly appealing to those who resonate with the ethos of meme-based assets. Drawing on the strengths of the Dogecoin community, Doge Matrix operates as part of a broader ecosystem, inviting participation and engagement from users who share an interest in cryptocurrency and the digital landscape. Who is the Creator of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? The identity of the creator of Doge Matrix remains unknown. This lack of transparency is not an uncommon occurrence in the cryptocurrency space, where some projects are launched without revealing the identities of their founders. The absence of information regarding the founding team can raise questions among potential investors about the project’s accountability and direction. Who are the Investors of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? As it stands, there is no publicly available information detailing the investors or investment foundations that back Doge Matrix. The project appears to rely primarily on community support rather than institutional investment. This model aligns with the community-driven nature of the initiative, fostering an environment where the direction of the project is shaped by its participants rather than being dictated by a select few financial backers. How Does Doge Matrix ($doge m) Work? The specifics regarding the operational mechanisms of Doge Matrix are somewhat vague, reflecting a broader trend of projects in the meme coin space where innovative functionalities are not always clearly articulated. Nonetheless, Doge Matrix seems designed to tap into the existing cryptocurrency ecosystem by encouraging user participation while tapping into the familiar cultural references associated with Dogecoin. Its potentially unique characteristics derive from community interactions rather than technological advancements, emphasizing shared experiences and collaboration among token holders. While the exact innovations have not been explicitly outlined, the project appears to create a space where community members can engage, share ideas, and propel the project's potential forward. Timeline of Doge Matrix ($doge m) Reflecting on the project’s timeline reveals notable events that have defined its journey thus far: November 25, 2024: Doge Matrix reached its all-time high value, marking a significant milestone in its early history. January 1, 2025: Conversely, Doge Matrix hit its all-time low value, illustrating the volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies, especially in the early stages of a project's lifecycle. Ongoing: The project continues to be actively traded and supported by its community, although specific future milestones or objectives have yet to be disclosed. Key Points About Doge Matrix ($doge m) Community Focus At the heart of Doge Matrix is a commitment to community engagement. The project thrives on the premise of collaboration and shared objectives among its members, emphasizing the importance of collective effort. Unlike centralized projects that often have a defined leadership structure, Doge Matrix at present showcases a more fluid approach to governance, where every community member's voice matters. Volatility The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its volatility, and Doge Matrix is no exception. Its price history reflects significant fluctuations between high and low values, which is typical of many new cryptocurrencies but underscores the risks associated with investment in emerging tokens. Lack of Detailed Information One of the most striking features about Doge Matrix is the scarcity of detailed information regarding its technological underpinnings and operational mechanisms. This ambiguity necessitates that potential investors conduct thorough due diligence before engaging with the project. Conclusion In summary, Doge Matrix ($doge m) illustrates a new wave of cryptocurrency projects that lean heavily on community engagement and cultural relevance. While lacking in certain specifics—such as clear leadership, defined objectives, and detailed functionality—the project has managed to generate interest within the crypto community, leveraging the established appeal of meme culture. As with any investment in the cryptocurrency space, understanding the inherent risks and conducting comprehensive research is essential for potential participants. Doge Matrix stands as a reminder of the dynamic, sometimes unpredictable nature of the crypto industry, marked by constant evolution and enthusiasm for community-driven initiatives.

4.0k Total ViewsPublished 2025.02.03Updated 2025.02.03

What is DOGE M

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of DOGE (DOGE) are presented below.

活动图片