当市场崩盘时,区块链的自我救赎:从$LIBRA暴跌到原生做空工具的革命

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-02-16Last updated on 2026-07-07

Abstract

每一次危机都是技术跃迁的催化剂。

一、$LIBRA 暴跌:一场由内幕收割引发的信任危机


2025 年 2 月 15 日,阿根廷总统哈维尔·米莱(Javier Milei)背书的迷因币$LIBRA 上演了一场史诗级崩盘。代币价格从峰值 4.61 美元暴跌 96% ,市值从 45 亿蒸发至 2 亿美元,而短短 4 小时内竟创下 12 亿美元交易量。


据 Lookonchain 监测,在中午 12 点之前,与 LIBRA 团队相关的 8 个钱包在推文发布前数小时从交易所提取 USDC 和 SOL,接着在代币上线瞬间狙击筹码,随后分批抛售,并通过增加流动性、移除流动性和索取费用获得了 5760 万枚 USDC 和 249, 671 枚 SOL(约合 4970 万美元),共计套现约 1.07 亿美元。

当市场崩盘时,区块链的自我救赎:从$LIBRA暴跌到原生做空工具的革命


这场崩盘导致大量 KOL 亏损,部分人呼吁通过法律维权,更有行业 OG 认为行业会"团灭"。但作为区块链原教旨主义者,我们更应思考:技术能否根治人性的贪婪? 当监管滞后于创新,唯有更先进的工具才能重建市场公平。

当市场崩盘时,区块链的自我救赎:从$LIBRA暴跌到原生做空工具的革命


二、Rug Pull 肆虐下的行业悖论:危机催生创新


2024 年 4 月在 SOL 上就有 18 个 presale meme rug pulls,金额达到$ 26.7 M,到了 5 月是 41 个项目总共$ 102 M。

当市场崩盘时,区块链的自我救赎:从$LIBRA暴跌到原生做空工具的革命


讽刺的是,行业并未因此消亡,反而催生了 Pump.fun——一个因“池子无法被撤出”而爆红的发射平台。其核心逻辑简单却致命:通过技术锁死流动性,让 meme 没有 rug 行为。


到了 6 月,因为 pump.fun 的爆火,容易发生 rug pulls 的 ol presale meme 已经基本绝迹。


到了 7 月,Pump.fun 交易量就达到第一次高潮, 7 月的单日收入为 231 万美元,甚至超过了以太坊的日收入(229 万美元),成为本轮牛市最大引擎之一。
这揭示了一个残酷真相:市场从不排斥风险,但痛恨不公。当欺诈横行时,用户会用脚投票,而真正解决问题的协议将获得超额回报。


三、美股启示:做空工具如何让市场更健康


传统金融市场的发展史为我们提供了重要启示。美股之所以成为全球最稳健增长的市场,与其允许做空的机制密不可分。以**浑水(Muddy Waters)**为代表的做空基金,通过深入调研揭露公司造假(如瑞幸咖啡),挤出了市场的“脓疮”。

  • 做空的价值:
  • 价格发现:空头力量平衡市场情绪,抑制泡沫。
  • 市场净化:做空者通过揭露欺诈行为,淘汰劣质资产。
  • 长期稳健:美股允许做空后,市场透明度与投资者信心显著提升。

区块链市场同样需要这样的制衡机制。Likwid 可以为Web3版的“浑水”的出现提供基础设施——通过原生做空工具,让内幕玩家无处遁形。


四、破解之道:原生做空工具如何终结内幕霸权


若想根治$LIBRA 式崩盘,需从机制上瓦解内幕玩家的垄断优势。目前现存的 DEFI 杠杆交易产品因为依赖预言机,导致仅支持主流资产,无法覆盖长尾代币。
Likwid 的答案:基于 Uniswap v4构建无需许可的原生做空协议。

  • 技术内核:通过公式**(x+x')(y+y')=k**,将借贷与交易统一,允许用户在代币发射瞬间建立空头头寸。
  • 抗操纵设计:
  • 截断式预言机:每个区块内设定价格涨跌幅上限,杜绝闪电贷狙击(Uniswap 2020 年提出,Likwid 首个落地)。
  • 双重清算模型:结合“基于偿还”和“基于 Swap”的清算机制,解决代币大规模清算的难题,保护 LP 利益。
  • 动态费率:将套利利润重新分配给流动性提供者(LP),而非 MEV 机器人。

效果验证:

  • 狙击内幕玩家:若 Likwid 存在,用户认为价格高估就可在$LIBRA 内幕玩家大规模抛售前建立空头头寸,如果内幕玩家抛售,用户就可以赚取空头盈利。
  • 健康价格发现:空头力量天然抑制泡沫和恶意操纵,降低“拉盘即砸盘”的恶性循环。
  • LP 收益革命:手续费、杠杆利息、爆仓罚金三重收益,吸引资金沉淀。

五、Web3市场的终极形态:工具即秩序


从 Pump.fun 到 Likwid,区块链的进化史证明:每一次危机都是技术跃迁的催化剂。当传统金融依赖法律与监管时,Web3选择用代码重建信任。
目前 likwid 测试网已经上线,并且给予用户大量测试网激励,可以关注 likwid 推特获取相关信息吧。点击下面链接马上探索web3首个无审核杠杠交易平台: https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-02/994e8ecb1c4a45f296a3a52a370620a4.jpg


结语:无需等待救世主,代码即正义


$LIBRA 的崩盘不是终点,而是新范式的起点。当工具足够强大,内幕霸权终将被瓦解——这不是理想主义,而是 Pump.fun 日均 2 亿交易量与 Likwid 获得 Uniswap Grants 所预示的必然。

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