XRP’s 2025 setup mirrors 2017 & 2021 – Will history rhyme again?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-10-06Last updated on 2025-10-07

Key Takeaways

What’s driving XRP’s 2025 setup?

Price patterns and RSI mirror 2017 and 2021, hinting at potential cyclical breakouts.

What’s new on RippleX?

Privacy tools using zero-knowledge proofs could attract institutions and drive XRP’s next liquidity wave.

Ripple [XRP] has cemented its spot as the third-largest crypto by market cap since its late-2024 breakout.

Despite a mild 1% dip in the last 24 hours, XRP continued to hover near the $3 mark, holding steady after months of momentum.

What’s catching traders’ attention now is the familiar rhythm forming on the weekly chart — echoes of XRP’s explosive 2017 and 2021 cycles.

With new privacy tools for institutions on the horizon, the setup is starting to look eerily familiar.

Will the next breakout mirror history?

The weekly price action chart showed XRP was trading around historic levels that sparked moves thereafter.

XRP’s price was consolidating around historic Fibonacci bands at press time. These bands preceded major rallies in both past runs.

In 2017, XRP bounced from the mid-Fibonacci band to the upper level before retracing. It repeated the structure in 2021, climbing again to the same mid-band before another rejection.

The latest move to $3 in late 2024 completed the pattern.

ripple xrp

Source: TradingView

Now, the RSI setup looked strikingly similar to these prior runs.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sat below 70 — the same range that preceded previous surges. This alignment fuels speculation that XRP could follow its earlier breakout behavior if momentum strengthens.

Ripple launches privacy tools for institutions

According to J. Ayo Akinyele, Head of Engineering at Ripple, the network will launch privacy tools in the upcoming year.

Source: X

The upgrade will use zero-knowledge proofs to enable private, compliant transactions on the XRP Ledger (XRPL).

According to RippleX’s official post, the privacy framework will go live in phases, with the Multi-Purpose Token (MPT) standard expected by 2026.

It aims to unlock tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) and compliant DeFi opportunities.

These on-chain developments arrive as whale behavior turns complex.

Whale flows show mixed sentiment

In the meantime, token movement was also another aspect to look at.

As per Whale Alert on X (formerly Twitter), about 18.74 million XRP valued at $55.87 million were moved to an unknown wallet, signaling accumulation.

Still, there were some negative aspects to consider.

Data from CryptoQuant over the past three months showed massive capital outflow from whales. This signaled growing caution despite the market showing bullish signs for this quarter.

xrp

Source: CryptoQuant

Altogether, institutions could play a major role in repeating these previous patterns, especially with the launch of privacy tools. Also, the technical outlook was aligning for a similar run.

Still, the caution from whales needed to be paid attention to.

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