Ценовая динамика BTC замедляется после обновления ATH

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2023-08-21Last updated on 2025-01-21

Цена биткоина достигла нового исторического максимума (ATH) 20 января, впервые превысив $108 000. Разбираемся, продолжит ли BTC тестировать новые уровни сопротивления или столкнется с откатом

Несмотря на бычий импульс биткоина, некоторые технические индикаторы показывают, что сила тренда BTC может ослабевать. Продавцы начинают оказывать большее влияние на цену.

Продавцы могут получить контроль

График DMI показывает, что ADX упал до 23,2 с 30,7 за последние два дня, подчеркивая ослабление тренда. Значения ADX выше 25 указывают на сильный тренд, а ниже 20 — на отсутствие направленности.

Текущее значение ниже 25 указывает на то, что бычий импульс BTC теряет силу. Это может намекать на замедление рыночной активности или паузу в восходящем тренде.

График DMI. Источник: TradingView

Тем временем индикатор +DI резко снизился с 34,8 до 19,7 за день, отражая ослабление покупательского давления. Между тем -DI повысился с 17,8 до 26,6, показывая рост давления со стороны продавцов.

Хотя BTC технически все еще остается в восходящем тренде, ослабление +DI и рост -DI говорят о том, что рынок сбрасывает обороты. Если эта тенденция продолжится, цена может войти в фазу консолидации или совершить разворот. Это будет особенно вероятно, если -DI превзойдет +DI, сигнализируя о доминировании медведей.

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RSI указывает на угасание импульса

Индекс относительной силы RSI сейчас составляет 50,9, снизившись с 65,5 всего за один день. Это указывает на изменение импульса. Значения выше 70 указывают на перекупленность и возможные коррекции. Значения ниже 30 говорят о перепроданности и сулят возможные отскоки. Тем временем индикатор в районе 50 сигнализирует о нейтральном импульсе, предполагая, что ни покупатели, ни продавцы не имеют явного контроля над активом.

Индекс RSI. Источник: TradingView

RSI биткоина на уровне 50,9 показывает баланс между давлением покупателей и продавцов. Однако при этом недавнее снижение индекса с 65,5 указывает на ослабление бычьего импульса.

Это может означать, что недавний рост BTC теряет силу и цена может войти в фазу консолидации. Если RSI продолжит снижаться в направлении 40, это может указывать на усиление медвежьего импульса. Восстановление индекса выше 60 может вновь подогреть бычьи настроения.

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Прогноз BTC: может ли биткоин достичь $110 000

Линии EMA показывают, что сейчас биткоин находится в восходящем тренде, поскольку краткосрочные линии проходят выше долгосрочных. Однако сокращение расстояния между этими линиями говорит о том, что бычий импульс может ослабевать. Это сигнал о возможном замедлении силы тренда.

Анализ цены BTC. Источник: TradingView

Если восходящий тренд усилится, цена может протестировать сопротивление на $105 700. Прорыв этого уровня может поднять цену до $108 500. Дальнейший бычий импульс может даже впервые ввести в игру отметку $110 000.

С другой стороны, если импульс ослабнет, BTC может протестировать поддержку на $98 800. Если этот уровень будет потерян, возможно снижение до $97 800 и $91 200. Дальнейшее падение может привести к просадке цены ниже $90 000 и тестированию ключевой поддержки на $89 400.

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What is $BITCOIN

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