Биткоин демонстрирует тихую силу выше $114 тыс.; альткоины демонстрируют редкий сигнал о достижении дна против BTC

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-02-27Last updated on 2025-10-28

  • Биткоин (BTC) держится выше $114 000, демонстрируя низкую волатильность и «тихую силу» по словам Ларка Дэвиса.
  • Снижение инфляции и ожидаемое снижение ставки ФРС в 2026 году создают стабильный макроэкономический фон
  • На графике альткоинов/BTC отображается редкое бычье пересечение MACD, которое исторически предшествовало крупным ралли альткоинов

Биткоин (BTC) переживает фазу «тихой силы», спокойно консолидируясь выше отметки $114 000 после месяцев повышенной волатильности. По словам Ларка Дэвиса, это устойчивое восстановление свидетельствует о том, что инвесторы адаптируются, а не отступают. Резкие колебания начала 2025 года сменились медленным, но стабильным ростом. Он описывает этот момент как «тишину перед ростом», период, когда уверенность перевешивает энтузиазм.

На момент написания статьи биткоин торгуется на уровне $114 300, увеличившись более чем на 5% за последнюю неделю.

Читайте также: Генеральный директор Bitwise намекает на «важную неделю» и значительный прогресс в процессе подачи заявок на ETF SOL

Макроэкономические изменения: снижение инфляции и снижение ставки ФРС в 2026 году поддержат стабильность

Мировые рынки также демонстрируют признаки адаптации. Инфляция в крупнейших экономиках замедлилась, и центральные банки готовятся снизить процентные ставки в начале 2026 года. По словам Дэвиса, это сочетание позволяет инвесторам оставаться подверженными риску, не опасаясь внезапной волатильности.

По его словам, этот цикл может развиваться иначе, чем предыдущие. Вместо взрывных ралли, за которыми следуют глубокие обвалы, текущая фаза может характеризоваться постепенным, устойчивым ростом, поскольку институциональные инвесторы выходят на рынок в условиях более чёткого регулирования.

Сигнал к снижению альткоинов? Редкое пересечение MACD и BTC намекает на переломный момент

Недавно некоторые альткоины обвалились до нуля за считанные минуты, что подорвало доверие на розничном рынке.

На протяжении всего этого цикла альткоины показывали слабые результаты. Наблюдались лишь кратковременные всплески роста, такие как семикратный рост XRP или кратковременный рост токенов, связанных с ИИ. На протяжении большей части 2024 и 2025 годов рынок альткоинов в целом, особенно за пределами первой десятки, оставался в медвежьей фазе.

Источник: TradingView

Тем не менее, возможный сдвиг может наметиться. График сравнения альткоинов и биткоина теперь демонстрирует значительное дно с бычьим пересечением MACD. Этот паттерн ранее появлялся лишь дважды, в 2017 и 2021 годах, и оба раза приводил к масштабному росту альткоинов.

Золото падает, биткоин растёт: начинается ли ротация?

Ажиотажный спрос на золото на прошлой неделе, возможно, обозначил локальный пик. Золото на этой неделе упало примерно на 5%, а биткоин вырос примерно на 3%. Дэвис считает, что это может означать начало перехода от традиционных активов-убежищ к цифровым.

Источник: Х

Если биткоин захватит хотя бы небольшую долю рыночной стоимости золота, цена может резко вырасти. Изменение на 1% приведёт к стоимости биткоина около 134 000 долларов, изменение на 3% — около 188 000 долларов, а изменение на 5% — около 242 000 долларов.

По теме: Прогноз цены биткоина: быки BTC восстанавливают контроль, несмотря на задержку выплат Mt. Gox

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