标普连涨九天,美股指涨超1%,苹果一度跌超5%,中概、人民币雄起,美债再挫

华尔街见闻Published on 2025-05-03Last updated on 2025-05-03

Abstract

标普连涨九天,创最近二十一年最长连涨天数;Meta收涨超4%,苹果一度跌超5%

重磅就业报告显示,美国劳动力市场在降温,但仍有韧性,暂时缓和了投资者对关税已打击美国经济的担忧。美股大盘进一步上行,中概强势走高,美债收益率跃升,黄金回吐涨幅,原油短线转涨。

关税方面有更多利好消息,叠加美国非农就业人口增长意外强劲,共同推升风险偏好,美股、比特币等高风险加密货币总体上涨。

亚市盘中,据证券时报报道,中国商务部表示,美方近期通过相关方面多次主动向中方传递信息,希望与中方谈起来。对此,中方正在进行评估。中国的消息传出后,全球市场沸腾,港股节后5月开门红,恒生科指收涨3%,欧美股指期货全线上涨,离岸人民币大涨500点,黄金反弹。

美股盘前,美国劳工部公布4月新增非农就业人口17.7万,较市场预期多增3.9万,失业率持平3月的4.2%,符合预期,平均时薪增速较预期略有放缓。就业报告公布后,三大美股指高开;美元短线收窄跌幅;原油短线跳涨,黄金回吐部分涨幅;就业数据降低6月降息可能性,美国国债价格进一步下挫,收益率连续第二日盘中较日低拉升超10个基点。

中国资产雄起:中概股涨势更胜美股大盘一筹,离岸人民币在美股开盘后涨幅进一步扩大,一度较日低涨超700点、五个月来首次盘中涨破7.21。

两家发布财报警告关税影响的科技巨头逆市下跌:预计本季将因关税产生9亿美元成本的苹果一度跌超5%,利润指引逊色且警告关税可能对指引产生重大影响的亚马逊一度跌2%。

媒体称OPEC+讨论6月增产,原油盘中跌幅扩大,跌超2%。全周,油价受到沙特暗示能承受长期低油价、美国经济数据不佳打压。

周五,三大美股指收涨均超1%,其中标普连涨九天,创最近二十一年最长连涨天数;Meta当日收涨超4%,苹果和亚马逊则逆市回落;Mag7 股票本周上涨超过4%,而标普指数的其他成分股上涨了约2.5%。中概指数涨幅超大盘,小鹏汽车涨超5%,本周中概指数累计上涨3.14%。

美股三大股指:

标普500指数收涨82.53点,涨幅1.47%,连续第九个交易日上涨,创2004年以来最长连涨天数,报5686.67点,本周累计上涨2.92%。

道琼斯工业平均指数收涨564.47点,涨幅1.39%,报41317.43点,本周累涨3.00%。

纳指收涨266.99点,涨幅1.51%,报17977.73点,本周累涨3.42%。

纳斯达克100指数收涨315.90点,涨幅1.60%,报20102.61点,本周累涨3.45%。

罗素2000指数收涨2.27%,报2020.74点,本周累涨3.22%。

恐慌指数VIX收跌7.68%,报22.71,本周累跌8.57%。

行业ETF:

全球航空业ETF收涨4.71%,半导体ETF涨3.17%,区域银行ETF涨2.76%,银行业ETF涨2.44%,金融业ETF涨2.07%。

2025年迄今,全球航空业ETF累跌17.63%,可选消费ETF、半导体ETF、科技行业ETF、区域银行ETF、全球科技股指数ETF、银行业ETF跌9.97%-4.9%。

“科技七姐妹”:

美国科技股七巨头(Magnificent 7)指数涨0.83%,报149.91点,本周累计上涨3.45%。

Meta Platforms收涨4.34%,英伟达涨2.47%,特斯拉涨2.38%,微软涨2.32%,谷歌A涨1.69%,亚马逊则收跌0.12%,苹果跌3.74%。

芯片股:

费城半导体指数收涨3.52%,报4397.05点,本周累涨3.42%。

台积电ADR收涨3.8%,AMD涨2.22%。

AI概念股:

Applovin和Tempus AI收涨10.05%。

中概股:

纳斯达克金龙中国指数收涨3.50%,报7172.35点,逼近4月3日收盘位7550.00点,本周累计上涨3.14%。

热门中概股小马智行初步收涨约20%,YINN涨10%,小米ADR涨7.8%,小鹏涨5.9%,京东、拼多多、阿里、腾讯ADR至多涨4.9%。

其他重点个股中:

巴菲特旗下伯克希尔哈撒韦B类股涨1.8%。

“特朗普关税输家”指数涨3.71%,报87.45点,本周累计上涨5.07%。成分股Five Below收涨11.88%,Wayfair涨7.78%。

2025年迄今,美元树、蔻驰、孩之宝、3M、Rivian累涨12.48%-3.98%,其他成分股累跌,ELF跌45.8%跌幅第四大,纽威跌46.7%,海伦特洛伊跌52.85%,Fluence能源跌72.67%。

关税谈判的推进,提振全球投资者乐观情绪,本周欧洲STOXX 600指数张约3.1%,其中工业、科技板块涨超4%。英国股市则创历史上最长连涨天数,德国股指本周涨3.8%。

泛欧欧股:

欧洲STOXX 600指数收涨1.67%,报536.43点,本周累计上涨3.07%。

欧元区STOXX 50指数收涨2.42%,报5285.19点,本周(四个交易日)累涨2.54%。

各国股指本周累计均上涨:

