Фьючерсы Solana на CME достигли $12,1 млн в первый день торгов

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2023-12-19Last updated on 2025-03-19

Фьючерсные контракты на Solana (SOL) начали торговаться на Чикагской товарной бирже (CME) 17 марта. Однако первый день объемов оказался значительно ниже, чем у Bitcoin и Ethereum в момент их запуска.

Тем не менее, аналитики не спешат называть запуск неудачным. Если сравнивать объем торгов с рыночной капитализацией активов, SOL демонстрирует схожую динамику с ETH.

Как объем фьючерсов Solana на CME соотносится с BTC и ETH?

Сравнение криптовалютных фьючерсов CME

За первые сутки торговый объем фьючерсов SOL составил $12,1 млн, что заметно ниже результатов Bitcoin и Ethereum на старте.

«Если оценивать нормализованные объемы относительно рыночной капитализации, то показатели Solana гораздо ближе к ETH и BTC», — отметил Vetle Lunde, глава аналитики K33 Research.

Нормализованный объем (отношение торговой активности к капитализации):

  • BTC — 0,0319%
  • ETH — 0,0173%
  • SOL — 0,0166%

Эти данные показывают, что, несмотря на более низкие абсолютные показатели, фьючерсы Solana привлекли институциональный интерес на уровне Ethereum.

Ранее: Solana Futures на CME Group: Новый Этап Институционального Признания

Что дальше? Повторит ли Solana сценарий BTC и ETH?

Опыт BTC и ETH после запуска фьючерсов на CME показывает разные траектории движения цены:

  • BTC после запуска фьючерсов на CME в 2017 году упал на 26% за две недели, что ознаменовало начало медвежьего рынка.
  • ETH после запуска фьючерсов в 2021 году сначала вырос на 150% до $4 384, затем скорректировался, но позже достиг нового исторического максимума $4 867.

Для Solana отсутствие роста цены после запуска фьючерсов говорит о слабом настрое инвесторов. Однако, в долгосрочной перспективе институциональное участие через CME может увеличить ликвидность и способствовать ценовому открытию SOL.

Что ждать дальше?

Пока рынок не показывает ярко выраженной бычьей реакции на запуск фьючерсов SOL, но их появление на CME делает Solana более доступной для институциональных инвесторов.

С улучшением рыночных условий и прогнозов доходности экосистемы Solana интерес к SOL может увеличиться, а его цена — последовать за Ethereum в 2021 году.

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