Key Takeaways
- Locked token holders are now sitting on nearly 50% average losses compared to May 2024 OTC valuations.
- Despite strong OTC demand, many investors chose not to sell, often holding out for more gains that never came.
- Newer tokens are struggling to hold value as secondary market pressure builds.
Early access to crypto projects might sound like a golden ticket, but for many locked token investors, that promise has become a painful lesson.
New data shows that locked token holders face average losses of nearly 50% compared to over-the-counter valuations from just a year ago.
Many had opportunities to exit at much higher prices but held on, expecting more upside. Now they’re dealing with the fallout.
Locked Token Holders Face Steep Losses
According to STIX founder Taran Sabharwal , there was no shortage of demand from OTC buyers in 2024.
The problem? Sellers were scarce, often unwilling to part with tokens that had already been marked up several times. That decision has come back to haunt them.
Even projects that once drew significant hype are now trading at deep discounts, raising questions about how investors price risk in early-stage deals and whether they truly understand the limits of illiquid positions.
Top Projects See Sharp Declines
These losses outpaced the broader crypto market , which saw an average sector-wide correction of 41% over the same period, even with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) factored in.
Among the worst performers:
- SCR: -85%
- BLAST: -88%
- EIGEN: -75%
- ZK: -64%
- W: -50%
- IO: -48%
- TIA: -44%
Only one project, JITO, posted a gain over the last year, up +75%.
The Price of Illiquidity
The data tells a clear story: locked token rounds carry risks that aren’t always obvious on paper.
Illiquidity, vesting schedules, and speculative valuations create a minefield for early investors. When exit windows close, the downside comes fast.
Many are now rethinking their strategy, especially as fully diluted valuations (FDVs) continue to adjust downward across secondary markets.
The pressure is only growing for newer projects that are still in the lock-up phase.