德国DAX 30指数收涨2.62%,报23086.65点,本周累涨3.80%。

法国CAC 40指数收涨2.33%,报7770.48%,本周累涨3.11%。

意大利富时MIB指数收涨1.92%,报38327.94点,本周累涨2.62%,富时意大利综合股价银行指数累涨2.97%。

英国富时100指数收涨1.17%,连续第十五个交易日走高,报8596.35点,本周累涨2.15%。

板块和个股:

板块方面,STOXX 600工业产品及服务指数本周累计上涨4.38%,科技指数涨4.34%,银行指数涨2.26%,个人与家庭用品指数涨2.13%。

明晟公司MSCI北欧国家指数涨2.4%,连续第八个交易日走高,报350.35点,北欧工业板块领跑。北欧音乐流媒体公司Spotify涨7.3%,领跑一众成分股。

就业报告后,美债收益率连续第二日盘中拉升超10个基点,德债收益率则涨约8个基点。2 年期收益率在过去两天上涨了 22 个基点,这是自 2024 年 10 月以来的最大涨幅。自4月2日以来,只有短期债券收益率较低,跌幅约6基点,30 年期债券收益率上涨 27基点。

美债:

纽约尾盘,美国10年期基准国债收益率上涨8.88个基点,报4.3064%,美国非农就业报告后从4.22%附近的平盘下方快速地显著拉升,本周累计上涨7.30个基点。

两年期美债收益率涨12.53个基点,报3.8239%,本周累涨7.60个基点。

本周,20年期美债收益率累涨8.72个基点,30年期美债收益率累涨8.89个基点。

美国10年期通胀保值国债(TIPS)收益率涨7.14个基点,报2.0321%。

欧债:

欧市尾盘,德国10年期国债收益率上涨8.9个基点,刷新日高至2.533%,全天处于上涨状态,本周(四个交易日)累计上涨6.4个基点。

英国10年期国债收益率本周(五个交易日)累涨2.9个基点,两年期英债收益率累跌0.1个基点,30年期英债收益率累涨8.4个基点。

本周,法意西的10年期国债收益率均累涨超6个基点,希腊10年期国债收益率累涨5.6个基点。

随着美国强劲就业报告的公布,本周降息预期大幅下降,目前价格已反映出今年仅有三次降息,而 6 月份的降息预期已迅速被排除在考虑范围之外。比特币价格周六早盘下跌,5月3日据央视报道,日本财务大臣加藤胜信称,美债可以作为谈判筹码。此外据报道,美国财长贝森特同意与日本启动工作层面的磋商。

美元:

纽约尾盘,ICE美元指数下跌0.27%,报99.973点,本周累计上涨0.50%,整体交投区间为98.901-100.375点。

彭博美元指数跌0.43%,报1224.64点,本周累跌0.12%,整体交投区间为1231.32-1219.15点。

非美货币:

纽约尾盘,欧元兑美元日内V型反转,一度涨超0.8%,最终收盘与昨日持平、报1.12940,本周累计收跌约0.57%。

英镑兑美元收跌近0.1%、报1.32639,本周累计收跌0.32%。

美元兑瑞郎收跌超0.3%,报0.82655,本周走势宽幅震荡,较上周五收盘价近乎持平,收跌0.1%

日元:

纽约尾盘,美元兑日元下跌0.32%,报144.944日元,本周累计上涨0.88%。

离岸人民币:

纽约尾盘,离岸人民币兑美元报7.2103元,较周四纽约尾盘涨686点,日内整体交投于7.2808-7.2091元区间,突破3月12日顶部7.2157元、逼近2024年11月11日顶部7.1864元。

加密货币:

纽约尾盘,CME比特币期货BTC主力合约较周四纽约尾盘涨0.37%,报97565.00美元,本周累计上涨大约1.40%。

CME以太币期货DCR主力合约涨0.13%,报1856.50美元,本周累涨2.09%。

OPEC+讨论6月增产消息后,原油盘中跌超2%。CFTC数据显示,4月29日当周,投机者所持NYMEX WTI原油净多头头寸创超过三个月新高。美国原油期货本周跌7.5%,纽约天然气涨约16.6%。

原油:

WTI 6月原油期货收跌0.95美元,跌幅超过1.60%,报58.29美元/桶,本周累计下跌超过7.50%。

布伦特7月原油期货收跌0.84美元,跌幅超过1.35%,报61.29美元/桶,本周累跌超6.85%。

天然气:

NYMEX 6月天然气期货收涨4.34%,报3.6300美元/百万英热单位,本周累涨16.57%。

现货黄金本周跌2.4%,纽约期铜跌4%。黄金连续第二周走低,这是自去年11月15日美国大选以来最糟糕的一周。得益于比特币ETF资金的持续流入,本周比特币价格大幅上涨,涨幅超4.5%。

黄金:

纽约尾盘,现货黄金大致持平,报3238.80美元/盎司,本周累计下跌2.43%。

COMEX黄金期货涨0.77%,报3247.00美元/盎司,本周累跌1.58%

白银:

现货白银跌1.19%,报32.0271美元/盎司,本周累跌3.28%。

COMEX白银期货跌0.78%,报32.215美元/盎司,本周累跌3.32%。

其他金属:

COMEX铜期货涨1.47%,报4.6980美元/磅,本周累跌4.00%。

LME期铜收涨160美元,报9366美元/吨。LME期铝收涨16美元,报2432美元/吨。LME期锌收涨30美元,报2608美元/吨。

LME期锡收涨910美元,报30698美元/吨。LME期镍收涨228美元,报15480美元/吨。

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What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

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Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

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