Solana:这是否会破坏 SOL 的看涨前景?

金色财经Published on 2025-01-06Last updated on 2025-01-06

原文来源公众号:豆鲨了

Solana [SOL]在 12 月创下历史新高后,出现回落,过去一个月下跌了 18.18%。

然而,由于该资产在过去一周上涨了 7.09%,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 5.42%,因此情况似乎正在发生变化。

尽管看涨势头明显,但不确定性仍然存在。整体结构倾向于看涨,但最近的抛售压力引发了人们对这一趋势可持续性的质疑。

交易数量激增,但卖家占主导地位

Solana 网络的交易活动激增,过去 24 小时内共执行了 6690 万笔交易。随着该资产从近期的低迷中逐渐复苏,这一趋势正在发生。

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交易数量的激增可能预示着看涨或看跌情绪,具体取决于市场参与者是买入还是卖出。为了辨别趋势,AMBCrypto 分析了 Solana 的交易所净流量。

交易所净流量衡量交易所资产流入和流出之间的差额。正净流量表示卖出活动较多,而负净流量则表示买入压力占主导地位。

截至目前,Solana 的交易所净流量在每日和每周时间范围内均为负值,这表明购买活动超过了销售活动。

在过去 24 小时内,已售出价值 615 万美元的 SOL,在过去 7 天内,已售出价值 7518 万美元的 SOL。

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尽管存在购买压力,但 SOL 价格在过去 24 小时内上涨 5.42% 似乎很脆弱。

仔细分析交易量就会发现,价格下降了 25%,这表明近期的上涨可能缺乏足够的市场动力来维持。

通常,当价格飙升伴随交易量下降时,这表明价格出现暂时上涨,且缺乏实质性的市场支撑。

除非 Solana 的交易量相应增加以支持其价格走势,否则该资产仍面临进一步回调的风险。

尽管面临压力,SOL 仍保持看涨潜力

SOL 已进入图表上的关键支撑区域,在看涨三角形结构内交易。

该支撑位在 188.89 美元至 173.24 美元之间,这一区域历来与巨大的购买压力有关,尽管目前这种活动尚未实现。

get?code=NGQwNjkwYjQ0Y2U0OTUxZjRiZGU2N2MzMDI5YWE1OTksMTczNTUzOTEyNjc0Mw==

如果 SOL 突破该支撑区域,则很可能会重新进入最近退出的盘整阶段。

相反,如果支撑位成为反弹的催化剂,资产可能会大幅上涨。这可能会推动 SOL 达到之前的历史最高水平,甚至可能超越。

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