政坛风暴VS数字黄金:特朗普"炮轰"鲍威尔 比特币为何稳如磐石?

marsbitPublished on 2025-04-17Last updated on 2025-04-18

即便美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普在复活节前一日威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔,该数字资产价格在耶稣受难日仍基本保持稳定。

比特币展现抗压性 美联储独立性辩论白热化

唐纳德·特朗普周四猛烈抨击美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔未实施降息并威胁将其解雇,引发对央行独立性的质疑。特朗普的言论震动传统市场,但比特币价格基本未受影响——尽管美国股市因耶稣受难日休市。

市场数据概览

比特币过去24小时交易平稳,微涨0.60%至发稿时84,533.15美元。其交易区间始终维持在83,749.75至85,449.07美元的狭窄通道内,延续七日连涨趋势,累计涨幅达3.21%。

特朗普

(BTC价格图表/Trading View)

交易活跃度显著下降,24小时交易量缩减29.26%至179.4亿美元,主要源于传统市场因耶稣受难日休市。比特币市值仍上涨0.56%至1.67万亿美元,但其加密货币市场主导地位微降0.24%至63.86%。

特朗普

(BTC主导地位图表/Trading View)

Coinglass数据显示BTC期货未平仓合约微增1.34%至548.8亿美元,表明交易者仍持谨慎参与态度。24小时内清算金额仅163,990美元(多头159,260美元/空头4,730美元),反映假日期间交易清淡。

若特朗普掌控美联储 比特币将如何反应?

比特币本应是中央银行的对抗产物,因此当美联储公告对其价格产生剧烈影响时,有时显得颇具讽刺意味。

如今特朗普多次扬言解雇鲍威尔——此举或将彻底粉碎某些人眼中美联储独立性的假象——若政策制定受政客意志左右,该数字资产价格波动可能进一步加剧。

(特朗普周四早间通过Truth Social发文威胁解雇鲍威尔/唐纳德·特朗普Truth Social截图)

"特朗普的言论印证了已知事实:货币政策并非在真空中运作,"Ambient Finance创始人道格·科尔基特向Bitcoin.com表示,"政治叙事正在渗透利率决策,这只会增加不确定性。"

美联储独立性问题无疑对直接挂钩利率的传统资产至关重要。问题在于:比特币与这类资产的强关联性会否最终脱钩,从而如中本聪最初设想般摆脱央行与政治影响?

科尔基特指出:"对加密建设者而言,这凸显了金融基础设施与审慎监管的长期需求——它们不应随选举周期或央行政治风向摇摆。"

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But Bin's Latest Speech: Do Not Miss Out on a Great Era

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Latest Speech by Dan Bin: Do Not Miss Out on a Great Era

Dan Bin, Chairman of Dongfang Harbor, delivered a keynote speech titled "Don't Miss a Great Era" at the Glonghui "2026—All in Silicon-Based New纪元" Mid-Year Strategy Summit on June 29th. Addressing concerns about an AI bubble, he argued from an industrial cycle perspective that the risk of missing an entire epoch far outweighs the risk of short-term泡沫. He positioned humanity at the dawn of the AI era, which he views as potentially more disruptive than the electronic, internet, and mobile internet eras. Dan Bin suggested the AI wave is unlikely to end in just three to four years. Drawing a parallel to the internet era's decade-long cycle starting from the 1994 Netscape IPO, he indicated that with ChatGPT's late-2022 launch as a marker, a key risk assessment point might not arrive until around 2033. He emphasized that technological progress is the primary driver of long-term capital market growth, with factors like trade wars and interest rates being secondary. Expanding his perspective to a civilizational scale, Dan Bin presented a thought experiment on silicon-based life potentially replacing carbon-based life as a direction for延续 Earth's civilization, especially given cosmic timescales and interstellar travel challenges. He noted AI's必然 weaponization, citing examples from the Russia-Ukraine war, and stated that neither the U.S. nor China can afford to lose the AI race, with each having distinct competitive advantages. Reflecting on investment lessons, he mentioned Warren Buffett's recent moves into tech like Google and查理·芒格's expressed regret about missing Microsoft's massive growth, underscoring the need for continuous认知迭代. Dan Bin concluded by urging investors to maintain a long-term perspective, focus on core technological trends, and rationally embrace the opportunities of this transformative era, so as not to辜负 this "great时代" defined by波澜壮阔 change.

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559 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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