Сможет ли Ethereum (ETH) достичь $2 500

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-04-10Last updated on 2025-05-10

Ethereum (ETH) показал самый значительный внутридневный рост с 2021 года. Он укрепился на 31% всего за сутки. Скачок произошел благодаря успешному обновлению Pectra

Последний скачок цены помог ETH приблизиться к важному уровню сопротивления $2 500. Однако остается открытым вопрос: сможет ли Ethereum преодолеть этот уровень и закрепиться над ним. Поведение инвесторов может стать препятствием для дальнейшего роста цены.

Обновление Pectra успешно запущено

Обновление Pectra значительно повлияло на рыночные настроения в отношении Ethereum. Биржи зафиксировали чистый приток в размере $15,6 млрд с момента его запуска. Только 8 мая было продано ETH на сумму $12 млрд, что стало крупнейшей однодневной продажей за более чем пять месяцев. Это говорит о том, что инвесторы стремятся зафиксировать прибыль после скачка цены. Такое поведение может ослабить перспективы дальнейшего роста ETH.

Изменение чистой позиции Ethereum на биржах. Источник: Glassnode

Макроимпульс Ethereum показывает как силу, так и потенциальные препятствия. Анализ IOMAP (In/Out of the Money Around Price) показывает, что 11,56 млн ETH были куплены в диапазоне от $2 493 до $2 915. Этот диапазон является ключевым. ETH должен преодолеть $2 500, чтобы продолжить восходящий тренд и закрепить недавние достижения.

Этот диапазон создает значительное давление на продажу, поскольку в нем сосредоточены токены на сумму $27,8 млрд. Риск масштабных распродаж по более высоким ценам остается высоким. Это может ограничить потенциал устойчивого роста.

График IOMAP. Источник: IntoTheBlock

Цена Ethereum достигает 2-месячного максимума

Токен вырос на 30+% за сутки после обновления Pectra. В результате он достиг 2-месячного максимума и приблизился к уровню сопротивления $2,513. Преодоление этого барьера станет важной вехой для Ethereum. Однако остается открытым вопрос, сможет ли ETH удержать это движение.

Преодолению отметки $2,500 мешает давлением продаж со стороны инвесторов, которые уже оказались в прибыли после недавнего роста. Также к ним могут присоединиться новые продавцы, если цена продолжит расти. Таким образом, Ethereum может столкнуться с трудностями и, возможно, опуститься ниже поддержки $2,344. В этом случае ETH рискует протестировать уровень $2,141, нивелировав часть недавних достижений.

Анализ цены ETH. Источник: TradingView

Если более широкий рынок сохранит бычий настрой и ETH последует за биткоином, он сможет пробить уровень $2,513 и превратить его в поддержку. Это откроет путь для дальнейшего роста до $2,654 и отменит текущий медвежий сценарий.

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