标普创五十八年最长年末连跌,但连续两年涨超20%,比特币今年翻倍成最佳资产

华尔街日报Published on 2024-12-31Last updated on 2024-12-31

美国三大股指悉数转跌,英伟达一度跌约1%,特斯拉一度跌约0.5%、连续第四个交易日下跌。

【以下为北京时间23:30以前更新内容】

2024年美股再创佳绩,标普500指数连续第二年实现超过20%的年度涨幅。截至年底,该指数全年涨24%,道指涨13%,而纳指全年涨幅达30%。值得注意的是,标普500指数在2023年和2024年的两年累计涨幅高达54%,创下自1997-1998年66%涨幅以来的最佳两年表现。

AI成为2024年股市的最大驱动力之一。投资者对AI带来的潜在生产力提升充满热情,推动"科技七巨头"股价大幅上涨。其中,AI芯片巨头英伟达和苹果公司等科技巨头股价创下新高,带动主要股指屡创纪录。

美联储的货币政策调整为股市提供了有力支撑。自9月以来,美联储已将基准利率下调1个百分点,增强了投资者对美国经济持续增长的信心。此外,特朗普当选总统后,市场对共和党政府可能实施的减税和放松监管政策抱有期待,进一步推动股市上涨。银行股成为选举后表现最佳的板块之一,摩根大通和高盛全年涨幅分别达42%和49%。

尽管全年表现强劲,但12月股市出现回调。投资者对2024年表现最佳的股票进行获利了结,同时对年底利率上升的担忧也加剧了市场波动。道指12月跌4.8%,标普500指数跌1.7%,而纳指仍小幅上涨1.7%。Bespoke Investment Group联合创始人Paul Hickey表示:"考虑到市场全年大涨,加上新政府即将上台带来的不确定性,投资者在年底进行一些获利了结是可以理解的。"

2024年,加密货币市场也迎来了爆发性增长。比特币全年涨幅高达124%,首次突破10万美元大关,表现远超传统股市

  • 美股三大指数一度齐涨。标普500指数一度涨近0.4%。与经济周期密切相关的道指一度涨近0.5%或206点。科技股居多的纳指一度涨近0.4%。

  •  “科技七姐妹”涨跌不一特斯拉涨超2.5%后涨幅砍半,亚马逊盘初涨近0.9%后抹平多数涨幅,Meta涨近0.5%后抹平多数涨幅,微软涨超0.4%后一度转跌,苹果涨超0.4%后一度转跌,英伟达跌近1%后抹平多数跌幅。
  • 芯片股涨跌不一。费城半导体指数涨超0.5%后一度转跌。Wolfspeed一度涨超3.8%,英特尔一度涨超2.8%,美光科技一度涨超0.9%,应用材料一度涨约0.8%,而纳微半导体一度跌超5.1%。台积电一度跌约0.5%,今年飙涨约81%。
  • AI概念股涨跌不一。超微电脑一度涨超2.2%,戴尔科技一度涨超1%,C3.ai一度涨超1%,英伟达持股的SoundHound AI跌近9%抹平过半跌幅,Serve Robotics一度跌超7.8%。

  • 中概股多数下跌。纳斯达克金龙中国指数一度涨超1.3%。热门中概股中,小鹏汽车一度涨超4.5%,拼多多一度涨超3.3%,蔚来一度涨超3.4%,老虎证券一度涨超2.7%,极氪一度涨超2.1%。小米ADR一度涨超0.6%,雷军直播称,2024年小米汽车交付超过13.5万辆,2025年小米交付目标30万辆。理想汽车跌超1.7%后涨超0.6%,理想汽车表示,2024年理想汽车累计交付量突破50万辆。
  • 其他重点个股中:(1)Sangamo Therapeutics(SGMO)一度跌超55%,创2008年以来最差盘中表现,辉瑞制药(PFE)终止与该公司的血友病医药协议。(2)加密货币概念股普涨,MicroStrategy(MSTR)涨近4.9%后回吐多数涨幅。

以下为22:00以前更新内容

2024年最后一个交易日,美国股指期货上涨,有望结束三天的跌势,欧洲交易清淡。美股盘前部分热门中概股走高。亚洲股市收官,台积电今年飙升逾81%,创下1999年以来的最佳年度股票表现,力撑台股领跑亚太市场。

美股盘前,部分热门中概股走高,蔚来、小鹏汽车均涨超1%,MicroStrategy(MSTR)盘前涨超3%。

美股三大期指转涨,标普500指数期货涨0.31%,纳指期货涨0.33%,道指期货涨0.24%。

年初至今,台湾加权指数上涨28%,日股昨日收官,日经225指数今年上涨19.22%。

彭博美元现货指数保持稳定,有望创下2015年以来的最佳表现。

美元指数小幅走低,跌近0.1%。离岸人民币兑美元跌幅扩大,日内跌超400点,一度跌至7.3620。

现货黄金上涨,现报2611.15美元/盎司。

美股三大期指转涨,标普500指数期货涨0.31%,纳指期货涨0.33%,道指期货涨0.24%。

美股盘前,MicroStrategy(MSTR)盘前涨超3%。

台积电今年飙升81%。

美元指数小幅走低,跌近0.1%。

离岸人民币兑美元跌幅扩大,日内跌超400点,一度跌至7.3620。

现货黄金上涨,现报2611.15美元/盎司。

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DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. 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What is $BITCOIN

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